Quote Originally Posted by big dick View Post
But I don't think he is


That's my point


If Biden loses the popular vote Then CA would have to play a pivotal role in him doing so.


Personally I never lay huge odds on any bet but that's just me . I'd rather find a +ev bet where I'm the one with the large payday if the unexpected happens

disclaimer- I'm a professional poker player and a decent gambler but not a professional sports bettor
The chance of him winning the popular vote is high, but not as high as winning CA, which is a lock. It's greater than 99% that he wins California.

This is a weird election for many reasons. Turnout will likely be a lot higher. You'd think the turnout would favor Biden, but it's not certain. It's possible that this "silent majority" really exists, and they'll show up for Trump. It's much more likely Biden wins the popular vote, yes, but it's not the same as CA, where Biden is so far ahead that he basically can't lose.