You are in some ways like me in that no matter who is President, we are going to earn and get ours. Most people do not have that mentality and look to elected officials for career guidance, and Facebook for their news. They blame everyone else for their plight, always has been always will be.Originally Posted by OSA
I wonder if people will be taking off work like they did in in 2016. That has to be the biggest embarrassment in our Nation's politics that happened as a result from the election. People couldn't mentally cope with their candidate not winning so they had to take a day or 2 off to mentally readjust. I remember it happening and like 2 or 3 people in my office of like 25 people or so and looking so bewildered. That had to be the start of TDS. Strange times.
Last edited by tgull; 05-19-2020 at 07:46 AM.
decent betting opportunity here if you like trump to win
predictit has democrats 58 republican 43 in wisconsin
if you like trump to win, this is a good spot to go hard on republican. go to 270towin and try to come up with a trump win without wiconsin. it's pretty tough.
you'd have to give him PA and michigan, but if he is winning those, he'll definitely win wisconsin too
i might jump on this just to hedge in my bet with tellafriend
i'm trying to give real value unlike bottomset who fucked me over with that awful roy moore pick.
Everyone touts MI as a state the Dems will flip back in November. I don't see it. Detroit has less than 700,000 people now, and declining in population every week. IN and OH are border states and are either deep red or becoming deep red. Everyone obsesses about Texas becoming blue, and that may happen in 40 years, but MI is changing now as Detroit loses its populous. If the virus wanes come election time, and Trump pops a trillion dollar tariff on China say in October, I don't see how he does not rout the Midwest.
“‘Maricopa County is the key for Republicans winning .... It's the key to Trump’s re-election but it’s also key for the Senate seat.’”
McSally is down in that traditionally Republican county, the most populous in AZ and the fourth-most populous in the US, by ...
54% to 38%.
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
I want John brennan's head. U cant actually get Obama w/o a civil war I dont thinkSpeaking of, Barr just said Obama wasn't responsible for the Russia inquiry and he's not a target of the investigation. Looks like the end of Obamagate. This must be very disappointing for Trump. What's Trump going to do, will he fire Barr? He can't let himself be cucked like that.
I think you will agree polling is traditionally over-sampled to the side that is conducting it, and it rarely ever nails who will take the time to wait in line for two hours, especially if the virus is around in November. McSally is not a good candidate and barely lost her Senate race without Trump on the ticket, huge difference btw. People forget this choice will be binary and while the left winger will never vote for Trump, they sure as shit are not going to waste time voting for Biden, especially when they see him up close in October. There are very few 25 year old libs that are going to take any time away from their Facebook account to vote for a 78 year old man who routinely uses language such as 'malarkey', 'dog faced pony solider' or call Trump 'President Tweety'. Especially when they are out partying and Joe is giving Zoom meetings to 40 people from his basement.
Until these betting markets change, which really are the people that analyze these markets to the nth degree, polls are really chatter at this point. Bettors are wrong all the time, but we can usually agree they are more accurate than self serving polls.
RCP Average
5/19
50.8
42.0
Trump +8.8
Yep, this is a common theme on PI. Either Trump is undervalued in the states, or he's overvalued in the general. Or both. Either way, there's a mismatch of pricing that you can take advantage of.
If you like Trump, buy Trump in the states (riskier). OR Buy Trump in the states and sell Trump in the GE (risk adverse). But don't buy Trump in the GE and ignore the states (overpaying).
If you like Biden, buy Biden in the general (riskier). OR Buy Biden in the general and sell Biden in the states (risk adverse). But don't buy Biden in the states and ignore the GE (overpaying).
Do you actually think that people will vote for a President who ruined the economy and is responsible for more American deaths than in Vietnam?
gretchen wilson finna be biden's vp.
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
Interesting choice. Must be going for the redneck vote.
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Get Obama? For what?I want John brennan's head. U cant actually get Obama w/o a civil war I dont think
Obamagate. I think we all know what we're talking about hereGet Obama? For what?
yeah?
Of course, it's been clearly defined in all the newspapers except that one guy's newspaper who asked what crime was committed. Gonna be uuugggeee.Obamagate. I think we all know what we're talking about here
Last edited by nightmarefish; 05-19-2020 at 03:23 PM.
poor dish prob thinks Obamagate is real
yeah the whole site is completely inconsistentYep, this is a common theme on PI. Either Trump is undervalued in the states, or he's overvalued in the general. Or both. Either way, there's a mismatch of pricing that you can take advantage of.
If you like Trump, buy Trump in the states (riskier). OR Buy Trump in the states and sell Trump in the GE (risk adverse). But don't buy Trump in the GE and ignore the states (overpaying).
If you like Biden, buy Biden in the general (riskier). OR Buy Biden in the general and sell Biden in the states (risk adverse). But don't buy Biden in the states and ignore the GE (overpaying).
it has trump 50 to biden 43, but has the popular vote winner becoming president at 65-35
so trump must be favored to win the popular vote, right?
um no, predictit has biden destroying trump here 70-30
literally dozens of college kids are responsible for the money moving the lines on predictit.
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798
PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL
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