honestly betting for biden to win feels a lot like betting for the stock market to accurately reflect the state of the economy.
honestly betting for biden to win feels a lot like betting for the stock market to accurately reflect the state of the economy.
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
a lot of the biden gloom and doom is because people have an inate fear of being fooled twice.
everyone was so sure trump would lose the first time that they "won't make that mistake again."
it's not really based on data though.
Or the fact that Donnie only cares about keeping the market afloat?Originally Posted by blake
And despite going through a pandemic everyone's retirement fund is staying afloat and his cronies are making millions on the market as they print more money?
For me it's also based on Republican voter suppression tactics and foreign hacking of voting systems, which are a joke securitywise. It's one thing for a person to say they will vote for a certain candidate when taking a poll, it's another for that person to vote and have that vote counted properly. BCR was spot on when he said if Biden is up 5 points it's even. He needs to be up 7-8 points to be actually in the lead.
SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798
PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL
For me it's also based on Republican voter suppression tactics and foreign hacking of voting systems, which are a joke securitywise. It's one thing for a person to say they will vote for a certain candidate when taking a poll, it's another for that person to vote and have that vote counted properly. BCR was spot on when he said if Biden is up 5 points it's even. He needs to be up 7-8 points to be actually in the lead.
u are propagandized trash and cant have an IQ above 110 for u to speak so confidentally wrong
No comment required.
u are propagandized trash and cant have an IQ above 110 for u to speak so confidentally wrong
SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798
PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL
No comment required.
ur right, the English portions of the tests I used to take stopped me from testing as a super genius
Wasn't the test available in your native language?
ur right, the English portions of the tests I used to take stopped me from testing as a super genius
SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798
PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL
Wasn't the test available in your native language?
id be albert Einstein if they gave me the test in ur sons ass
id be albert Einstein if they gave me the test in ur sons ass
Dow up 900 points. Vaccine looks promising. Oh:
Betting Odds Data
Betting Odds
Date
Trump
Biden
Spread
RCP Average
5/18
50.6
41.5
Trump +9.1 <-----------LOL
888 Sport
May 18th
54
40
Trump +14 <--------- WTF?
Betfair
May 18th
50
43
Trump +7
Betsson
May 18th
53
41
Trump +12
Bovada
May 18th
52
41
Trump +11 <----------- Big Dork's favorite site
Bwin
May 18th
50
42
Trump +8
Smarkets
May 18th
46
40
Trump +6
SportingBet
May 18th
50
42
Trump +8
SpreadEx
May 18th
50
43
Trump +7
I think we call this recency bias. I think people underestimate how much of the 2016 Trump vote was actually an anti-Clinton vote. Not to mention the black vote was way down because they didn't like Clinton and they weren't going to vote for Trump. You think they're going to stay home again?
However, Biden likely needs to win the popular vote by at least 3 points to win the EC. Trump is only trading as a 27% favorite to win the popular vote, despite being a tossup to win the EC. I think 538 ran some simulations and there were a few where Democrats won the popular vote by 6 points and still lost the election. It was dependent on how much the margins got run up in big deep blue states like Cali and NY.
Here's the pop vote margin market on PredictIt. Consensus is Dems by 1.5% to 6%.
https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...ntial-election
Trump crushed with seniors and they are now running away from him and running fast.
Tell me how he can win without seniors?
trump can't win without florida. Lotta old people in florida and they are not happy
Just like 2016 when you lost all your wife's retirement money eh?
Leave the betting to the experts big bird, sit this election cycle out.
Wait I didn't know you're an ass cowboy
id be albert Einstein if they gave me the test in ur sons ass
SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798
PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL
He would do it to show dominance.Wait I didn't know you're an ass cowboy
Speaking of, Barr just said Obama wasn't responsible for the Russia inquiry and he's not a target of the investigation. Looks like the end of Obamagate. This must be very disappointing for Trump. What's Trump going to do, will he fire Barr? He can't let himself be cucked like that.He would do it to show dominance.
SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798
PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL
Wait I didn't know you're an ass cowboy
ITS ONLY THE BEST JOKE IN FAMILY GUY HISTORY FKN TARD
Summary of election.
Blacks won’t vote at all because no black candidate.
Trump supporters will all vote.
Democrats won’t vote at all over voting for sleepy creepy basement Biden.
Trump wins.
Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. We didn't pass it to our children in the bloodstream. It must be fought for, protected, and handed on for them to do the same.
Ronald Reagan
I wonder if people will be taking off work like they did in in 2016. That has to be the biggest embarrassment in our Nation's politics that happened as a result from the election. People couldn't mentally cope with their candidate not winning so they had to take a day or 2 off to mentally readjust. I remember it happening and like 2 or 3 people in my office of like 25 people or so and looking so bewildered. That had to be the start of TDS. Strange times.
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