Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
Even though I was a huge fun of the (1990 version of) Total Recall, I don't believe in any of this simulation BS.

The "1 in a billion chance" thing is a copout, because it allows people to make ridiculous assertions, and then defend it with, "I said it's only 1 in a billion. So all I'm saying is that there's a small chance!" And then you look like a closed-minded asshole for dismissing it.

But no, we're not in a simulation. This is it. This is reality. It doesn't get any better than this.
Oh no no he's fully in to drinking the man piss. He's saying there's 1 in a billion chance that our reality is the real reality. He's not saying this is funny little thought experiment that could be true, but that it's almost 100% that were living in a simulated reality.

The 1 in billion number is based on Nick Bostrom doing the maths based on a few semi random assumptions that have no necessity of being true and then running the numbers with a formula that had few other baseless assumptions. And when a few mathematicians threw small rocks at him for being a dumbass he made brand new baseless assumptions that provided a base for his previous assumptions. So basically if you're drinking the kool aid then the maths have been done and the story checks out.