Did you unlock the over 28.5 in the Seattle game tonight?Originally Posted by Daly
Or are you degen'ing and going straight for 30?
Did you unlock the over 28.5 in the Seattle game tonight?
Or are you degen'ing and going straight for 30?
6/3
MLB
Arizona +200
Braves +175
Reds +130
Twins -105
I hate to see Price start for the sox. That's the day I pass on the over.
Agree.
I tried a Price/Dickey over last week and lost by 1.
Not doing it again.
I'll wait for the failpitchers.
I will just do one pick today:
Giants (Cueto) -105 at Cardinals (Wainwright)
Cueto has been excellent aside from a bad first week, and seems locked in.
Wainwright keeps claiming that he's doing better, but I'm not seeing it.
His WHIP still sucks, and he has allowed 3 or more ER in 9 of 10 starts. Has never struck more than 5 people out in a game this year. ERA still above 5.
MLB Plays 6/3
LAD U7
CWS O8.5
CLEU7.5
TEX U8.5
GL
ok cubs crushing, cha ching (sort of, odds so low now). pile on tomorrow! but having trouble on more tonight. Eyeing dodgers, but can they score any runs , even against LOL Braves? Price can handle Dickey I think as well. I sort of like the SF call, Cueto is superior pitcher, but on the road, Ill pass. little $ on Darvish for fun.
Last edited by Charham; 06-03-2016 at 02:31 PM.
FYI from what I have seen (though I've not analyzed the actual stats), the "value" underdogs tend to die off in early June, and don't come back.
This is because the reality about MLB performances start to set in, and sleeper pitchers suddenly get more favored, while disappointing "aces" start to get degraded by the books.
I remember this dating back to the '90s when I bet MLB, when I always seemed to do really well in April and May, mostly by picking off good value underdogs, and then getting clobbered after that, when all my underdogs would tend to lose.
This is why I've been tapering away from the underdogs as this seasons is moving along. I still think there is value in Colorado-based games, whenever there is a steep underdog line, due to the "anything can happen in Coors" factor.
Good hit with the Reds.
I see Dbacks and Twins already lost.
Braves currently up on the Dodgers 2-1. I actually liked that pick but didn't do it because it's the Dodgers and I don't like rooting against them.
Was hard enough to root for the Giants today (which did win for me).
OK all eyes on Cubs and Dodgers. The MLs are being pounded so low I think Ill have to mix ML and RL. Lot of interesting pitching today in general (Wash, WS), especially superior pitchers on the road but many of the teams I have been fading all year like the Reds and Twins are playing better so I think I ill let things settle down.
Dodgers -420
:Lol
I don't recall seeing a line that high in recent memory.
MLB 6/4
SF U8
SEA O9
GL
I will look for the Hits + Runs + Errors prop later and try and get Under 21.5 to get involved with that game. The juice is dumb. I know people that will hit ATL just because. I will laugh on them later.
-450 now...was surprised it wasn't -500...think last week he was -420 against san diego...
Took thisI will look for the Hits + Runs + Errors prop later and try and get Under 21.5 to get involved with that game. The juice is dumb. I know people that will hit ATL just because. I will laugh on them later.
3911 Atlanta Braves H+R+E/Los Angeles Dodgers H+R+E Under 22½ -110
Is there no value at +1.5 @ +170?Took this
3911 Atlanta Braves H+R+E/Los Angeles Dodgers H+R+E Under 22½ -110
you would have to be insane to pay -400+ on the dodgers, regardless of who is pitching.-450 now...was surprised it wasn't -500...think last week he was -420 against san diego...
I agree. Dodgers can't hit the ball, so even if Kershaw pitches perfectly all game, its still comes down to bullpens and errors most likely.you would have to be insane to pay -400+ on the dodgers, regardless of who is pitching.
Oh yeah, they are a team with no heart and It seems half of them hate oneanother. I never bet on teams like that, let alone laying -400 or more
Puig on DL, so the one I'll bet they hate the most is gone. I may do RL on this one. Dodgers much better fielding team and relievers are much better. Kershaw keeps the score down, good fielding and relievers to back him up, and rookie hitting three home runs will make the locker room happy, and no Puig! edit: yikes the RL odds suck as well. small bet for fun time.
After tonight the cat will be officially out of the bag about clevelands chances. GSW -6.5 infinite units
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