Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
I agree with most of your personal prediction, but it's closer than you think.

You gave Trump everything Romney got in 2012, minus AZ, UT, and NC.

You gave Hillary everything Obama got, as well.

However, AZ, UT, and NC are all close. Those could easily go to Trump, especially if he campaigns effectively or if one of the many Clinton scandals take hold with the public enough to shift things.

Ohio is also close (within 3%) right now.

And Florida is hard to tell. One poll says Hillary +13, the other says Hillary +1. That's going to be Trump's toughest major battleground state, but it's not out of reach.

Shift the momentum to Trump just a bit more, and he takes AZ, UT, NC, and Ohio and maybe even Florida come within reach.

Then he just needs 17 more electoral votes from other battleground states to win.

I'm not saying he's going to win.

I'm saying it's not hopeless yet for Trump supporters.
I tuned out after 1st line. This analysis is done with stone tools and points to why the predictions have proven to be so dreadful and wrong so far.

Equating Romney voters in 2012 with Trump. Cause why? Romney was a Republican and Trump is sorta tolerated by GOP? Romney's position on the issues is so similar to Trump.

Useless. Completely ignoring the Trump dynamic. This ain't about the issues.

Is Nate Silver still posting?
Almost correct...

Ive been on the trump train and a Bronx trump community for almost a year now..

The community here in the Bronx consist of Puerto Ricans , Dominicans, blacks and under appreciated working class White's.

Its ONLY about this .

Jeb/Ryan : kleptocracy wins
Hillary. : kleptocracy wins.

Trump. : kleptocracy loses

There is no luxury to argue over urinals , tone of voice or micro aggression..

Medium income 49k and dropping (private sector)
Avg welfare family is 63k
Unemployment is over %20
Avg govt employee incl benafites is 287k

It's about nothing else!!!!!!

On a more "in the weeds" approach , people are really starting to educate themselves that we are being colonized, outsourced and redistabuted by global powers who have high jacked our government..

The people have woken up..


We won't allow the powers to distract us on "nonesens" while there taking the money bags to there banks and we are killing each other of supposed racism or war on woman or or or or..

We realize it's just a wsr on us (Americans)