President 2016

[ToasterOven]

I agree with most of your personal prediction, but it's closer than you think.

You gave Trump everything Romney got in 2012, minus AZ, UT, and NC.

You gave Hillary everything Obama got, as well.

However, AZ, UT, and NC are all close. Those could easily go to Trump, especially if he campaigns effectively or if one of the many Clinton scandals take hold with the public enough to shift things.

Ohio is also close (within 3%) right now.

And Florida is hard to tell. One poll says Hillary +13, the other says Hillary +1. That's going to be Trump's toughest major battleground state, but it's not out of reach.

Shift the momentum to Trump just a bit more, and he takes AZ, UT, NC, and Ohio and maybe even Florida come within reach.

Then he just needs 17 more electoral votes from other battleground states to win.

I'm not saying he's going to win.

I'm saying it's not hopeless yet for Trump supporters.

I think Trump's path is to flip the rust belt, not heavily Latino states like FL and CO. If Trump can flip PA, OH, MI, WI that's the path. I don't think he'll do it, considering his lack of discipline. I'm not sure he's going to connect with minority voters. Trump is a yuge dog based on demographics, which is tough because the race is between 2 unpopular candidates.

[FPS_Russia]

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/732201466887319553

[FPS_Russia]

Bernie supports Druff

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/732195262211497984

[TheXFactor]

Democrats win in fewer counties with the most people.

Republicans win in more counties with fewer people.

[FPS_Russia]

holy shit, it's open revolt

The media has decided to cover now that they can spin it for Hillary.

[tyde]

Bernie is toast

Not sure what else to add

See you after he throws in the towel in the next week or so

[TheXFactor]

[Sanlmar]

I agree with most of your personal prediction, but it's closer than you think.

You gave Trump everything Romney got in 2012, minus AZ, UT, and NC.

You gave Hillary everything Obama got, as well.

However, AZ, UT, and NC are all close. Those could easily go to Trump, especially if he campaigns effectively or if one of the many Clinton scandals take hold with the public enough to shift things.

Ohio is also close (within 3%) right now.

And Florida is hard to tell. One poll says Hillary +13, the other says Hillary +1. That's going to be Trump's toughest major battleground state, but it's not out of reach.

Shift the momentum to Trump just a bit more, and he takes AZ, UT, NC, and Ohio and maybe even Florida come within reach.

Then he just needs 17 more electoral votes from other battleground states to win.

I'm not saying he's going to win.

I'm saying it's not hopeless yet for Trump supporters.

I tuned out after 1st line. This analysis is done with stone tools and points to why the predictions have proven to be so dreadful and wrong so far.

Equating Romney voters in 2012 with Trump. Cause why? Romney was a Republican and Trump is sorta tolerated by GOP? Romney's position on the issues is so similar to Trump.

Useless. Completely ignoring the Trump dynamic. This ain't about the issues.

Is Nate Silver still posting?

[Henry]

[tyde]

You are literally insane

[Henry]

[thesparten]

I agree with most of your personal prediction, but it's closer than you think.

You gave Trump everything Romney got in 2012, minus AZ, UT, and NC.

You gave Hillary everything Obama got, as well.

However, AZ, UT, and NC are all close. Those could easily go to Trump, especially if he campaigns effectively or if one of the many Clinton scandals take hold with the public enough to shift things.

Ohio is also close (within 3%) right now.

And Florida is hard to tell. One poll says Hillary +13, the other says Hillary +1. That's going to be Trump's toughest major battleground state, but it's not out of reach.

Shift the momentum to Trump just a bit more, and he takes AZ, UT, NC, and Ohio and maybe even Florida come within reach.

Then he just needs 17 more electoral votes from other battleground states to win.

I'm not saying he's going to win.

I'm saying it's not hopeless yet for Trump supporters.

I tuned out after 1st line. This analysis is done with stone tools and points to why the predictions have proven to be so dreadful and wrong so far.

Equating Romney voters in 2012 with Trump. Cause why? Romney was a Republican and Trump is sorta tolerated by GOP? Romney's position on the issues is so similar to Trump.

Useless. Completely ignoring the Trump dynamic. This ain't about the issues.

Is Nate Silver still posting?

Almost correct...

Ive been on the trump train and a Bronx trump community for almost a year now..

The community here in the Bronx consist of Puerto Ricans , Dominicans, blacks and under appreciated working class White's.

Its ONLY about this .

Jeb/Ryan : kleptocracy wins
Hillary. : kleptocracy wins.

Trump. : kleptocracy loses

There is no luxury to argue over urinals , tone of voice or micro aggression..

Medium income 49k and dropping (private sector)
Avg welfare family is 63k
Unemployment is over %20
Avg govt employee incl benafites is 287k

It's about nothing else!!!!!!

On a more "in the weeds" approach , people are really starting to educate themselves that we are being colonized, outsourced and redistabuted by global powers who have high jacked our government..

The people have woken up..


We won't allow the powers to distract us on "nonesens" while there taking the money bags to there banks and we are killing each other of supposed racism or war on woman or or or or..

We realize it's just a wsr on us (Americans)

[thesparten]

Hillary will get wall Street and k Street money at a rate of 7 t0 1 compared to trump..

Who do u think will serve the American populous better regardless of RHETORIC???

LOL

GO TRUMP!!

[thesparten]

I tuned out after 1st line. This analysis is done with stone tools and points to why the predictions have proven to be so dreadful and wrong so far.

Equating Romney voters in 2012 with Trump. Cause why? Romney was a Republican and Trump is sorta tolerated by GOP? Romney's position on the issues is so similar to Trump.

Useless. Completely ignoring the Trump dynamic. This ain't about the issues.

Is Nate Silver still posting?

Almost correct...

Ive been on the trump train and a Bronx trump community for almost a year now..

The community here in the Bronx consist of Puerto Ricans , Dominicans, blacks and under appreciated working class White's.

Its ONLY about this .

Jeb/Ryan : kleptocracy wins
Hillary. : kleptocracy wins.

Trump. : kleptocracy loses

There is no luxury to argue over urinals , tone of voice or micro aggression..

Medium income 49k and dropping (private sector)
Avg welfare family is 63k
Unemployment is over %20
Avg govt employee incl benafites is 287k

It's about nothing else!!!!!!

On a more "in the weeds" approach , people are really starting to educate themselves that we are being colonized, outsourced and redistabuted by global powers who have high jacked our government..

The people have woken up..


We won't allow the powers to distract us on "nonesens" while there taking the money bags to there banks and we are killing each other of supposed racism or war on woman or or or or..

We realize it's just a war on us!!!(Americans)

[DRK Star]

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/wo...-a7034096.html


CIA 'mistakenly' destroys copy of 6,700-page US torture report

[MumblesBadly]

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/wo...-a7034096.html


CIA 'mistakenly' destroys copy of 6,700-page US torture report

This is the asshole who actually appreciated that action by the CIA.

[big dick]

Id PPV Cheney getting jumper cables hooked up to his nuts

[4Dragons]

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/wo...-a7034096.html


CIA 'mistakenly' destroys copy of 6,700-page US torture report

[MumblesBadly]

holy shit, it's open revolt

The media has decided to cover now that they can spin it for Hillary.

Even a Hillary delegate who attended the Nevada convention mentioned funny business pulled by the state chair (that shrill Hillary stooge seen on the video ramming through illegal decisions on voice votes).

[MumblesBadly]

More deflection bullshit by the Dem Party leader re the Nevada Dem Convention chairperson shenanighans.