Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
Quote Originally Posted by go_buccos View Post

You like to post these 2020/2024 polling comparisons but I would put the chances of the same kinds polling errors existing as in 2016 and 2020 at about zero point zero.
Other than 'your gut feeling' what empirical data do you have to suggest that polling has improved since 2016? It was actually worse in 2020 and they had 4 years to fix it then.
The betting markets are my empirical data.

If the same kinds of errors existed this year Trump would be -800 right now.