Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
AZ is absolutely lost for Harris:

Wow : NEW Arizona early voting update �� Republican: 42.7% (214,915) �� Democratic: 35.9% (180,796) Mail-in ballot return rate: �� Republican: 18% �� Democratic: 16.8%

If trump truly has a lock on Arizona the election has a chance to be called at 9PM.

Ive seen some writings that are saying North Carolina is all but decided.

If one of the networks is ready to call PA early or a shocking Virginia we may all be in bed early.


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I think AZ, GA, NC, and NV are just about in the bag for Trump at this point, while Virginia, New Hampshire, and Nebraska 2 are in the bag for Harris.

Assuming all that is true, and assuming no other surprises, Trump would only need ONE of MI, PA, or WI.

Current Pinny odds in those states:

MI: Harris EVEN
PA: Harris +122
WI: Harris +102

Essentially Harris would need to hit the 3-team parlay of those, which pays 7.97 to 1. The no-vig payout would be more like 8.92 to 1

If NC flips then Trump would need either PA OR Michigan AND Wisconsin.