I think AZ, GA, NC, and NV are just about in the bag for Trump at this point, while Virginia, New Hampshire, and Nebraska 2 are in the bag for Harris.
Assuming all that is true, and assuming no other surprises, Trump would only need ONE of MI, PA, or WI.
Current Pinny odds in those states:
MI: Harris EVEN
PA: Harris +122
WI: Harris +102
Essentially Harris would need to hit the 3-team parlay of those, which pays 7.97 to 1. The no-vig payout would be more like 8.92 to 1
If NC flips then Trump would need either PA OR Michigan AND Wisconsin.






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