Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
I agree with most of your personal prediction, but it's closer than you think.

You gave Trump everything Romney got in 2012, minus AZ, UT, and NC.

You gave Hillary everything Obama got, as well.

However, AZ, UT, and NC are all close. Those could easily go to Trump, especially if he campaigns effectively or if one of the many Clinton scandals take hold with the public enough to shift things.

Ohio is also close (within 3%) right now.

And Florida is hard to tell. One poll says Hillary +13, the other says Hillary +1. That's going to be Trump's toughest major battleground state, but it's not out of reach.

Shift the momentum to Trump just a bit more, and he takes AZ, UT, NC, and Ohio and maybe even Florida come within reach.

Then he just needs 17 more electoral votes from other battleground states to win.

I'm not saying he's going to win.

I'm saying it's not hopeless yet for Trump supporters.



I think Trump's path is to flip the rust belt, not heavily Latino states like FL and CO. If Trump can flip PA, OH, MI, WI that's the path. I don't think he'll do it, considering his lack of discipline. I'm not sure he's going to connect with minority voters. Trump is a yuge dog based on demographics, which is tough because the race is between 2 unpopular candidates.