Originally Posted by
Dan Druff
Here is the only realistic way for Romney to win, barring a fluke victory in Wisconsin most likely of the 3, Pennsylvania no, or Michigan no:
1) Carry Florida no and North Carolina yes, as expected
2) Win the super-close toss-up state of Virgina no
3) Pull somewhat of an upset in Ohio, making up a 2.5 point polling deficit no
4) Win (at least) ONE of these three small states: Nevada no, New Hampshire maybe, Colorado maybe
Romney will probably do #1, and he has a decent chance to pull off #2.
#3 will be tough (but not impossible), and #4 will be tough, those he pretty much has two shots to get it done (New Hampshire and Colorado), where he is only behind 1.5%-2% in both places.
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