Holm inside the distance +128
Probably a doctor stoppage or TKO late.
5 rounds to work.
Conor will likely KO Diaz but too much juice to lay imo.
Printable View
Holm inside the distance +128
Probably a doctor stoppage or TKO late.
5 rounds to work.
Conor will likely KO Diaz but too much juice to lay imo.
UFC 196: Teaser featuring DMX
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YyXccv52EHA
Weigh-Ins right now:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4-oOhty5oy0
Diego literally looks like a concentration camp survivor.
Holm is a mutt but even they need haircuts from time to time.
Holly was more ripped than Conor
Her face acts like shes drunk.
Weigh-Ins from UFC 194 a few months back. Connor on the scale around 32min mark:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TTUpgAVwrXE
LAUGHING MY FUCKING ASS OFF
But yeah, fuck the Diaz brothers. I hope Nate gets totally destroyed.
Its weird that rogan wasnt a complete dicksuck at one point not so long ago.
Always thought it was funny that people make such a big deal about flinching to a sudden movement. It's a reflex. Do they expect you to stand stone cold still and possibly take an unhindered shot to the face? Even more so with pro fighters who are taught to get out of the way or to roll with the punch.
I, by the way, have horrible reflexes and I can't count the number of times that I took a punch in the face at the start of a fight when I worked bar security in college. Through what I can only assume is pure luck, I never have been knocked unconscious. Did get hit in the face with a beer bottle once and literally saw lights flashing in front of my eyes.
HUGE money going in on Tate at the last minute, down to +200... wow....
Thats gambly as hell, I think Tate gets KO'd easy here.
Diaz +380.
I think he has a better shot of pulling upset than almost 4-1. Riding that train to value town.
So pumped for this fight.
Thisville, this is exactly the type of dog anyone who loves money should be picking.
Conor can absolutely maul Diaz, we all know that, but one should stack up on a dog simply on principle when a favored fighter shows up 35 pounds over his normal fight weight against someone with a reach advantage like Diaz, and I'm not even going to get into the fact that if this fight goes to the ground, Diaz instantly becomes a -500 favorite.
No matter what happens tonight, that's the most exploitable line of the year.
I'm stacked up on Diaz win +400, minor action with Diaz by sub +775, and hedging with Conor wins in rd1 +175 or rd2 +325. If Conor wins in rds 3/4/5 then gg me.
Conor weighed in at 168 pounds so only 23 not 35 over his normal weight class. I do agree that Nate is a -500 favorite if this fight goes to the mat. He won't be sitting in guard trying to ground & pound & gas himself like Mendes got goaded into doing. He'll be trying to create scrambles & try to lock in a submission(triangle) so he can give the 2 finger salute while putting him to sleep. I think +380 is a great price to put action on Diaz even with a short camp.
It's pretty obvious now that his normal walk around weight is around 170 & not the 180+ I've seen speculated on unless he just decided to cut an extra 2 pounds to fuck with everybody which I guess is possible since it is Conor.
I like Diaz by sub too. But unfortunately I think Nate is super happy taking in a million and doesn't care about winning or losing.
So he is going to put on a show standing up. Dana likely gave him a standing bonus.
I lolput minor action on Diaz by TKO at +1430 because I think its quite entirely likely that Diaz could get full mount/take the back and just tee off while whispering "209 motherfucker" like its the last thing Conor will ever hear.
My leans tonight:
Holm/Tate to go to decision +105
Shevchenko + 130 (now at +105)
and the gambling play of the day:
Diaz by submission +550
You got in good on Shevchenko, shes -105 on some cards now.
wow.
Sat 3/5 1401 Valentina Shevchenko -110
10:00PM 1402 Amanda Nunes +100
the world hates my diego sanchez play, hes up to +160.
Elkins Skelly fight best prelim fight I seen in a long time.
any good links?
What's 1channel.net/wiz or something that has been pretty close to HD the last few ufcs?
http://wiz1.net/channel1
shhhhhh....
Tonights pick from my FB pool. Went with the contrarian pick in the main FTW OBV
Diaz SUB2 (FINGERS IN THE AIR? TRIANGLE) Gamble pick.
Holm TKO3
Anderson TKO3
Nunes UD
Thatch UD
Silva TKO1
Elkins UD
Miller Sub2
POTN - Holm/Silva
FOTN- Elkins/Skelly