no cespedes? that cant be it...he cant be worth 30 cents...Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
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no cespedes? that cant be it...he cant be worth 30 cents...Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Pittsburgh -108 at Miami
San Diego +164 vs. Seattle
KC -115 vs. Tampa Bay
Won a nail biter. 4 in a row.Quote:
Originally Posted by snake_in_the_assShould be mlb sweep.Quote:
Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass
6/1
Early game
Whitesox +170
More later
Dodgers +175 starts in a couple hours.
Why is everyone betting against the Hawks buffet?
Yumyum
My SD pick is reversed on my book because I tied it to the starting pitchers, and the Seattle pitcher changed.
If your book still let you keep it at the old line, it's a great value.
Otherwise I wouldn't suggest it anymore, though it's not terrible.
Pittsburgh and Miami tied 2-2 in the 8th. KC up 4-2 in the 5th.
Xbox achievement - win a MLB over 21.
Red Sox - Live Total/Orioles - Live Total o21 ½ (-105)
Header: Red Sox @ Orioles - LIVE Total
Scheduled : 06/01/16 7:05 PM (EST)
Accepted: 06/01/16 8:47 PM (EST)
Sport: Baseball - MLB - Live in Game (#392005)
Pitchers: (Fixed), (Fixed)
Ticket #: 144201632
Risk/Win: $105.00/$100.00
Rotation#: 392005/392006
Outcome: Pending
No book will let u keep the old line. If u bet action, meaning not tied to pitchers, u inherit any new lines if pitchers change.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
6/2
Arizona +120
Cavs +6
Yes, I know. I was saying that I bet tied to pitchers, to where it drops my bet and returns the money when the pitchers changed (as it did with SD).Quote:
Originally Posted by snake_in_the_assNo book will let u keep the old line. If u bet action, meaning not tied to pitchers, u inherit any new lines if pitchers change.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I wish I bet "Action", because I would have gone 2-1 yesterday (with SD winning) instead of 1-1.
Here are my picks today:
Arizona (Greinke) at Houston (Keuchel) +126
Boston (Porchello) at Baltimore (Jimenez) Over 9.5 -110
I took Greinke as a dog too. Also took KC as dogs too.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dan DruffYes, I know. I was saying that I bet tied to pitchers, to where it drops my bet and returns the money when the pitchers changed (as it did with SD).Quote:
Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass
I wish I bet "Action", because I would have gone 2-1 yesterday (with SD winning) instead of 1-1.
Here are my picks today:
Arizona (Greinke) at Houston (Keuchel) +126
Boston (Porchello) at Baltimore (Jimenez) Over 9.5 -110
hate betting on marginal pitchers when I cant get a price on them, but cant help myself here...
nicasio (PIT) -105...marlins lineup is dogshit today...no ozuna, no Stanton...only 2 lefties that worry me in that lineup are bour and yelich...and they really don't worry me that much...hoping that the ballpark in Miami will act as a run suppressor if nicasio throws a few bad ones...
EDIT: Stanton is supposedly back in the lineup...im already on it, but that causes me a little pause...
Gsw -6, gsw 3pt made -.5
Royals now +165.....I'd say that's a great price on them against a pitcher coming off the DL.
Carrasco is making his first appearance since April 24 when he strained his left hamstring covering first base against Detroit
I believe he's on an 80 pitch count tonight as well...Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
I wish you could listen to Boston sports talk. Bashing and second guessing Red Sox. I love the summer.
If we are the fellowship of the miserable what must it be like elsewhere?
oh, Jimenez is positively THE WORST.
Reds Rockies: have never bet over 12 in my life but with this pitching you just have to and just shrug if you lose.
[911] BOS RED SOX -1½+135
( R PORCELLO -R / U JIMENEZ -R ) RISKING 200.00 TO WIN 270.00
[911] TOTAL o9½-120 (BOS RED SOX vrs BAL ORIOLES)
( R PORCELLO -R / U JIMENEZ -R ) RISKING 120.00 TO WIN 100.00
[911] BOS RED SOX -123
( ACTION ) RISKING 123.00 TO WIN 100.00
[909] TOTAL o12-120 (CIN REDS vrs COL ROCKIES)
( A SIMON -R / E BUTLER -R ) RISKING 120.00 TO WIN 100.00
Colorado's implied team total is north of 7...some site that tracks this shit (don't know how far back it goes) said that it's the highest they've ever seen...simon is a fucking tire fire...Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sanlmar
I have bad news. I already bet all of these (save the sawks Run Line)
Thanks boys for the Red Sox/Orioles over posts. I jumped on it.
You're gonna see some bets in this thread regarding the Sawks. Some degen might bet the Sawks to win or lose.Quote:
Originally Posted by Charham
Ignore them. I see you did.
Stay pure to the basic premise. Treat it like an article of faith. Big offense and dreadful pitching. The Sawks have no other purpose.
2-3 tonight
One word: Urias.
I'd be very worried if I were the Cavs losing like this when Curry and Thompson only combined for 8/27 and 20 points between them both.
Seven guys in double figures and Thompson wasn't one of them.
Did you unlock the over 28.5 in the Seattle game tonight?Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
Or are you degen'ing and going straight for 30?
6/3
MLB
Arizona +200
Braves +175
Reds +130
Twins -105
I hate to see Price start for the sox. That's the day I pass on the over.
Agree.Quote:
Originally Posted by Daly
I tried a Price/Dickey over last week and lost by 1.
Not doing it again.
I'll wait for the failpitchers.
I will just do one pick today:
Giants (Cueto) -105 at Cardinals (Wainwright)
Cueto has been excellent aside from a bad first week, and seems locked in.
Wainwright keeps claiming that he's doing better, but I'm not seeing it.
His WHIP still sucks, and he has allowed 3 or more ER in 9 of 10 starts. Has never struck more than 5 people out in a game this year. ERA still above 5.
MLB Plays 6/3
LAD U7
CWS O8.5
CLEU7.5
TEX U8.5
GL
ok cubs crushing, cha ching (sort of, odds so low now). pile on tomorrow! but having trouble on more tonight. Eyeing dodgers, but can they score any runs , even against LOL Braves? Price can handle Dickey I think as well. I sort of like the SF call, Cueto is superior pitcher, but on the road, Ill pass. little $ on Darvish for fun.
FYI from what I have seen (though I've not analyzed the actual stats), the "value" underdogs tend to die off in early June, and don't come back.
This is because the reality about MLB performances start to set in, and sleeper pitchers suddenly get more favored, while disappointing "aces" start to get degraded by the books.
I remember this dating back to the '90s when I bet MLB, when I always seemed to do really well in April and May, mostly by picking off good value underdogs, and then getting clobbered after that, when all my underdogs would tend to lose.
This is why I've been tapering away from the underdogs as this seasons is moving along. I still think there is value in Colorado-based games, whenever there is a steep underdog line, due to the "anything can happen in Coors" factor.
Good hit with the Reds.Quote:
Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass
I see Dbacks and Twins already lost.
Braves currently up on the Dodgers 2-1. I actually liked that pick but didn't do it because it's the Dodgers and I don't like rooting against them.
Was hard enough to root for the Giants today (which did win for me).
OK all eyes on Cubs and Dodgers. The MLs are being pounded so low I think Ill have to mix ML and RL. Lot of interesting pitching today in general (Wash, WS), especially superior pitchers on the road but many of the teams I have been fading all year like the Reds and Twins are playing better so I think I ill let things settle down.
Dodgers -420
:Lol
I don't recall seeing a line that high in recent memory.
MLB 6/4
SF U8
SEA O9
GL
I will look for the Hits + Runs + Errors prop later and try and get Under 21.5 to get involved with that game. The juice is dumb. I know people that will hit ATL just because. I will laugh on them later.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
-450 now...was surprised it wasn't -500...think last week he was -420 against san diego...Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
Took thisQuote:
Originally Posted by P4presI will look for the Hits + Runs + Errors prop later and try and get Under 21.5 to get involved with that game. The juice is dumb. I know people that will hit ATL just because. I will laugh on them later.Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
3911 Atlanta Braves H+R+E/Los Angeles Dodgers H+R+E Under 22½ -110
Is there no value at +1.5 @ +170?Quote:
Originally Posted by P4presTook thisQuote:
Originally Posted by P4pres
3911 Atlanta Braves H+R+E/Los Angeles Dodgers H+R+E Under 22½ -110
you would have to be insane to pay -400+ on the dodgers, regardless of who is pitching.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis-450 now...was surprised it wasn't -500...think last week he was -420 against san diego...Quote:
Originally Posted by simpdog
I agree. Dodgers can't hit the ball, so even if Kershaw pitches perfectly all game, its still comes down to bullpens and errors most likely.Quote:
Originally Posted by big dickyou would have to be insane to pay -400+ on the dodgers, regardless of who is pitching.Quote:
Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis
Oh yeah, they are a team with no heart and It seems half of them hate oneanother. I never bet on teams like that, let alone laying -400 or more
Puig on DL, so the one I'll bet they hate the most is gone. I may do RL on this one. Dodgers much better fielding team and relievers are much better. Kershaw keeps the score down, good fielding and relievers to back him up, and rookie hitting three home runs will make the locker room happy, and no Puig! edit: yikes the RL odds suck as well. small bet for fun time.Quote:
Originally Posted by big dick
After tonight the cat will be officially out of the bag about clevelands chances. GSW -6.5 infinite units