Anyone feeling LSU -3 at home against Auburn? I mean, Auburn needed a lot of luck to bet Georgia State at home a couple weeks ago.
Anyone feeling LSU -3 at home against Auburn? I mean, Auburn needed a lot of luck to bet Georgia State at home a couple weeks ago.
U.C.L.A. is a Lock -2.5 , -3, -148..
Univ. Corner Lex. Ave.
I have 6. They are all permutations of Cinci, Saints, Bucs, Titans. I don’t think this is out of the norm. Everyone did Cinci.
Not enthusiastic about Titans and Saints like I was at the beginning of the week.
I haven’t made a single game spread bet this year.
I have Dodgers over 7 and the way my luck is running I might need someone to handicap the Hawaii game for me. Mitchell-gale.
Last edited by Sanlmar; 10-02-2021 at 06:18 PM.
Kinda felt like that Pirates win was more of a "win because things are falling your way right now" than any real skill. But I'll take it.
Every MLB game starts within 15 minutes of one another tomorrow. All between 12:05pm and 12:20pm PDT.
7-1 Dodgers now, so it really will come down to the final game of the season, barring an epic collapse tonight.
I hate having to rest the Dodgers' divisional fortunes on the San Diego Padres again, but here we are.
Padres appear to be trotting out a gimp who rides the bus back and forth to the minors. Pitching mismatch unfortunately.
We will see. Gonna be a spite filled winter in the San Diego press. A Padres win would be some kind of salve on that open wound down there.
I took UCLA too. Unfortunately the refs appear to have taken Arizona state. UCLA had had a lot of big plays called back by phantom penalties. The announcers can’t even figure out what the refs are seeing. Az st is playing good and might win anyways, but refs not taking any chances.
UCLA blocked a punt, and somehow despite being blocked the ball still rolled 30 yards downfield. And then on top of this the refs called a phantom 10 yard penalty on UCLA the announcers didn't even bother trying to figure out what the penalty was. So with a little luck and help from he refs a blocked punt turned into a 40 yard net punt. That pretty much sums up how this game is going.
UCLA has 3rd and goal from the 2 yard line and they try 2 slow developing weird triple draw plays (where both times the QB kept it and got immediately tackled) that looked like something Army would do. And neither play had the slightest chance of working. This is a joke.
No Gronk and a dreadful dreadful secondary. Even Pats Mac Jones can look good. Bill Belichick is preventing me from sleeping. I’m supposed to bet the Pats money line. That’s the only thing that will give me peace. It’ll cross up my teasers. I need to fold the Bucs. Bucs are a bad hand. Maybe I hedge out after dinner.
Ole Miss & Arkansas. Every sharp was on those two and they were epically wrong. I’m still not over it. I dug out by the end of the day but only because of baseball.
Let’s get em tomorrow
Bets for Sep 27-Oct 3(Week 10)
Current
PGA Sanderson (After R1) Sam Burns $1000 at +1400
LPGA Shorpite - SY Kim - $1,000 at +2800
Start $50,000 Remaining $43,350 Current Week $-150 Last Week -$1,620
Total Win/Loss -$4,650
————
At the end of the day Burns could hurt for sure but these are the chances we want with the equity favorite going into the last round. The SY Kim bet is annoying because she did start off yesterday -7 and has shown signs of form, but it will be a little too late. I have def been close to breaking through and I’m hoping those who have stuck through this grind with me will get rewarded.
The Burns bet I was able to post with a days notice. I realize that some people tailing could miss that and that is frustrating for sure. All the ones that were posted with short notice have been losers. I do count them to the tally like the Kyle Busch play last week. So the -$500 was added to the ledger. (Or rather deducted). I think if I had won that bet, I would have considered it to be misleading to add those profits to this tally. Even so, because it lost and the whole point of this is to be accountable, I just deducted the loss for last week.
I think going forward I will carve out an additional bankroll for bets that are posted within 2 hours of starting. Any live golf bets will be included in this tally. This isn’t to play with numbers and make them look any different, in fact it’s just the opposite. My golf bets are usually posted with plenty of time to spare and it’s unrealistic that those tailing or even fading would also tail/fade spur of the moment bets. In this case last week’s bet was a loser so I think just adding it to this ledger is fine. But it would of been wrong to add it if it was a winner because the unlikelihood that others were able to get the play in.
The main thing here is I want things to be transparent as possible. When San suggested that, it was the main goal. I want to stick with this and hopefully get through this grind and start to show some real profit. It also shows as realistically as possible my true exposure on most bets. Although, honestly I typically have a little bit more than I post here. Never do I bet Less (And I have the receipts and the high blood pressure pills to prove it), which is the most important thing imho.
Lastly, I don’t do units because they don’t really tell the story with golf outrights. I think looking at a bankroll and seeing how much of that I am wagering, is easier to then decipher the correct amount for whoever wants to tail the action, based on their comfort level. I think the main guys on this thread who use units do it correctly and it gives a proper representation.
In general, units works much better for normal straight wagers than +800 or more betting propositions. Using actual amounts in my case makes for a better follow imho. If I typically had “one unit” on these outrights it just wouldn’t tell the story. Real dollar figures is a much better representation of how it works with outrights.
Last edited by JeffDime; 10-03-2021 at 06:10 AM.
It s just a fucking shame. The 5 drop shots and the lack of enough race track ahead no buneo. Just really frustrating when I get such a good price and she obviously is finding her form. Not going to get anywhere near 28-1 next time, that’s for fucking sure. Super frustrating to see her make a charge a little too late.
Giants +7
Giants ML @285
Seattle ML @ +120
Vikings ML and game total over 51.5
Dogs are 31-18 ATS (63 percent)
Short road dogs 6 or less are 14-3 ATS (82 percent)
Unders are 29-20 (59 percent). If the total is 45 or less, the under is 12-2 (86 percent)
Discuss
Here's some totals for the final MLB game.
Every single baseball game starts between 12:05pm and 12:20pm PDT.
Angels (Detmers) at Seattle (Ty Andreson) - OVER 7.5 -110
Miami (P. Lopez) vs. Philadelpha (Falter) - UNDER 7.5 -120
White Sox (Cease) vs. Destroit (T. Alexander) - UNDER 8 -110
These should, for the most part, be my last picks, though I may through an occasional pick out during the postseason.