Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #30381
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Wavered back and forth on this, but I'm firing, hoping to break by 4-game streak of late game bad beats.

    San Francisco (Gausman) vs Arizona (M. Kelly) - Under 7.5 +102

    Kelly has actually been damn solid over his past 9 starts -- something lost when looking at how bad the Diamondbacks are overall.
    Diamondbacks bullpen bravery award. Hopefully you have a cushion to work with after 5th
    You know its a shit bullpen when you claim a guy off waivers and he will probably hop into an immediate late inning, high leverage role. Wendelken might be the 2nd best reliever on that team now. Clippard just got healthy and has looked good.

  2. #30382
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    Brothers my bet was a loser anyways, so in the end I am the winner. Still would take that early lead with 2-1 odds all day baby!

    BTW I know their customer service keeps “tabs” on you. I’ve read all the “Tony” chats, if you have some time google Tony 5 Dimes Chat or something like that, the guy was a psychopath!

    Nicky Pipes knows to “stay out of the way” of guys like Tony. Glad to play his site but not looking to “step on any toes”.

    I always got along with their support but never really had any dispute that would cause me not to. Nicky Pipes is a simple guy, I show up, deposit money and if I win a lot I’ll cash some out, if I lose I don’t bitch and moan. Also don’t shoot angles which they hate and would enrage Tony

    RIP to Tony. Only 2 ways to go in the life he chose, jail or death

  3. #30383
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Wyndham - $200 Live Kisner +4000

    Missed the boat yesterday. Shit happens. Lydia birdied first two holes, looked like dimes may go low first round…but a snooze fest to the club house and posted -2. She seems to always start slow. Anyways I’ll update the tally later. Driving today.

    GL

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    Eagles -1 -110 (no reduced juice on preseason)

    --The thesis is brand new head coach has more motivation to win than Tomlin, who has coached so long he DGAF, and already has 1 preseason win under his belt on top.

  5. #30385
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    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    Brothers my bet was a loser anyways, so in the end I am the winner. Still would take that early lead with 2-1 odds all day baby!

    BTW I know their customer service keeps “tabs” on you. I’ve read all the “Tony” chats, if you have some time google Tony 5 Dimes Chat or something like that, the guy was a psychopath!

    Nicky Pipes knows to “stay out of the way” of guys like Tony. Glad to play his site but not looking to “step on any toes”.

    I always got along with their support but never really had any dispute that would cause me not to. Nicky Pipes is a simple guy, I show up, deposit money and if I win a lot I’ll cash some out, if I lose I don’t bitch and moan. Also don’t shoot angles which they hate and would enrage Tony

    RIP to Tony. Only 2 ways to go in the life he chose, jail or death
    Way back in the day I accidentally took the wrong side on some prop bet and I asked him to just change the side I took (before game started), and he refused. And of course I would have won if I had bet correctly, but instead lost.

     
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      NickyPipes: Brother Tony ain’t changing his mind

  6. #30386
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Ifs and buts we’re candy and nuts. Webb started with a double and finished -5. Expunge that +2 and he sits at -7 and he’s probably even money to win this thing, and this is also considering the afternoon guys shot higher than the AM guys.

    Hopefully it’s an exciting weekend

     
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      JeffDime: Webb sure is the horse for this course.

  7. #30387
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    Brothers my bet was a loser anyways, so in the end I am the winner. Still would take that early lead with 2-1 odds all day baby!

    BTW I know their customer service keeps “tabs” on you. I’ve read all the “Tony” chats, if you have some time google Tony 5 Dimes Chat or something like that, the guy was a psychopath!

    Nicky Pipes knows to “stay out of the way” of guys like Tony. Glad to play his site but not looking to “step on any toes”.

    I always got along with their support but never really had any dispute that would cause me not to. Nicky Pipes is a simple guy, I show up, deposit money and if I win a lot I’ll cash some out, if I lose I don’t bitch and moan. Also don’t shoot angles which they hate and would enrage Tony

    RIP to Tony. Only 2 ways to go in the life he chose, jail or death
    Way back in the day I accidentally took the wrong side on some prop bet and I asked him to just change the side I took (before game started), and he refused. And of course I would have won if I had bet correctly, but instead lost.
    It’s why I didn’t even bother contacting support, if the bets cancelled they ain’t changing their minds

     
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      JeffDime: My CR name was Bobby. I wanted something more creative.

  8. #30388
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    My apologies for not getting the Kisner play in earlier. Was just out of commission most of yesterday. I went with him because of the value and he had a few hours to tee off when I posted.

    I do have some action on Webb in all honesty. I always try to match up with Daly in some capacity. I couldn’t quite narrow the field down early this week and then yesterday happened. Henley was one of the guys I had in mind. So I’m pretty sure we all our routing for him to shit the bed real bad.

    As for Kisner, he had good looks all day. He’s a plodder. Any putt outside 5 feet can be a lag for him. But this course only has 2 par 5s and they both can be reachable for him. So he’s not giving away the strokes to the field he would on other courses.

    Webb is going to be a tough customer. Guy is like a pig in shit here.

    GL

    Bets for August 9 -Aug 15 (Week 3)

    Current

    Lydia Ko to win Scottish Open $1000 at +1200 (MGM)

    New Today

    Kevin Kisner $200 at +4000 (MGM Live odds hours before tee off)

    Start $50,000 Remaining $44,800 Current Week 0 Last Week -$2,600
    Last edited by JeffDime; 08-12-2021 at 07:10 PM.

  9. #30389
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Eagles -1 -110 (no reduced juice on preseason)

    --The thesis is brand new head coach has more motivation to win than Tomlin, who has coached so long he DGAF, and already has 1 preseason win under his belt on top.
    Name:  joker-everything-burns.gif
Views: 172
Size:  595.4 KB

    Well, this reminds me of one of the major problems with betting preseason football. That is you feel like the world's biggest jackass when you lose.

  10. #30390
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    My apologies for not getting the Kisner play in earlier. Was just out of commission most of yesterday. I went with him because of the value and he had a few hours to tee off when I posted.

    I do have some action on Webb in all honesty. I always try to match up with Daly in some capacity. I couldn’t quite narrow the field down early this week and then yesterday happened. Henley was one of the guys I had in mind. So I’m pretty sure we all our routing for him to shit the bed real bad.

    As for Kisner, he had good looks all day. He’s a plodder. Any putt outside 5 feet can be a lag for him. But this course only has 2 par 5s and they both can be reachable for him. So he’s not giving away the strokes to the field he would on other courses.

    Webb is going to be a tough customer. Guy is like a pig in shit here.

    GL

    Bets for August 9 -Aug 15 (Week 3)

    Current

    Lydia Ko to win Scottish Open $1000 at +1200 (MGM)

    New Today

    Kevin Kisner $200 at +4000 (MGM Live odds hours before tee off)

    Start $50,000 Remaining $44,800 Current Week 0 Last Week -$2,600
    Was a little worried there for a minute. He stalled out with the 1 under first 8 and then fucked the dog with a 3 put from 5 feet on 9…. And then didndu nothin though 14. So he basically was sitting at 5 under having given away 3 strokes between todays three put and the circus act on 1 yesterday…..

    And then Webb went into God mode and goes -5 on the last 5.

    So long as Hendley doesn’t go into God Mode today we should be in decent shape
    For the weekend.

  11. #30391
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I don’t want to be “that guy” and be the author of a gambling thread and then say don’t gamble….. but this is the time of year where a lot of baseball sharps have shut it down for the year. Truth be told
    It was a few weeks ago.

    All the lines are fairly sharp now and there really are no surprises. The -180 bets don’t won often enough and neither do the +150s

    Tough time of year
    I hate to be this guy… “baseball sharps” (lol) got me triggered

    Heavy money line favorites (-180 or greater) since 2016 during Aug & Sept

    843-294

    ROI +7%

    +18,219 for $100 units

    The thesis is the ever growing chasm between haves & have nots incentivized with trade deadline

    I made a good return up until 2017 fading sharps
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-13-2021 at 04:10 PM.

  12. #30392
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Any brain dead parlays Simp?

    OMG, I just realized the uninitiated this sounds like some kind of backhanded insult.

    Most profitable guy here lately … EF Hutton
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-13-2021 at 04:16 PM.

  13. #30393
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Lost 5 in a row, 4 of which were good picks with a high % to win late in the game. So it's just running bad, but I took a break anyway.

    Here are some today:

    Washington (J. Gray) +156 vs. Atlanta (Morton)
    Colorado (Gomber) +190 at San Francisco (DeSclafani)

    Washington starts soon (4:10 PDT)

    Note that DeScalfani had two bad starts back-to-back, then went on the DL. Then they diagnosed him with "shoulder fatigue". Now, after a 10-day stay, he's back, supposedly better. Do you trust him to have a good outing? Austin Gomber, by the way, has been very good as of late, pitching well in 3 of his 4 last starts, and having a similar pattern prior to being on the DL himself, which he got off in mid-July. He can have his blowup bad outings, but usually you're getting either a solid 6 or something dominant.

  14. #30394
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Lost 5 in a row, 4 of which were good picks with a high % to win late in the game. So it's just running bad, but I took a break anyway..
    Failure to handicap or avoid bullpens is not “running bad”. Some are astoundingly dreadful.

    Sorry

    The fee you pay for the derivative like 1st 5 is often a value and full game discount a false economy

  15. #30395
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    I'm under $500 for Redsox - Orioles.

    9.5 under

    I mean outside of Mullins nobody on Baltimore hits worth a shit. I am sure I will be sweating a 7-1 score in the 7th for sure. These unders always are a sweat.

  16. #30396
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    Mike Minor is not good. The Royals bullpen is not good. The Cardinals have been scoring pretty well lately. I like o2.5 first 5 and I love o4.5 game for St Louis
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  17. #30397
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    I'm under $500 for Redsox - Orioles.

    9.5 under

    I mean outside of Mullins nobody on Baltimore hits worth a shit. I am sure I will be sweating a 7-1 score in the 7th for sure. These unders always are a sweat.
    Obv this bet is a train wreck, was able to hedge 13 under for another $500 mid game. There are already 5 runs in the 3rd innings, quite obviously Baltimore is mailing it in, hopefully the Redsox mail it in with an easy win. Fuck.

  18. #30398
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Mike Minor is not good. The Royals bullpen is not good. The Cardinals have been scoring pretty well lately. I like o2.5 first 5 and I love o4.5 game for St Louis
    I liked both

    I have the o4.5 but I was not able to bet 1st 5 team totals on Betanysports today

    That site frustrates me to no end. Every day it’s something new. I’m just tired of firing up the chat box. I usually don’t suffer fool companies. I can wack you and hold a grudge forever. But I do love me those 1st 5 team totals

    Who did you use sizzle?

  19. #30399
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    I'm under $500 for Redsox - Orioles.

    9.5 under

    I mean outside of Mullins nobody on Baltimore hits worth a shit. I am sure I will be sweating a 7-1 score in the 7th for sure. These unders always are a sweat.
    Obv this bet is a train wreck, was able to hedge 13 under for another $500 mid game. There are already 5 runs in the 3rd innings, quite obviously Baltimore is mailing it in, hopefully the Redsox mail it in with an easy win. Fuck.
    It’s 90 something degrees and humid as Florida. Little bandbox. That ball is gonna fly. Both offenses can score. Especially Boston. Pivetta is rubbish. Both bullpens are insanely bad.

    I didn’t want to bad mouth your bet as you already did it but gosh.

  20. #30400
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I be constructive for a change

    Phillies Reds. Wheeler Mahle.

    Consider over in a little bit. End of 5th is the usually entry point. Another pair with rubbish bullpens and honest offense.

    Wheeler 65 pitches. I am about to watch

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