Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #30021
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post

    Florida State is a sleeping giant. They cleaned up on the transfer portal. They could easily clip 10 wins this year.

    No shot
    10 might be optimistic, but lines of 5 / 5.5 is absurd. This is free money. Making a big bet this month, just need to hunt for 5 games. They routed the transfer portal this year.

  2. #30022
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post


    No shot
    10 might be optimistic, but lines of 5 / 5.5 is absurd. This is free money. Making a big bet this month, just need to hunt for 5 games. They routed the transfer portal this year.

    ND - Loss
    Jack St - Win
    WF - toss up
    Louisville - Toss Up
    Cuse - Win
    UNC - Loss
    Zoo Mass - Win
    Clemson - LOSS!
    NC St - Loss
    Miami - Loss
    BC - Toss up
    UF - Loss

    I got it 3-6 with 3 toss ups

    “But what do I know”

  3. #30023
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post

    10 might be optimistic, but lines of 5 / 5.5 is absurd. This is free money. Making a big bet this month, just need to hunt for 5 games. They routed the transfer portal this year.

    ND - Loss
    Jack St - Win
    WF - toss up
    Louisville - Toss Up
    Cuse - Win
    UNC - Loss
    Zoo Mass - Win
    Clemson - LOSS!
    NC St - Loss
    Miami - Loss
    BC - Toss up
    UF - Loss

    I got it 3-6 with 3 toss ups

    “But what do I know”
    That schedule could be easily 8 wins. You are discounting the transfer portal. I'll give you Clemson as a loss, everything else is winnable. Yeah they won't win them all. But you are are the wrong side of 6 wins for sure.

  4. #30024
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post


    ND - Loss
    Jack St - Win
    WF - toss up
    Louisville - Toss Up
    Cuse - Win
    UNC - Loss
    Zoo Mass - Win
    Clemson - LOSS!
    NC St - Loss
    Miami - Loss
    BC - Toss up
    UF - Loss

    I got it 3-6 with 3 toss ups

    “But what do I know”
    That schedule could be easily 8 wins. You are discounting the transfer portal. I'll give you Clemson as a loss, everything else is winnable. Yeah they won't win them all. But you are are the wrong side of 6 wins for sure.
    I’ll give you whatever you want on over 6 at even money, up to 1K. I can escrow with Druff at any time.

  5. #30025
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post

    That schedule could be easily 8 wins. You are discounting the transfer portal. I'll give you Clemson as a loss, everything else is winnable. Yeah they won't win them all. But you are are the wrong side of 6 wins for sure.
    I’ll give you whatever you want on over 6 at even money, up to 1K. I can escrow with Druff at any time.
    No offense, but I am looking at doing a $10K bet around 5 to 5.5 games. I am not sure why anyone would be interested in action at 6. Just nothing there. I got now a $400 at under 11 and now a $700 under at 10 on the ASG. But whatever.

  6. #30026
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    I’ll give you whatever you want on over 6 at even money, up to 1K. I can escrow with Druff at any time.
    No offense, but I am looking at doing a $10K bet around 5 to 5.5 games. I am not sure why anyone would be interested in action at 6. Just nothing there. I got now a $400 at under 11 and now a $700 under at 10 on the ASG. But whatever.
    I had the other side so I appreciate.

    I spewed a little 8.5 +135 just now but that’s frustration talking. It’s cooler there than I had anticipated.

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    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Line out to 3rd with 2 on and 1 out.

    2 out

    Dead man walking

    Walked Soto - bases loaded 2 out

  8. #30028
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    I’ll give you whatever you want on over 6 at even money, up to 1K. I can escrow with Druff at any time.
    No offense, but I am looking at doing a $10K bet around 5 to 5.5 games. I am not sure why anyone would be interested in action at 6. Just nothing there. I got now a $400 at under 11 and now a $700 under at 10 on the ASG. But whatever.
    Over 5.5 is -150. If you want to work something around that let me know. I’ll give a better price then that.

  9. #30029
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    So bases loaded. I am trying to get out of my bet, book won't allow it. Bases fucking loaded, I can envision a grand slam and clip my bets.

  10. #30030
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    So bases loaded. I am trying to get out of my bet, book won't allow it. Bases fucking loaded, I can envision a grand slam and clip my bets.
    Wow, what a great amount of luck.

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    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    So bases loaded. I am trying to get out of my bet, book won't allow it. Bases fucking loaded, I can envision a grand slam and clip my bets.
    Bases loaded and 3-0 count

    All Star play for 3 outs

  12. #30032
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    $1,100 in the account. I'll never bet another All Star Game again. Just too stressful, every fucking player can launch a homerun. I very easily could have lost it all in the 8th inning without that sinking catch. But I did, just another notch on the belt. Hehehe.

  13. #30033
    How Could You? WillieMcFML's Avatar
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    I’m doing a couple entries in the draft kings PGA milly maker but have almost zero knowledge of the players

    Anyone want to throw me some suggestions?

    If I happen to win anything big will tip accordingly or possible roll you
    Last edited by WillieMcFML; 07-13-2021 at 10:23 PM.
    Hi Lew!!!

  14. #30034
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by WillieMcFML View Post
    I’m doing a couple entries in the draft kings PGA milly maker buy have almost zero knowledge of the players

    Anyone want to throw me some suggestions?

    If I happen to win anything big will tip accordingly or possible roll you

    Here’s a few long shots that can be included. As for the top guys, do you. But maybe throw one or two of these guys in the mix. I like the form on these 5 for the most part.

    You can also put Detry in a lineup or two. Almost won at 100-1 last week and my head would of exploded because I didn’t have him. Maybe that confidence caries over.

    I expect Poulter to play well.

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      WillieMcFML: gracias
    Last edited by JeffDime; 07-13-2021 at 09:54 PM.

  15. #30035
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    Quote Originally Posted by WillieMcFML View Post
    I’m doing a couple entries in the draft kings PGA milly maker buy have almost zero knowledge of the players

    Anyone want to throw me some suggestions?

    If I happen to win anything big will tip accordingly or possible roll you

    Here is some of the top/mid tier guys maybe you want to plug in

    Forgot Morrikawa. He is always underplayed. Not flashy. Prob good for a lineup or two as well.


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      WillieMcFML: thanks again i truly am clueless on PGA

  16. #30036
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    Been hectic and I’m really not sure how I’m attacking the Open. Stuck with some shitty future odds and the last couple weeks been frustrating. Not sure if I’m going to mainly pile on Rahm or play him more modestly and then cover a few of the longer shots. I feel a little better about who I’m looking at going forward than this week in particular. I’ll try to post at a decent time tomorrow.

    I will say I do feel like Poulter will be in the mix this week and is worth a few bucks at 66-1. In my above posts those are some guys I like to play well but not necessarily an outright bet. Especially the longer shots.

    Seeing Detry play well enough to win that tournament last week at 100-1, I will be on him every week now in some capacity.

     
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      WillieMcFML:
    Last edited by JeffDime; 07-13-2021 at 10:12 PM.

  17. #30037
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Been hectic and I’m really not sure how I’m attacking the Open. Stuck with some shitty future odds and the last couple weeks been frustrating. Not sure if I’m going to mainly pile on Rahm or play him more modestly and then cover a few of the longer shots. I feel a little better about who I’m looking at going forward than this week in particular. I’ll try to post at a decent time tomorrow.

    I will say I do feel like Poulter will be in the mix this week and is worth a few bucks at 66-1. In my above posts those are some guys I like to play well but not necessarily an outright bet. Especially the longer shots.

    Seeing Detry play well enough to win that tournament last week at 100-1, I will be on him every week now in some capacity.
    Ian looked good last week but he’s got a poor record the past few years at the open.

    I actually have a few fades on him. Could blow up for sure.

  18. #30038
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Ian looked good last week but he’s got a poor record the past few years at the open.

    I actually have a few fades on him. Could blow up for sure.
    For sure it can go either way. These “Rolex Series” events on the Euro Tour are special events but nothing close to majors. But they have huge purses & Race to Dubai Points comparatively to other tour stops. With Min Woo winning and Detry playing so well & getting into the playoff, it’s tough to say what it means. Maybe the pressure really seemed turned down with the Open the next week.

    I can’t remember have a cent backing Poulter. I’m not going to play him in matchups or top tens, etc. prob just a small bet on the outright odds if a miracle happens. But I figured he would be a decent guy to plug into a DFS lineup.

    Enjoy Vegas. I have the whole month of August booked and I’m hoping I can sort a few things out and be out there the whole month. I really don’t know how much the landscape changed. 6 or 7 months (Maybe a little longer. Time has been tough to quantify the last two years) before the pandemic they still mainly had only pre tournament outrights on most tournaments. The westgate would offer reset odds for the weekend sometimes but it was slim Pickens. Most books only had matchups on the big tournaments. It’s amazing that this wasn’t that long ago. I’m sure things have changed 180 degrees.

    Stay cool, safe trip and come back with a suitcase of cash.
    Last edited by JeffDime; 07-14-2021 at 09:33 AM.

  19. #30039
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I have differing amount of money on Rham Hatton Brooks Mori and Fleetwood to win.

    Bryson not to make cut at +275

    Woo Lee top Rest of World

    English top 20 and 10

    Cink top 20

    Fleetwood > 49

    Finau > 32

    Bland 1R leader and 1R top 10

    Bez > Fowler
    Phil > Ian
    Rory > DJ
    Brooks > DJ
    Grace > Macintire
    Fitz > Ian
    Noren > Ian

     
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      JeffDime: Crush it!
      
      WillieMcFML: Thanks, I’ll throw some of these in the mix
    Last edited by Daly; 07-14-2021 at 09:58 AM.

  20. #30040
    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    90% of public money on the over for NBA game 4. Under 221 the play?

    SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798

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