Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #29481
    Platinum
    Reputation
    386
    Join Date
    Feb 2021
    Posts
    2,558
    Load Metric
    104713433
    Dodgers favored with Price against Wood, any thoughts Druff? Sanlmar? Haven’t been staying up for west coast games
    Last edited by NickyPipes; 05-27-2021 at 05:44 PM.

  2. #29482
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4675
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    23,038
    Load Metric
    104713433
    I bet Giants action. Price is Dodgers best option... if he didn’t materialize it only got better. Machine Gun Kelly used to start.

    Price was pretty good in his inaugural debut. I mean for Price. (2 innings - attaboy faggot) Then it’s the Dodgers meh pen.

    When are they gonna sit Betts and let him reset his body? When Bellinger comes back any day now? It’s a pretty pedestrian lineup. I miss Lux booting balls at short though. Taylor is wayyyy better.

    I did a Giants series small just cause it’ll be a collectible if it works.

  3. #29483
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10973
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    58,270
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    104713433
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Another RHE.

    Detroit (Boyd) vs. Cleveland (Bieber) - Under 22 R+H+E -105

    Game lined at 6.5 runs at some books!

    Boyd has a nice 7.5 H9 so far, and Bieber is at 8.2, which should be trending lower.
    I appreciate the work you’re doing here. You did a nice write up of your handicap the other day too.


    I love this for all the reasons you stated about today’s MLB.

    Cardinals even $ vs the dreadful Diamondbacks? C’mon. All you can eat.

    While we are at it..... Can you find any 1st inning props on BOL? They definitely have a new contractor for their live & prop service. Not happy tbh. They are afraid of action.
    Yeah I missed this one earlier.

    Fortunately I have a few minutes to get this off.

    St. Louis (C. Martinez) -111 at Arizona (Duplantier)

    Big fan of Carlos Martinez, btw. He's actually been better this year than it appears from his ERA. He has never gone less than 5 innings this year. He just needs to keep the walks down.

    I'm 3-0 in RHE picks so far, btw.

  4. #29484
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10973
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    58,270
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    104713433
    Oh and finally I got lucky at the end, after so many brutal MLB beats. The Rockies over had 5 runs going into the top of the 7th, and there wasn't going to be a bottom of the 7th unless I was already a winner. So I had 3 outs to get a run, and... I did.

    I had a few extra innings wins early in the season, but I've also had a ton of blown leads of 3+ runs (including late), and very few comebacks. So that was nice.

    Hopefully Cards do it for me and Sanlmar and I can be 3-0.

    Wish I went with the Bucks again. Almost posted that here, then backed off of it. They're up 20.

  5. #29485
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4675
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    23,038
    Load Metric
    104713433
    3-0 on the RHE so far tailing you Druff Nice

    Glad you caught the D'Backs pitching change Druff.

    Price getting a lot of love. Do you know what’s up?

  6. #29486
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4675
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    23,038
    Load Metric
    104713433
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    Hopefully Cards do it for me and Sanlmar and I can be 3-0.
    Cards pull Martinez and 1,2,3 Diamondbacks have bases loaded no outs bottom 7

    Name:  DEAA097F-049E-4F39-B98F-ABCBCF7D9432.jpeg
Views: 473
Size:  112.1 KB

  7. #29487
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4675
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    23,038
    Load Metric
    104713433
    Stand back, Druff coming through

    RHE unders?

    Lotta rain today. Whatever is left is kind of crummy. I always miss stuff though so I’m listening.





    Degen prop guy brewing. My 2nd points/rebounds/assists ever (1-0) lol Celtics
    Jayson (Black Mamba) Tatum of the Boston Celtics will have under 41.5 pts + reb + ast

    Nets are your parlay anchor tonight, as always. Lakers have been the other.

    Parlay +203
    Baseball - 902 Chicago Cubs -174 for Game (I have Cubs -148 from last night so stifle yourself) W
    Baseball - 912 Los Angeles Dodgers -196 for Game
    Basketball - 563 Brooklyn Nets -365 for Game

    Sizzle Memorial Day Dog Special
    917 Kansas City Royals +135 for 1st 5 Innings

    RHE over
    Trash pitchers & trash bullpens. I can’t resist.
    St. Louis Cardinals/Arizona Diamondbacks over 28 -115 for Game

     
    Comments
      
      Daly: Did someone say under?
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 05-28-2021 at 02:57 PM.

  8. #29488
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2880
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,929
    Load Metric
    104713433
    So I’m keeping up with the RHE

    Yankees under 24 -135
    LAD under 24.5 -115

  9. #29489
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
    Reputation
    2005
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    10,772
    Load Metric
    104713433
    Game 7

    Vegas in regulation -106
    First team to score Vegas -159

    If you don't like regulation, Sanlparlay it up Brooklyn ml + Vegas ml

  10. #29490
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
    Reputation
    1543
    Join Date
    Apr 2020
    Location
    Brick City, USA
    Posts
    2,891
    Load Metric
    104713433
    I know it’s tiresome, but JT shot just about as good a tee to green round you could ask for. I don’t remember a birdie putt more than 18 feet. He could of easily shot 8 or 9 under and into semi contention. Yesterday he was all over the place and scrambled & putted to a 2 over. He barely missed a putt. Today he missed 6 or 7 short ones. Just the way it’s going. He could of shot 62 today. Now he’ll probably get a decent finish, but unless he has another dream day tomorrow, no shot winning this thing.

  11. #29491
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
    Reputation
    4675
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    23,038
    Load Metric
    104713433
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Game 7

    Vegas in regulation -106
    First team to score Vegas -159

    If you don't like regulation, Sanlparlay it up Brooklyn ml + Vegas ml
    I’m playing way too tight with these RHE. It is a rainy day country wide and if your starter pitches 2 innings and it’s a long delay then you could get screwed with some random giving you length. Today might not be the day for a frontal assault

    I am doing the LA RHE under


    Real talk Simp. VGK to go to overtime is +300. Let’s pause to reflect on the insane number of OT games in the first round. Please explain. I haven’t done any statistics cause I’ll puke. I was aware that this might be a thing but I didn’t pull the trigger. So now I’m triggered.

    I will tail VGK with the parlay @ +104 cause I’m obedient.

  12. #29492
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10973
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    58,270
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    104713433
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    So I’m keeping up with the RHE

    Yankees under 24 -135
    LAD under 24.5 -115
    Co-signed.

    Mize 6.68 H9, Cole 6.17 H9 (and crushing it, except for one bad start versus Texas recently).

    The Dodgers game is a bit more complicated. Sure, Buehler has a 6.82 H9, and has generally looked good lately. Sure, DeSclafani has been one of the biggest pleasant surprises this year, and sports a 7.23 H9. However, in their last meeting, the Dodgers shellacked DeSclafani for 10 runs in 2 2/3 innings, including 9 hits. Ouch!

    However, I still like the Dodgers RHE under because the lightning already struck once against DeSclafani, who otherwise had a great season going. If anyone is going to be motivated to put in the work to suppress the Dodger bats this time around, it's him. That Dodgers have been the one giant pimple on his otherwise breakout 2021.

    Unfortunately, Daly's lines are now #stale now, since it's been 2 hours. Here are my picks, with updated (worse) lines:

    Yankees (Cole) at Detroit (Mize) - Under 23 R+H+E -115
    Dodgers (Buehler) vs. San Francisco (DeSclafani) - Under 24.5 R+H+E -120

  13. #29493
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    10973
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    58,270
    Blog Entries
    2
    Load Metric
    104713433
    Why make your own picks if your forum members do it for you?

    I noticed this one by Sanlmar:

    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar
    Sizzle Memorial Day Dog Special
    917 Kansas City Royals +135 for 1st 5 Innings
    Co-signed again.

    Not sure which Randy Dobnak is going to show up -- the horrendous reliver from April, or the guy who dominated the Indians last week for 6 shutout innings?

    After almost 18 straight shutout innings spanning 4 games, Kris Bubic finally let his nerves get to him in his last start, giving up 4 hits in the first, before settling down. Overall it wasn't a terrible start, just a bad first inning. I'll forgive.

    Kansas City (Bubic) +135 at Minnesota (Dobnak) - FIRST FIVE INNINGS

  14. #29494
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
    Reputation
    2005
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    10,772
    Load Metric
    104713433
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Game 7

    Vegas in regulation -106
    First team to score Vegas -159

    If you don't like regulation, Sanlparlay it up Brooklyn ml + Vegas ml
    I’m playing way too tight with these RHE. It is a rainy day country wide and if your starter pitches 2 innings and it’s a long delay then you could get screwed with some random giving you length. Today might not be the day for a frontal assault

    I am doing the LA RHE under


    Real talk Simp. VGK to go to overtime is +300. Let’s pause to reflect on the insane number of OT games in the first round. Please explain. I haven’t done any statistics cause I’ll puke. I was aware that this might be a thing but I didn’t pull the trigger. So now I’m triggered.

    I will tail VGK with the parlay @ +104 cause I’m obedient.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_NHL_game_sevens

    Since 2015 we have had 1 successful comeback from 3-1 (well that one was 3-0).

    They're hard to come by......

  15. #29495
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
    Reputation
    817
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    5,048
    Load Metric
    104713433
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Why make your own picks if your forum members do it for you?

    I noticed this one by Sanlmar:

    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar
    Sizzle Memorial Day Dog Special
    917 Kansas City Royals +135 for 1st 5 Innings
    Co-signed again.

    Not sure which Randy Dobnak is going to show up -- the horrendous reliver from April, or the guy who dominated the Indians last week for 6 shutout innings?

    After almost 18 straight shutout innings spanning 4 games, Kris Bubic finally let his nerves get to him in his last start, giving up 4 hits in the first, before settling down. Overall it wasn't a terrible start, just a bad first inning. I'll forgive.

    Kansas City (Bubic) +135 at Minnesota (Dobnak) - FIRST FIVE INNINGS
    I have no bet on the game, technically, but I am using Dobnak as a value 2nd starter in DFS today to go with Cole. Dobbers is an old-school soft-tosser/ground ball inducing pitcher who also apparently much prefers to have the starters schedule than pitching out of the pen. I wouldn't be surprised if he has another quality start in this spot.

  16. #29496
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
    Reputation
    817
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    5,048
    Load Metric
    104713433
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    I’m playing way too tight with these RHE. It is a rainy day country wide and if your starter pitches 2 innings and it’s a long delay then you could get screwed with some random giving you length. Today might not be the day for a frontal assault

    I am doing the LA RHE under


    Real talk Simp. VGK to go to overtime is +300. Let’s pause to reflect on the insane number of OT games in the first round. Please explain. I haven’t done any statistics cause I’ll puke. I was aware that this might be a thing but I didn’t pull the trigger. So now I’m triggered.

    I will tail VGK with the parlay @ +104 cause I’m obedient.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_NHL_game_sevens

    Since 2015 we have had 1 successful comeback from 3-1 (well that one was 3-0).

    They're hard to come by......
    I'm completely homer betting the Wild. Fun, meaningless stats:

    Wild have come back from 3-1 three times in franchise history (twice in 2003 in consecutive rounds), a history thats only 20 years long with uh....not a large amount of overall series' played.

    Vegas coach DeBoer is 5-0 lifetime in game 7's. Lotta coinflips going one way.

  17. #29497
    Silver
    Reputation
    208
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    858
    Load Metric
    104713433
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JoeD View Post
    I like Ko at +1100, not sure of the risk/reward at +550. GL though.

    I'm going to put a little bit on S Kim on Bovada, I dont like going too crazy on that site. There should be separate Sunday odds as well when it gets down to the final 4.

    Both Kim and Ko should have no problem getting out of their groups into the final 16. From there, a crapshoot as usual.

    LPGA with the poor marketing once again - it sucks how limited the TV time is going to be for this. On Saturday the Final 16 will play down to a Final 4 (36 holes for some), yet it looks like there will be only 3 hours of late day TV coverage. Sunday same thing - the Final 4 play to a winner yet only 3 hours at the end again. The US Amateurs Championship (men and women) get way more coverage.

    Seems like Golf Channel and LPGA could do much better than that or at least stream it on the App.
    Well she better beat Natalie Gulbis today, the last thing Gulbis shot was the apprentice like 12 years ago. This is the biggest gimme in the field.

    The coverage is a major problem. I think it’s all financial. I wish they would just run the cameras without the commenters at least. It would be better than nothing.

    At this point all we get most of the time is an update after each hole by the scorer assigned to the group. So we just have to keep refreshing the computer screen which is really annoying. The Euro tour doesn’t even have a ball tracker either and uses the same means, but their TV coverage is much better.

    Gathering information is also a huge problem for the bettor. It’s so much more limited than in men’s golf. When I had big money on J Ko and she had that inexplicable poor final round at the LA Open, it wasn’t until after the tournament that I found a short article in “Women’s Pro Golf” weekly that mentioned she has been dealing with a wrist injury.

    That may or may not have affected her that Sunday but would of been useful information, especially with the short odds you have to take. This week because everyone was 10-1 or more I feel there is value in betting. But I’ve taken big losses in J Ko, L Ko and Sy Kim all at odds around 6-1. Just not sustainable. Outright vig is outrageous, but the LPGA takes the cake.
    Gulbis knocks out Masson with a miracle putt on 18 lol.

    Ko just has to beat Nordqvist to get to the final 16

  18. #29498
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
    Reputation
    2880
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    10,929
    Load Metric
    104713433
    Quote Originally Posted by JoeD View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post

    Well she better beat Natalie Gulbis today, the last thing Gulbis shot was the apprentice like 12 years ago. This is the biggest gimme in the field.

    The coverage is a major problem. I think it’s all financial. I wish they would just run the cameras without the commenters at least. It would be better than nothing.

    At this point all we get most of the time is an update after each hole by the scorer assigned to the group. So we just have to keep refreshing the computer screen which is really annoying. The Euro tour doesn’t even have a ball tracker either and uses the same means, but their TV coverage is much better.

    Gathering information is also a huge problem for the bettor. It’s so much more limited than in men’s golf. When I had big money on J Ko and she had that inexplicable poor final round at the LA Open, it wasn’t until after the tournament that I found a short article in “Women’s Pro Golf” weekly that mentioned she has been dealing with a wrist injury.

    That may or may not have affected her that Sunday but would of been useful information, especially with the short odds you have to take. This week because everyone was 10-1 or more I feel there is value in betting. But I’ve taken big losses in J Ko, L Ko and Sy Kim all at odds around 6-1. Just not sustainable. Outright vig is outrageous, but the LPGA takes the cake.
    Gulbis knocks out Masson with a miracle putt on 18 lol.

    Ko just has to beat Nordqvist to get to the final 16
    KO just lost and went to 2-1. Is she out or she have a play in?

  19. #29499
    Silver
    Reputation
    208
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    858
    Load Metric
    104713433
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JoeD View Post

    Gulbis knocks out Masson with a miracle putt on 18 lol.

    Ko just has to beat Nordqvist to get to the final 16
    KO just lost and went to 2-1. Is she out or she have a play in?
    Ko v Nordqvist playoff, should start soon. Would have been 3 way playoff except for Masson getting knocked out

  20. #29500
    Silver
    Reputation
    208
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    858
    Load Metric
    104713433
    Quote Originally Posted by JoeD View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    KO just lost and went to 2-1. Is she out or she have a play in?
    Ko v Nordqvist playoff, should start soon. Would have been 3 way playoff except for Masson getting knocked out
    Looks like Ko just lost the 1 hole playoff. Shitty coverage as usual

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 2 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 2 guests)

Similar Threads

  1. Offers of thought on this one needed.
    By son of lockman in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 17
    Last Post: 09-20-2013, 04:54 PM
  2. Sportsbook suggestions
    By Walter Sobchak in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 4
    Last Post: 02-02-2013, 11:04 AM
  3. negotiating compensation from job offers
    By mulva in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 5
    Last Post: 11-12-2012, 09:17 PM
  4. Best Sportsbook on the strip ?
    By FrenchJew in forum Poker Community Discussion
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 06-09-2012, 11:50 AM
  5. Vwls-Props for doing radio and making it interesting!
    By Pokehermaniac in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 9
    Last Post: 06-01-2012, 08:36 PM

Tags for this Thread