Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #27881
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    No hedge btw, Tom Brady and I are both GOD

     
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    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Good news and bad news. Good news is there is only one golfer in the top 10 in the world playing this week. Bad news is it’s Dustin Johnson. He is around +350 at most places. He honestly could of won in Saudi Arabia by 12 shots instead of 2 if the putter just worked normally for him.

    He is very likely to win but there no way I’m taking +350. This is week where you can get a good price on a lot of guys that have been around the leaderboard lately.

    I got a few free bets from super bowl promos and I’ll prob pick 3 guys and hope one of them pops. More importantly hope DJ shits the bed somehow. Maybe that flight from Dubai will at least cause him to start off slow.

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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Good news and bad news. Good news is there is only one golfer in the top 10 in the world playing this week. Bad news is it’s Dustin Johnson. He is around +350 at most places. He honestly could of won in Saudi Arabia by 12 shots instead of 2 if the putter just worked normally for him.

    He is very likely to win but there no way I’m taking +350. This is week where you can get a good price on a lot of guys that have been around the leaderboard lately.

    I got a few free bets from super bowl promos and I’ll prob pick 3 guys and hope one of them pops. More importantly hope DJ shits the bed somehow. Maybe that flight from Dubai will at least cause him to start off slow.
    Cantlay +1000

    DJ never plays well coming back from Saudi Arabia - he can be caught.

  4. #27884
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    *** MONEYLINE ALERT ***

    The Bucks are 4-0 in February, winning by blowout each time. They face the enigmatic Nuggets in Denver, now 1-3 in their last four (and looking bad in all of the three losses), and the Bucks are just a 3.5 favorite.

    Do you think I'm picking Milwaukee?

    Of course not. That would be the ploppy play.

    Denver will surprise the Bucks and hand them their first February loss.

    Also, tonight the Suns and Cavaliers play, in what looks like a simpdog autobet type situation. In the past 6 contests, Cavs have scored 81, 104, 100, 99, 105, 99. Phoenix has scored 114, 111, 109, 101, 109, 100. In three of those, Phoenix also held their opponent to 91-93 points. Going with the under for this and other reasons.


    Phoenix vs. Cleveland - Under 214.5
    Denver +140 vs. Milwaukee

  5. #27885
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Name:  B4199E7A-1831-43B1-812C-07A035CC0BD6.jpeg
Views: 707
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    Does anyone believe this is true? I can’t imagine a book exposing themselves like this.
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

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    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Name:  B4199E7A-1831-43B1-812C-07A035CC0BD6.jpeg
Views: 707
Size:  216.0 KB

    Does anyone believe this is true? I can’t imagine a book exposing themselves like this.
    No, don’t believe it, but in some world he actually got that amount of $ down on a prop, the fact he did it and didn’t keep quiet means they’re 100% going to fuck him. He is all over the place bragging about it.

    I saw some story about him being paid by a YouTube channel to promote it on NY Post this morning. I can’t link it for some reason.

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    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    NBA Autobets 5-4 on year after the rough 1-3 day.

    Lakers under 216
    Denver over 234
    Nuggets 79 point 1st followed by 42 point 2nd. Ugh....
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I’ll give anyone $100 that comes up with hard evidence that guy collects 200k from any offshore book.


    0.0% chance that’s true.

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    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    NHL
    Leafs in regulation -155
    Oilers over 6.5 -125
    Arizona over 5.5 +105

    Adding Oilers in regulation -135. This is stealing candy from a baby.
    Arizona over hits with 1 second remaining. Lol, never in doubt
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  10. #27890
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    NBA Autobets 5-4 on year after the rough 1-3 day.

    Lakers under 216
    Denver over 234
    Nuggets 79 point 1st followed by 42 point 2nd. Ugh....
    I also need the Nuggets to score. My Phoenix under is already dead, and the Nuggets had a halftime lead, but are down 18-9 in the 3rd, and now trail by 6.

    I've dodged a losing day for a long time, but looks like it might be coming.

  11. #27891
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post

    Nuggets 79 point 1st followed by 42 point 2nd. Ugh....
    I also need the Nuggets to score. My Phoenix under is already dead, and the Nuggets had a halftime lead, but are down 18-9 in the 3rd, and now trail by 6.

    I've dodged a losing day for a long time, but looks like it might be coming.

    Name:  0655F33C-4A08-452A-BA0D-6CAA9D1AF4EB.jpeg
Views: 510
Size:  95.0 KB

    Ugh.....
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  12. #27892
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Yeah, lost them both.

    I regret not seeing the OKC moneyline against the Lakers, who have been dogshit in some games where Davis is out. Since there's no AD today, it wasn't a stretch to think OKC had a decent chance, and indeed they're up 7.

    That would've been a nice payday. It's not over though.

  13. #27893
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Name:  B4199E7A-1831-43B1-812C-07A035CC0BD6.jpeg
Views: 707
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    Does anyone believe this is true? I can’t imagine a book exposing themselves like this.

    LOL I had to use 4 diff books to get 2k down on the coin toss

    This is fake news

    Kaia Kanepi isn't hope you all listened

  14. #27894
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Good news and bad news. Good news is there is only one golfer in the top 10 in the world playing this week. Bad news is it’s Dustin Johnson. He is around +350 at most places. He honestly could of won in Saudi Arabia by 12 shots instead of 2 if the putter just worked normally for him.

    He is very likely to win but there no way I’m taking +350. This is week where you can get a good price on a lot of guys that have been around the leaderboard lately.

    I got a few free bets from super bowl promos and I’ll prob pick 3 guys and hope one of them pops. More importantly hope DJ shits the bed somehow. Maybe that flight from Dubai will at least cause him to start off slow.
    Cantlay +1000

    DJ never plays well coming back from Saudi Arabia - he can be caught.
    Fuck DJ withdrew so all the prices just went down on everyone. Cantlay +650/+700. Betting yesterday was the value. B/C he was such a heavy heavy favorite the odds shift on everyone else is the most dramatic since Tiger withdrawing in his prime. Dam yesterday was the day to bet.
    Last edited by JeffDime; 02-09-2021 at 09:20 AM.

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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Cantlay +1000

    DJ never plays well coming back from Saudi Arabia - he can be caught.
    Fuck DJ withdrew so all the prices just went down on everyone. Cantlay +650/+700. Betting yesterday was the value. B/C he was such a heavy heavy favorite the odds shift on everyone else is the most dramatic since Tiger withdrawing in his prime. Dam yesterday was the day to bet.
    I’m happy and heated.

    I was able to get some Cantlay at 10-1 yesterday but some books didn’t post until today.

    I got a hybrid line of 8.5-1.....

  16. #27896
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Autobets 1-1 yesterday for 6-5 on year.

    Brooklyn over is the autobet for today.

     
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      jsearles22: The new 1p

  17. #27897
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    NHL

    Oilers in regulation -130
    Oilers over 6.5
    Tampa in regulation +104
    SJ over 5.5 -125

    If you want to get fancy do Vegas/Oilers moneyline parlay?

     
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      jsearles22: Great day

  18. #27898
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    *** MONEYLINE ALERT ***

    Detroit +205 vs. Brooklyn

    Durant out

  19. #27899
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    So far so good with Detroit, up 38-26 after 1. Long way to go, though, and the Nets can put up points quickly.

    Here are two more I've been mulling over today, and have decided to fire:

    Golden State -1 at San Antonio (Draymond "probable")
    Philadelphia at Sacramento - Over 232

  20. #27900
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    NHL

    Oilers in regulation -130
    Oilers over 6.5
    Tampa in regulation +104
    SJ over 5.5 -125

    If you want to get fancy do Vegas/Oilers moneyline parlay?

    Decided to go with your last one, except I chose o6 +110 instead of 5.5 -126.

    My first simpdog NHL tail of the year.

    I see both Oilers bets looking decent so far.

    GL us

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