Fuck it, I took Denver ML +340 at halftime. I was going to go the other direction, but KC keeps dancing between the raindrops and should have lost one of these close ones already
Fuck it, I took Denver ML +340 at halftime. I was going to go the other direction, but KC keeps dancing between the raindrops and should have lost one of these close ones already
Let’s go PSU. OT 12-2 run for the badguy and san
Midgets & pedophiles
Daly, I see Bez is 20-1 in the Dubai World Championship. I know you will at least are going to put a few bucks on the hat trick. I hit this last year, but with the chalk Rahm. I know for sure I won’t be betting Patrick Reed at the price he is at. I may put a few on Bez myself. Tommy won this in 2017 and was runner-up last year. 3 million to the winner plus 2 Million In R2D bonus. This is a real chance for him to end a really disappointing season with a bang. This will be a tough one to handicap.
Mostert over 53.5 yds -150 is the Prop of the Day Guaranteed Super 5* LOCK Platinum MAGA play.
Call 1-800-San-lmar for the other free plays, or all 1-900-bad-guy23 for the $24.95 plays.
Originally Posted by simpdog
All I can tell you is if you take a giant step back and look at all NFL player props made Over the last 10 years Running back Overs are the single worst bet you can possibly make.
-150 + NFL RB + Over = a Really bad idea Even if it wins
Mods please delete Daly's post we don't need negative vibes on a winning lock play.
All I can tell you is if you take a giant step back and look at all NFL player props made Over the last 10 years Running back Overs are the single worst bet you can possibly make.
-150 + NFL RB + Over = a Really bad idea Even if it wins
Daly trying to get people betting against me so he can get a better line. I get it.
I’m in my shed with Grey Goose, candles and teasers.
Daly will neg rep so I PM’d Simp
I’ll leave the door unlocked
I used to blind bet your fight picks. Obvious regret. Nice work
LPGA (I Know) J Ko +2200. This is their US Open. She spent most of the lockdown in Korea and still hung on to her #1 ranking. Came back and was in contention last week. Worth a few bucks at 20-1 or better. Not gonna play the QBE shootout. Prob put a few bucks on Bez and Sami for Dubai but nothing I feel strongly on. Very tough to handicap. Prices on the top 6 or 7 betting choices are awful.
I bought a nice piece of Fleetwood for +1400
When I think of the year Tommy had, and it certainly was a frustrating one. Not even making it to the tour championship. He wins this tournament, he wins the 3 million dollar purse plus the 2 million Race to Dubai, just like Rahm last year. He kind of washes all that off in one tournament.
He knows this place and he just feasts on Par 5s when he’s going well. The prices reflect the large incentive for the players in contention for the bonus prize pool. Reminds me a bit of nascar prices when the players who are still in the chase odds are reduced. I will join you Daly, it just a matter of how much.
One extra note...putting has been his Achilles heel this year. These Dubai greens are almost Resort Like (They are a resort). I would expect that not to be as much an issue on these slower, less sloped greens.
Mods please delete Daly's post we don't need negative vibes on a winning lock play.
Daly trying to get people betting against me so he can get a better line. I get it.
So not to be an asshole did we learn anything last night?
To be clear I expected your bet to win by the numbers. I figured him for mid 60’s rushing and the guy I collaborate with on projections had him at 66.5. You were 100% on the “right side”.
There is a certain comfort in only swimming with the current of the stream. When you trying to beat a line in a direction to loses almost 70% of the time you are off to a bad start.
If the lined him at 75.5 yards you would have had all the makings of a winning prop bet. You got 10 yards of value. You got injury equity. You got gameflow equity. And not to beat the dead horse you making a bet that wins way more than it loses if you bet it blind. That under would have almost been worth -150.
Does Dallas(only 43 yards) and Tennessee have similar defensive schemes? I mean the guy had at least 108 yds in 4 of the last 5 games. 88.5 was eye opening for sure.
Mods please delete Daly's post we don't need negative vibes on a winning lock play.
Daly trying to get people betting against me so he can get a better line. I get it.
So not to be an asshole did we learn anything last night?
To be clear I expected your bet to win by the numbers. I figured him for mid 60’s rushing and the guy I collaborate with on projections had him at 66.5. You were 100% on the “right side”.
There is a certain comfort in only swimming with the current of the stream. When you trying to beat a line in a direction to loses almost 70% of the time you are off to a bad start.
If the lined him at 75.5 yards you would have had all the makings of a winning prop bet. You got 10 yards of value. You got injury equity. You got gameflow equity. And not to beat the dead horse you making a bet that wins way more than it loses if you bet it blind. That under would have almost been worth -150.
I bet the Cowboys.
Zurlein and McCarthy apparently bet the Ravens.
We move on.
Cowboys are down by 17 in the 4th against prevent D and are bleeding the clock with ground n pound. WTF? It seems McCarthy REALLY doesn't want to cover.
Midget fades week 14 - talk to me badguy
Saints -7 vs Eagles Hurts? I feel it’s going to -7.5
Giants +2.5 OFF THE BOARD? v Cards Toradol-less Murray
Murray +150 —-> -150 —-> tear up slip
Edit
While we are handicapping Santa’s Elves
Russell Wilson ain’t Russell Wilson any more. It’s off-the-board to me but if you give me +14 Jets I’m gonna be seriously conflicted.
How about a midget 3 team parlay? You ever tease a midget? The high pitched laughs amirite?
Last edited by Sanlmar; 12-09-2020 at 10:12 AM.
This is weird to me
Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski questions playing basketball games during coronavirus pandemic. ESPN
Been firing a couple college basketball a night. Line moves and system plays. If I scratch out a unit every 2 days I’m happy.
Duke was never in this. They were down 14-2 from the tip-off. I didn’t watch. What was going on behind the scenes? This was mostly a public Duke fade.
Coronavirus may be a bigger thing in men’s basketball than I ever thought. I don’t have the energy to follow twitter and all that. I may be playing with fire. This isn’t football where you have 60 guys.
I need to stop ..... after tonight, lol
Last edited by Sanlmar; 12-09-2020 at 11:22 AM.
Right where we need him to be at the end of day 1.When I think of the year Tommy had, and it certainly was a frustrating one. Not even making it to the tour championship. He wins this tournament, he wins the 3 million dollar purse plus the 2 million Race to Dubai, just like Rahm last year. He kind of washes all that off in one tournament.
He knows this place and he just feasts on Par 5s when he’s going well. The prices reflect the large incentive for the players in contention for the bonus prize pool. Reminds me a bit of nascar prices when the players who are still in the chase odds are reduced. I will join you Daly, it just a matter of how much.
One extra note...putting has been his Achilles heel this year. These Dubai greens are almost Resort Like (They are a resort). I would expect that not to be as much an issue on these slower, less sloped greens.
I have some shares of Macintire as well so I’m super happy.
Badguy, you use that betrivers app? I was thinking about killing a customer service rep named peter earlier. Fuckers have me going in circles
Now that I think of it, you probably bet too heavily to have the tax man involved with your level of debauchery
Look at Pats now +4½ vs Rams tonight. On my book it has gone from +6½ —> +4½ with NO buy back at any point. That’s a big move.
I never would have chosen Pats of my own free will but this is a pretty sharp move. This is like Washington win last week.
When it is puke-worthy it’s usually right.
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