Quote Originally Posted by BetCheckBet View Post
Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
There is all kinds of shit I wish I could remember exactly. I recall Election Day on predictit when you could get Trump for a nickel, and possibly less, but I wish there was some historical record of shit that I didn’t have to dig deep into the recesses of google for.

Like I’ve been enjoying the 538 podcasts and PLO’s star spangled gambling pod, but that’s mostly because they’re saying shit I want to hear. There feels like a bit of revisionist history with Nate and his 30% Trump talk. Like I get he’s a poll aggregator so even if you finish at 30, it counts, because your math is all based on the polls and they tightened very late. Still, I swear I recall like 93/7 until the very last second. That’s different than being the guy saying I think Trump might be 30 the whole last month and we have to be careful and this is a fire hazard. It’s more like shouting fire once it’s already ablaze. I wanted to kill that motherfucker on election night 2016.

There was a poster on 2+2, I can’t recall who, but a smart guy on a host of topics and a huge poker winner and educated guy, and I recall him just so deep on Hillary in every market he could access across the globe. He had to drop a million. Those dudes on PLO’s podcast remind me of that dude. Most of the time that dude is right, but when he’s wrong, it’s expensive as fuck.
You can see the whole history of two months leading to election here. Trump was never below 20 cents. About 25 cents day of election.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...ntial-election

Way back machine shows predict it had dems at 55 cents to win Florida on Election Day as well
Strange. I seem to recall something in single digits, but I must be remembering a particular state or something I was fading. Maybe it’s just PTSD and my memory confusing it with the NYT meter or something because I was so disgusted . I just remember this holy fuck moment and the markets being basically locked because of the furious buying and selling when it became obvious it was going to flip.