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Thread: So coronavirus is definitely going to kill a few of us.

  1. #9761
    Diamond TheXFactor's Avatar
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    There are three options in a pandemic...

    1) Race through it

    2) Delay and Vaccinate

    3) Coordinate and Crush

    The U.S. and most of the world choose option two.


  2. #9762
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheXFactor View Post
    There are three options in a pandemic...

    1) Race through it

    2) Delay and Vaccinate

    3) Coordinate and Crush

    The U.S. and most of the world choose option two.

    Also a big problem with #2 is what happens if there's never a vaccine? Very possible scenario. Or if there is a vaccine and you have a huge percentage of a country's population unwilling to take it.

  3. #9763
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffCo99 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by gimmick View Post



    They have 7-10 as many deaths compared to Norway or Finland. Sweden benefited from everyone around them and everyone around them suffered from Sweden's decisions. You can imagine how this would have played out if China decided to go with herd immunity route.
    The one mistake Sweden made was it failed to protect nursing homes early enough. They pulled a Cuomo early on and it cost them. Without that their numbers would have been better.

    They also lost a big chunk of lives in their migrant community and studies have shown the disease affects people with darker skin more adversely. The stats in the US back this up.

    It will be interesting to see if other Nordic countries that locked down lack the herd immunity that Sweden may have achieved and if they’ll experience another wave of infections once the world fully opens and international travel resumes. I think it’s too early in the global course of the disease for any country to claim victories yet but I suspect when it all washes out Sweden will be close to par with other countries in terms of deaths.

    Even so, comparing countries is not always apples to apples as many factors can affect case and death numbers.
    I really don't know if the entire premise of herd immunity is true.

    These who have had COVID are not guaranteed immunity. But I am quite sure if you've had it once your immune system should not struggle to beat it off a second or third time.
    And if it mutates considerably like the flu you might even lose this effect.

    So the entire argument for herd immunity might be a huge assumption.

  4. #9764
    Hi Todd JACKDANIELS's Avatar
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    there will 100% be a vaccine of some sort, how effective it ends up being well thats another story
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    BTW JACKDANIELS is the first one banned from the thread. He is accusing me of being "duped by a middle aged man who dresses like John Cena"

  5. #9765
    Platinum gimmick's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by nightmarefish View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Salty_Aus View Post

    Sweden have 5,700 deaths and only have a population of 10 million.

    Their death rate is 10x higher then Finland and Norway.
    Only time will tell if the other countries get a big second surge and Swedan doesn't. Also, I haven't looked at it but is Sweden's economy doing better than the others? Will be interesting to see the studies in a couple years when all this plays out.
    For the short term i think month ago the forecast was 5.5% hit to gdp and Finland was at 6.6%. Long term is something will see. Big factor is disability from covid and if Sweden has reached any kind of significant herd immunity.

  6. #9766
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    Quote Originally Posted by JACKDANIELS View Post
    there will 100% be a vaccine of some sort, how effective it ends up being well thats another story
    Say it's 50% effective and only 50% of the people take it. I'm not sure where that leaves us.

  7. #9767
    Platinum gimmick's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BiffCo99 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by gimmick View Post



    They have 7-10 as many deaths compared to Norway or Finland. Sweden benefited from everyone around them and everyone around them suffered from Sweden's decisions. You can imagine how this would have played out if China decided to go with herd immunity route.
    The one mistake Sweden made was it failed to protect nursing homes early enough. They pulled a Cuomo early on and it cost them. Without that their numbers would have been better.

    They also lost a big chunk of lives in their migrant community and studies have shown the disease affects people with darker skin more adversely. The stats in the US back this up.

    It will be interesting to see if other Nordic countries that locked down lack the herd immunity that Sweden may have achieved and if they’ll experience another wave of infections once the world fully opens and international travel resumes. I think it’s too early in the global course of the disease for any country to claim victories yet but I suspect when it all washes out Sweden will be close to par with other countries in terms of deaths.

    Even so, comparing countries is not always apples to apples as many factors can affect case and death numbers.
    It was pretty common that at the early stages no one really knew how much you needed to protect the elderly. Likely everyone will do better if there's a second wave.

    Migrant population generally lives in more crowded circumstances. I don't know what their current refugee center situation is but they aren't really big on assimilating migrants. So migrants tend to live on their own lower income housing projects.

    Sweden did have a bunch of regulations that they followed regarding social distancing. Dunno what their mask rules were.

  8. #9768
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    Quote Originally Posted by gimmick View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BiffCo99 View Post

    The one mistake Sweden made was it failed to protect nursing homes early enough. They pulled a Cuomo early on and it cost them. Without that their numbers would have been better.

    They also lost a big chunk of lives in their migrant community and studies have shown the disease affects people with darker skin more adversely. The stats in the US back this up.

    It will be interesting to see if other Nordic countries that locked down lack the herd immunity that Sweden may have achieved and if they’ll experience another wave of infections once the world fully opens and international travel resumes. I think it’s too early in the global course of the disease for any country to claim victories yet but I suspect when it all washes out Sweden will be close to par with other countries in terms of deaths.

    Even so, comparing countries is not always apples to apples as many factors can affect case and death numbers.
    It was pretty common that at the early stages no one really knew how much you needed to protect the elderly. Likely everyone will do better if there's a second wave.

    Migrant population generally lives in more crowded circumstances. I don't know what their current refugee center situation is but they aren't really big on assimilating migrants. So migrants tend to live on their own lower income housing projects.

    Sweden did have a bunch of regulations that they followed regarding social distancing. Dunno what their mask rules were.
    Na, when it hit Italy everyone else in the world should have known to protect the elderly.

  9. #9769
    Hi Todd JACKDANIELS's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by nightmarefish View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JACKDANIELS View Post
    there will 100% be a vaccine of some sort, how effective it ends up being well thats another story
    Say it's 50% effective and only 50% of the people take it. I'm not sure where that leaves us.
    They probably only end up giving it to the old and vulnerable tbh so even if it's only 50% effective would still do a lot of good for at risk groups
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    BTW JACKDANIELS is the first one banned from the thread. He is accusing me of being "duped by a middle aged man who dresses like John Cena"

  10. #9770
    Platinum gimmick's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by nightmarefish View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by gimmick View Post

    It was pretty common that at the early stages no one really knew how much you needed to protect the elderly. Likely everyone will do better if there's a second wave.

    Migrant population generally lives in more crowded circumstances. I don't know what their current refugee center situation is but they aren't really big on assimilating migrants. So migrants tend to live on their own lower income housing projects.

    Sweden did have a bunch of regulations that they followed regarding social distancing. Dunno what their mask rules were.
    Na, when it hit Italy everyone else in the world should have known to protect the elderly.
    Sometime around mid-March might have been the earliest realistic time to do that. Still most countries were on their own BS. EU was going trough Brexit. Likely half the countries just assumed they were fine. Block a few flights and it's just another swine/bird flu.

    We don't really function that well globally with anything mildly unprecedented.

  11. #9771
    Diamond Sloppy Joe's Avatar
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    PokerFraudAlert...will never censor your claims, even if they're against one of our sponsors. In addition to providing you an open forum report fraud within the poker community, we will also analyze your claims with a clear head an unbiased point of view. And, of course, the accused will always have the floor to defend themselves.-Dan Druff

    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    If a genocide is happening, it's Hamas against the people of Gaza.

    Quote Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    I'm pretty good at finding graves

  12. #9772
    Diamond dwai's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sloppy Joe View Post
    let's just do what the left wants, stay in our homes, shut up and depend on the government

  13. #9773
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  14. #9774
    Hi Todd JACKDANIELS's Avatar
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    non ironic use of planedemic is legit retarded, its up there with flat earth and the 5g going to kill everyone when they turn it on
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    BTW JACKDANIELS is the first one banned from the thread. He is accusing me of being "duped by a middle aged man who dresses like John Cena"

  15. #9775
    Diamond dwai's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JACKDANIELS View Post
    non ironic use of planedemic is legit retarded, its up there with flat earth and the 5g going to kill everyone when they turn it on
    it's just a meme bro try to remain calm

  16. #9776
    Hi Todd JACKDANIELS's Avatar
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    I'd be amazed if you didn't believe at least one of those 3 things lol
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    BTW JACKDANIELS is the first one banned from the thread. He is accusing me of being "duped by a middle aged man who dresses like John Cena"

  17. #9777
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    Why should anyone be concerned about government overreach and basic civil rights these days? Why?

    https://twitter.com/7NewsMelbourne/status/1295277876665671681

     
    Comments
      
      1marley1: USA! USA! USA!

  18. #9778
    Diamond dwai's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JACKDANIELS View Post
    I'd be amazed if you didn't believe at least one of those 3 things lol
    well then you're an idiot

  19. #9779
    Hi Todd JACKDANIELS's Avatar
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    no u
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    BTW JACKDANIELS is the first one banned from the thread. He is accusing me of being "duped by a middle aged man who dresses like John Cena"

  20. #9780
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    Quote Originally Posted by JACKDANIELS View Post
    no u
    dammit

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