**OFFICIAL Donald J. Trump vs. Joseph (Joe) R. Biden Thread - 2020 Presidential Election**

[big dick]

You really are something else, and your insults are so often and absurd they are meaningless. Did you read what I wrote? It is mostly about 2016. I’m not a even a partisan. You are tedious AF.

Joking aside for a moment, my read on dwai is he is mostly a good person but a bit racist, and frustrated by what's happening in the country as most of us are. A lot of us get tribal on the internet, myself included sometimes.

Whereas bottomset is either a tremendous piece of shit or he does a great troll job of pretending to be a tremendous piece of shit.

I actually agree with this.


Dwai def has some decent qualities and has some life talent that he is wasting


I do think he wants what's best for our country I just think he is misguided




bottomset is just a selfish piece of shit who doesn't care about anyone but himself. Kinda like trump

[JACKDANIELS]

Dwai def has some decent qualities and has some life talent that he is wasting

lol

[BCR]

lol @ trump trailing

I know you will just troll or say go fuck yourself but he’s trailing by 8.6% in the latest RCP average. There is no question he underperforms in (most) polls (shout-out Rasmussen). In the last election he was shown trailing in the final RCP average by 3.2% and he ended up losing the popular vote by 2.1%. So the final number was off by 1.1%.



I can go through the unfavorables of Hillary being close to that of Trumps, the fact that he won by just the right amount of votes in just the right states and in general how shitty a campaign she ran. Biden is no powerhouse but his favorables are to the moon when you compare him with Trump. With a near double digit lead, even if we want to give Trump 2% or 3% above the polling rather than the 1.1% from 2016, he can’t win the electoral college with a 5% or so deficit in popular vote.

Things can change but have not for some time. This is just math. Refute it all you want but it looks like Trump’s Toast.

The VP pick scares me far more than any debates. Trump already sounds like a retard to anyone who isn’t a Trump fan. Joe can have five senior moments, won’t natter. His lead is seniors who aren’t bothered by senior moments.

He is riding a 25% flip of the most reliable voters alive, but many of whom did vote Trump last time.

Middle aged people are relatively stable with last election.

But he also needs black voters to show. I see no VP bump. I don’t see anyone who black voters love and that make old white seniors who have flipped thrilled. The best is palatable to both groups. That’s my only concern, particularly given his age.

[Sloppy Joe]

I know you will just troll or say go fuck yourself but he’s trailing by 8.6% in the latest RCP average. There is no question he underperforms in (most) polls (shout-out Rasmussen). In the last election he was shown trailing in the final RCP average by 3.2% and he ended up losing the popular vote by 2.1%. So the final number was off by 1.1%.



I can go through the unfavorables of Hillary being close to that of Trumps, the fact that he won by just the right amount of votes in just the right states and in general how shitty a campaign she ran. Biden is no powerhouse but his favorables are to the moon when you compare him with Trump. With a near double digit lead, even if we want to give Trump 2% or 3% above the polling rather than the 1.1% from 2016, he can’t win the electoral college with a 5% or so deficit in popular vote.

Things can change but have not for some time. This is just math. Refute it all you want but it looks like Trump’s Toast.

The VP pick scares me far more than any debates. Trump already sounds like a retard to anyone who isn’t a Trump fan. Joe can have five senior moments, won’t natter. His lead is seniors who aren’t bothered by senior moments.

He is riding a 25% flip of the most reliable voters alive, but many of whom did vote Trump last time.

Middle aged people are relatively stable with last election.

But he also needs black voters to show. I see no VP bump. I don’t see anyone who black voters love and that make old white seniors who have flipped thrilled. The best is palatable to both groups. That’s my only concern, particularly given his age.

Was dumb for him to commit to picking a woman early on when he already had Bernie on the ropes.

Needs to go with the safest, whitest, good looking, 45-54 year old male.

Any female will be cannon fodder for the misogynistic GOP, and the playbook is well developed. If she's smart, she'll be labeled a bitch. Degrading her looks will fire up the base. Etc. Doubly worse if its Kamala

[Tellafriend]

[BCR]

The VP pick scares me far more than any debates. Trump already sounds like a retard to anyone who isn’t a Trump fan. Joe can have five senior moments, won’t natter. His lead is seniors who aren’t bothered by senior moments.

He is riding a 25% flip of the most reliable voters alive, but many of whom did vote Trump last time.

Middle aged people are relatively stable with last election.

But he also needs black voters to show. I see no VP bump. I don’t see anyone who black voters love and that make old white seniors who have flipped thrilled. The best is palatable to both groups. That’s my only concern, particularly given his age.

Was dumb for him to commit to picking a woman early on when he already had Bernie on the ropes.

Needs to go with the safest, whitest, good looking, 45-54 year old male.

Any female will be cannon fodder for the misogynistic GOP, and the playbook is well developed. If she's smart, she'll be labeled a bitch. Degrading her looks will fire up the base. Etc. Doubly worse if its Kamala

I take it you see the path to victory as seniors and suburbs then. Just assume black voters will vote as always. I’d agree normally, but he committed to a woman, and the black vote gave him the nomination more than any candidate ever.

This is why it makes me nervous given how well everything else is lining up.

[Tellafriend]

Are there odds for Susan rice becoming his vp ?

[big dick]

yeah she is around +250



too late to bet he imo



if you were going to bet her you probably should have bet her a couple weeks ago when she was +400+

[dwai]

TRUMP owning and fact checking Chris Wallace was great.

Fucking owned that clown!

[Sloppy Joe]

TRUMP owning and fact checking Chris Wallace was great.

Fucking owned that clown!

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/1285021664225394688

[tgull]

MI will be deep red before long, Detroit has lost 50% of its population since 2000. It may or may not flip in 2020, but this notion it is a reliable Dem state is not accurate anymore. If not for the virus, Trump would have carried the state by 5 points. Not sure what will happen post virus though.

Wisconsin is going for Trump plain and simple. But PA is a problem for Trump no doubt. FL will be tight. AZ, TX and GA going for Biden is absurd.

As far as these polls go, LOL. They target registered voters, not likely voters. For instance, Muck Ficon would say he hates Trump in a poll, but he likely has never voted in his life because he has at best a community college degree. According to many his wife on DD radio had at best a GED.

Remember, in August Michael Dukakis was up 17 points in August before the election.

[Walter Sobchak]

MI will be deep red before long, Detroit has lost 50% of its population since 2000. It may or may not flip in 2020, but this notion it is a reliable Dem state is not accurate anymore. If not for the virus, Trump would have carried the state by 5 points. Not sure what will happen post virus though.

Wisconsin is going for Trump plain and simple. But PA is a problem for Trump no doubt. FL will be tight. AZ, TX and GA going for Biden is absurd.

As far as these polls go, LOL. They target registered voters, not likely voters. For instance, Muck Ficon would say he hates Trump in a poll, but he likely has never voted in his life because he has at best a community college degree. According to many his wife on DD radio had at best a GED.

Remember, in August Michael Dukakis was up 17 points in August before the election.

Nostradumbass

[tgull]

MI will be deep red before long, Detroit has lost 50% of its population since 2000. It may or may not flip in 2020, but this notion it is a reliable Dem state is not accurate anymore. If not for the virus, Trump would have carried the state by 5 points. Not sure what will happen post virus though.

Wisconsin is going for Trump plain and simple. But PA is a problem for Trump no doubt. FL will be tight. AZ, TX and GA going for Biden is absurd.

As far as these polls go, LOL. They target registered voters, not likely voters. For instance, Muck Ficon would say he hates Trump in a poll, but he likely has never voted in his life because he has at best a community college degree. According to many his wife on DD radio had at best a GED.

Remember, in August Michael Dukakis was up 17 points in August before the election.

Nostradumbass

One thing is for sure, I am totally renting space in your head. You are making a total dope out of yourself trolling my EVERY post. Get a life pal.

[Walter Sobchak]

Nostradumbass

One thing is for sure, I am totally renting space in your head. You are making a total dope out of yourself trolling my EVERY post. Get a life pal.

Get a mirror. Look into it. Permaban yourself.

[tgull]

One thing is for sure, I am totally renting space in your head. You are making a total dope out of yourself trolling my EVERY post. Get a life pal.

Get a mirror. Look into it. Permaban yourself.

I'm not the one suggesting jumping out of airplanes without a parachute, that would be you dummy.

[Walter Sobchak]

Get a mirror. Look into it. Permaban yourself.

I'm not the one suggesting jumping out of airplanes without a parachute, that would be you dummy.

I never suggested anyone do that. If you think that's what I suggested, learn to read you fucking idiot.

Fuck it must suck to be poor and stupid.

[JeffDime]

The VP pick scares me far more than any debates. Trump already sounds like a retard to anyone who isn’t a Trump fan. Joe can have five senior moments, won’t natter. His lead is seniors who aren’t bothered by senior moments.

He is riding a 25% flip of the most reliable voters alive, but many of whom did vote Trump last time.

Middle aged people are relatively stable with last election.

But he also needs black voters to show. I see no VP bump. I don’t see anyone who black voters love and that make old white seniors who have flipped thrilled. The best is palatable to both groups. That’s my only concern, particularly given his age.

He certainly boxed himself in a corner when not only committing to a woman but also a woman of color. I think it’s clear that President Obama has called the majority of the shots here, including orchestrating everyone in Biden’s lane to clear out so he could take out Bernie.

Kamala Harris has a major vulnerability when it comes to her time as California DA, but she remains the favorite. I think she has also demonstrated a lack of an ability to connect and a lack of a charisma. Susan Rice is probably being pushed by President Obama for her past loyalty and she seems to be the second favorite. I would put my money on her over Harris. It seems like Obama gets his way in the end.

The power brokers in the a Democratic Party would love to beat Trump so bad they come close to, or actually flip Georgia. They are definitely taking a look at the Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms. She would be my long shot play. Kemp is a lightweight and clearly made a deal with Trump to open the state the earliest as a favor. I think Stacy Abrams just doesn’t have the resume, simply coming close to beating Kemp just isn’t enough.

[dwai]

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/1285264646585421826

[dwai]

Embedded Tweet

Preach!

[TheXFactor]

Trump will be easily defeated in November and the Democrats will take back the Senate.

What will Democrats do?

Nothing really. They will have a majority but not a super-majority to pass shit.

ObamaCare 2.0 is coming.