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Thread: *** OFFICIAL 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination Race Thread ***

  1. #3721
    Gold SPIT this's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SPIT this View Post
    My book has all the Super Tuesday states up. Joe in Texas +170 and Virginia +180 are what stood out to me, and I took them both. I think my book is a little behind and these lines will move quickly.
    Ha. Just looked again and now it's +140 in Texas and +130 in Virginia.

  2. #3722
    Platinum duped_samaritan's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SPIT this View Post
    My book has all the Super Tuesday states up. Joe in Texas +170 and Virginia +180 are what stood out to me, and I took them both. I think my book is a little behind and these lines will move quickly.
    Can you post them all plz?

  3. #3723
    Gold SPIT this's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by duped_samaritan View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by SPIT this View Post
    My book has all the Super Tuesday states up. Joe in Texas +170 and Virginia +180 are what stood out to me, and I took them both. I think my book is a little behind and these lines will move quickly.
    Can you post them all plz?
    Yes. The lines have changed. Here's what it is right now:
    SC:
    Biden -1300
    Sanders +700

    CA:
    Biden +1500
    Sanders -2000

    TX:
    Biden +140
    Sanders -170

    NC:
    Biden -120
    Sanders -105

    Mass:
    Sanders -260
    Warren +210

    Maine:
    Sanders -1000
    Warren +1000

    VA:
    Sanders -200
    Biden +130

    Arkansas:
    Biden -135
    Sanders +140

    Colorado:
    Sanders -1500
    Biden +1700

    Alabama:
    Biden -600
    Sanders +400

    Minnesota:
    Sanders -140
    Klobuchar -105

    Oklahoma:
    Sanders -105
    Biden -105

    Tenn:
    Biden -160
    Sanders +130

    Utah:
    Sanders -2000


    Sanders nominee:
    No +100
    Yes -140

    Biden nominee:
    No -500
    Yes +300

    Bloomberg nominee
    No -800
    Yes +500

    Trump win
    Yes -260
    No +180

    Lmk if you want any of the other candidate's lines in any of these states. I'm also willing to bet for you as long as it's something I haven't already bet (I have a pretty low max bet, so i max any of the lines I like). Just message me if you want.

    Because of the high vig lines, nothing else stood out to me. I also took SC -900, but now it's moved to -1300. Biden probably a 95% favorite, but betting a -900 isn't for the faint of heart.

    Edit: I still like Texas at +140. Should be like +105 max. VA at +130 is meh. I'd probably pass on that now. TX should actually be an easier state for Biden than VA, so the line is a bit goofy now.

     
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      duped_samaritan:
    Last edited by SPIT this; 02-27-2020 at 04:07 PM.

  4. #3724
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Thoughts on Klobuchar in MN?

    My gut feeling is she takes it.

    Probably better to get bets in now rather than after Bernie gets torched in SC and people start doubting him.

  5. #3725
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Thoughts on Klobuchar in MN?

    My gut feeling is she takes it.

    Probably better to get bets in now rather than after Bernie gets torched in SC and people start doubting him.
    I think she has a better than 50% chance, but worse than 60% chance. I think your thinking about SC is correct. If I was going to play it, I'd be buying her now but selling after SC. I wouldn't want to hold to expiry.

  6. #3726
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheXFactor View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Who would not want a Donald Trump Jr. or Ivanka Presidency in 2024?
    Damn, that’s a pretty good fake. It had me salivating for a minute.

    Here’s the real pic
    Name:  AC89C336-6D02-4F89-B94F-C26C67A75A45.jpeg
Views: 466
Size:  38.2 KB

     
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      TheXFactor: Very Good, in the future, you won't be able to tell the difference between the real picture and a fake one. And yes, those are real breast implants.
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  7. #3727
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Ivanka lucked out to get the best features of both parents.

    Donald Jr. and Eric definitely didn't.

     
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      1marley1: You’re a freak and a weird dude

  8. #3728
    100% Organic MumblesBadly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheXFactor View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by blake View Post
    is biden somehow not actually out of this?
    Biden is definitely mentally out of it.


    Yeah, but his strongest demo among Black voters aren’t likely to recognize that he’s going senile. You know, because of their age. Which is why he’ll be able to get away with making shit up to boost his cred with them and not suffer any consequences when he’s fact-checked on the matter.

    _____________________________________________
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I actually hope this [second impeachment] succeeds, because I want Trump put down politically like a sick, 14-year-old dog. ... I don't want him complicating the 2024 primary season. I just want him done.
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Were Republicans cowardly or unethical not to go along with [convicting Trump in the second impeachment Senate trial]? No. The smart move was to reject it.

  9. #3729
    100% Organic MumblesBadly's Avatar
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    Check out how Thomas Friedman used the Coronavirus crisis to argue for the establishment Dems to call for ignoring the voters’ support for Bernie in picking a Prez nominee.

    _____________________________________________
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I actually hope this [second impeachment] succeeds, because I want Trump put down politically like a sick, 14-year-old dog. ... I don't want him complicating the 2024 primary season. I just want him done.
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Were Republicans cowardly or unethical not to go along with [convicting Trump in the second impeachment Senate trial]? No. The smart move was to reject it.

  10. #3730
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  11. #3731
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    Biden promising to strike another blow against the discrimination against minority women!

    _____________________________________________
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I actually hope this [second impeachment] succeeds, because I want Trump put down politically like a sick, 14-year-old dog. ... I don't want him complicating the 2024 primary season. I just want him done.
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Were Republicans cowardly or unethical not to go along with [convicting Trump in the second impeachment Senate trial]? No. The smart move was to reject it.

  12. #3732
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    This gave me a chuckle. Garth Brooks wore a Barry Sanders jersey for Detroit concert, and fans thought he was supporting Sanders in 2020 election and blew up his Instagram calling him a socialist.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-51679570

  13. #3733
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    If you're going to place money on Bernie, wait until after tomorrow when he gets (presumably) beat convincingly in SC.

    The rubes on Predicit will panic and start selling Bernie, and you will get him for a much better price (in all markets) than right now.

    You're welcome.

  14. #3734
    Gold SPIT this's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    If you're going to place money on Bernie, wait until after tomorrow when he gets (presumably) beat convincingly in SC.

    The rubes on Predicit will panic and start selling Bernie, and you will get him for a much better price (in all markets) than right now.

    You're welcome.
    Yeah, I might cover depending on how low he gets. Biden could win by 20 tomorrow pretty easily.

  15. #3735
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SPIT this View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    If you're going to place money on Bernie, wait until after tomorrow when he gets (presumably) beat convincingly in SC.

    The rubes on Predicit will panic and start selling Bernie, and you will get him for a much better price (in all markets) than right now.

    You're welcome.
    Yeah, I might cover depending on how low he gets. Biden could win by 20 tomorrow pretty easily.
    The 1am-2am PST Predictit maintenance on the night before SC is horrible.

  16. #3736
    Gold SPIT this's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by SPIT this View Post
    Yeah, I might cover depending on how low he gets. Biden could win by 20 tomorrow pretty easily.
    The 1am-2am PST Predictit maintenance on the night before SC is horrible.
    They do that every night. And don't be shocked if the site is untradeable while results are coming out. That happens all the time.

     
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      Sanlmar: College kids, amiritie?

  17. #3737
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    Just another reason NOT to vote for Pete Buttigieg.



  18. #3738
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  19. #3739
    Diamond dwai's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
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      Sanlmar: Lol

  20. #3740
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      MumblesBadly: LOL!

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