I just assumed it was. That’s what they do.Originally Posted by simpdog
I don’t know where the opportunity is in this game. But I will say this: if the Astros lose and they have to burn another starter in a game 5 - there will be no adjustment in series price vs Yankees. Astros will still take the initial money without adjustment.
I’m not saying Yankees beat Astros but the series price will be wrong.
Here’s more food for thought. There were 4 playoff games Monday but I’m sure the handle for the NFL was bigger. That’s opportunity. It’s why we love tennis and NHL. Especially live. Some books actually have a human being doing NFL live odds instead of a service. Trust me, there is no one doing live tennis or NHL. For that matter, nobody has a fucking clue about NHL preflop which was the magic of the 1P’s especially with the European books as you well know. The difference between books was unbelievable and clueless. Bully for us.
Spread betting football is stupid. This is a decision I have made. I do it but I know it’s weak sauce. NCAAF used to be hailed as some weak market. Collectively, college is edging out NFL now. It’s being exploited. Don’t kid yourself. The only edge seems to be early lines ... Monday -Weds. lotta movement til close.
One caveat to NFL. There is such a have and have not disparity that if you just grab the favorite (Patriots class teams) you can’t go wrong. Or the Redskin type fade.
Edit.
Oh yeah. I am still learning but I contend the public does not move the college lines. Only the sharps do. So that angle is meaningless. I’m almost 100% sure this is true. Early lines getting hammered out by sharps early in week is where the interesting stuff is. It’s hard to game
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