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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #18921
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    interesting sharks line...kinda has me worried by being really low, but numbers say it's an auto fire so I did...

  2. #18922
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    If you bought Blackhawks from Pinnacle

    1P 1.5
    -317
    +230

    You lost. CBJ/Ottawa was no good either.
    I woke up to a -290 line so I passed. Going 3/4 to break even isn’t a way to get rich in life. That said very well done with these over the past few weeks.

    From what I can tell there will be some -200 opetunties where it’s plus EV to make these plays but you will need to more matchup selective going forward.
    Take a look at 5Dimes & Pinnacle for St Jose 1P. 40 & 50 cent line. THE WORST out there.

    Again, I find that so interesting. I just see that as bad book making.

    I’m suggesting Bruins/St Louis 1P under -125 to Simp.

    The Bruins Rask is playing out of his mind. We already know the Blues under.

    It’s 4pm face off - so wait for Simp.

    Hopefully I can get him to go public with his baseball picks.

    Almost forgot, NBA tank is ML Atlanta at home vs Phoenix

    I’m also taking Ben and the points vs LeBron

     
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    Last edited by Sanlmar; 02-23-2019 at 11:09 AM.

  3. #18923
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    I woke up to a -290 line so I passed. Going 3/4 to break even isn’t a way to get rich in life. That said very well done with these over the past few weeks.

    From what I can tell there will be some -200 opetunties where it’s plus EV to make these plays but you will need to more matchup selective going forward.
    Take a look at 5Dimes & Pinnacle for St Jose 1P. 40 & 50 cent line. THE WORST out there.

    Again, I find that so interesting. I just see that as bad book making.

    I’m suggesting Bruins/St Louis 1P under -125 to Simp.

    The Bruins Rask is playing out of his mind. We already know the Blues under.

    It’s 4pm face off - so wait for Simp.

    Hopefully I can get him to go public with his baseball picks.

    Almost forgot, NBA tank is ML Atlanta at home vs Phoenix

    I’m also taking Ben and the points vs LeBron
    Sorry had an intervention here. Just snuck outside with my phone. Half of the GA meeting is here trying to convince me not to bet 1ps. They say it's over.

    I'll co-sign with Boston/St Louis under. But only barely if you're paying more juice than that then it's a clear pass IMO.

    As I mentioned before Lebron said "playoff mode activated". Sorry San, but I will not be betting against the Lakers anytime soon.


    To be clear today the stick to the plan bets are Stars and Sharks. Juice is a lot worse than this AM.

     
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  4. #18924
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Another tanker? vs absolute tanker.

    Taking Memphis +2.5 at Cavs.

    Cavs have won 2 out of 3 and they can't keep winning if they want to stay in the tankers mix.

  5. #18925
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Another tanker? vs absolute tanker.

    Taking Memphis +2.5 at Cavs.

    Cavs have won 2 out of 3 and they can't keep winning if they want to stay in the tankers mix.
    Ben vs LeBron was Druff’s attempt to think through how lines were made yesterday. Ben is Druff Jr.

    Cavs aren’t obeying the Tankers Code. You haven’t followed the rules and frankly your results are suspect here.

    Flipping NBA coins is the road to ruin. Even Harolobob quit NBA well before he took the gig with Mavs. He knew.

    That money would be better used on a back wax and frankly it would be less painful.

  6. #18926
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    As I mentioned before Lebron said "playoff mode activated". Sorry San, but I will not be betting against the Lakers anytime soon.
    Oh dear god. Not you too?

    I was gonna offer you a piece. You’re out now.

    MOBILE - NBA PLAYOFF SPECIALS - TO MAKE THE PLAYOFFS - LOS ANGELES LAKERS - NO -130

    TABLET - NBA REGULAR SEASON - BATTLE OF L.A. - TEAM TO FINISH HIGHER IN THE STANDINGS - LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS -145
    CONTEST NOTES:
    TEAM TO BE SEEDED HIGHER AFTER THE 82 GAME REGULAR SEASON. OFFICIAL NBA TIEBREAKER RULES APPLY

  7. #18927
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    James Harden is questionable for tonight.

    Get unders while you can.

    Houston at Golden State - Under 234 (233.5 ok)

  8. #18928
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    aight boys whats the deal for tomorrow?

    top over v. top under and a top 3 over vs. top 4 under...and is CAL/OTT good enough to fire on the over at 133?

  9. #18929
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    aight boys whats the deal for tomorrow?

    top over v. top under and a top 3 over vs. top 4 under...and is CAL/OTT good enough to fire on the over at 133?
    CAL/OTT should be fine

    The others are gambling.

    Blues/Wild is interesting as Blues are white hot. I need help.

    It’s time to wake up Simp. and hassle him about fucking up NBA tanking. That’s supposed to be a smooth unit almost every day.

    Almost fired on Phx live last night early 4th qtr when they were up like 92-86. I fell asleep dreaming I had max bet Hawks live. Damn

    Anyway, I’m gonna take the rest of Simp’s NetJet miles on the next NBA tank play or Lakers

  10. #18930
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    aight boys whats the deal for tomorrow?

    top over v. top under and a top 3 over vs. top 4 under...and is CAL/OTT good enough to fire on the over at 133?
    CAL/OTT should be fine

    The others are gambling.

    Blues/Wild is interesting as Blues are white hot. I need help.

    It’s time to wake up Simp. and hassle him about fucking up NBA tanking. That’s supposed to be a smooth unit almost every day.

    Almost fired on Phx live last night early 4th qtr when they were up like 92-86. I fell asleep dreaming I had max bet Hawks live. Damn

    Anyway, I’m gonna take the rest of Simp’s NetJet miles on the next NBA tank play or Lakers
    CAL/OTT already got away, 175...passing at that price...

    didn't know what you guys did when you had the polar opposites...if it was just an auto fire on the over or not...ill pass 'em…

    got MEM at +12.5 live last night...now wishing I put more on it...

  11. #18931
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    CAL/OTT doesn’t seem wrong at that price. Wait a little for Simp.

    I was curious how the market would react to getting crushed at those big numbers. Would they have any conviction? Probably not.

    The Blackhawks seem to be the only team where you can completely disregard their opponent. Zero defense and fast break offense. They score & get scored on. Sort of “do it yourself” overs.

    Thought I would run some LeBron “failure to cover” numbers past few years. Pretty sure that’s gonna work for me again. LeBron in Cleveland was amazing ATS fail.

    Golden State as an autobet ATS fail. Feel stupid for missing this mature trend.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 02-24-2019 at 10:25 AM.

  12. #18932
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    CAL/OTT doesn’t seem wrong at that price. Wait a little for Simp.

    I was curious how the market would react to getting crushed at those big numbers. Would they have any conviction? Probably not.

    The Blackhawks seem to be the only team where you can completely disregard their opponent. Zero defense and fast break offense. They score & get scored on. Sort of “do it yourself” overs.

    Thought I would run some LeBron “failure to cover” numbers past few years. Pretty sure that’s gonna work for me again. LeBron in Cleveland was amazing ATS fail.
    would you take it at 167 against the worst over team in the league? I mean for a CHI over it's obviously cheap as shit, but it is DAL...

  13. #18933
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Let’s pass. Dallas offense is lame.

    I want to though

  14. #18934
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Let’s pass. Dallas offense is lame.

    I want to though
    smells like a live bet degen moment when they don't score in the first 5-6 minutes and it's like +100/110

  15. #18935
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Let’s pass. Dallas offense is lame.

    I want to though
    smells like a live bet degen moment when they don't score in the first 5-6 minutes and it's like +100/110
    Straight outta my playbook.

    Gonna warn you. If Blackhawks score in the first minute or two you are liable to go on Yuuge tilt.

    Have a bottle and fresh glass close by.

     
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  16. #18936
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Taking Sharks over the 1p and Blues moneyline.

  17. #18937
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I’m too old for this shit.

    Nice work on round one everyone

    Blues next. Just to be clear, we are on sides

  18. #18938
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I’m too old for this shit.

    Nice work on round one everyone

    Blues next. Just to be clear, we are on sides
    had a fucking migraine so missed out on this shit, goddamn it...on the blues...

    you live bet the CHI game? looked like if you hit that sweet spot around 6 minutes you mighta gotten a good deal...

  19. #18939
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I’m too old for this shit.

    Nice work on round one everyone

    Blues next. Just to be clear, we are on sides
    had a fucking migraine so missed out on this shit, goddamn it...on the blues...

    you live bet the CHI game? looked like if you hit that sweet spot around 6 minutes you mighta gotten a good deal...
    I caught it at +100

    Now I have a migraine

    Gambling hockey. I’ve said it before but the intensity of every second of hockey is killing me unlike any other sport. It’s not even close.

    I’ve also never seen anything run so pure.

     
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  20. #18940
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post

    had a fucking migraine so missed out on this shit, goddamn it...on the blues...

    you live bet the CHI game? looked like if you hit that sweet spot around 6 minutes you mighta gotten a good deal...
    I caught it at +100

    Now I have a migraine

    Gambling hockey. I’ve said it before but the intensity of every second of hockey is killing me unlike any other sport. It’s not even close.

    I’ve also never seen anything run so pure.
    worries me that I've gotten good at ballparking a price 'x' minutes into a game...jesus Christ I really need to go to a GA meeting...but then that would be quitting...fucked if I do, fucked if I don't...

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