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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #15901
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Trapper John MD line alert.

    SF is only -125 against the Cardinals despite the facts that:

    - Luke Weaver has been awful lately

    - Johnny Cueto has an 0.84 ERA

    - Giants are at home


    BUT

    Cueto is coming off of a long-term injury, and Vegas keeps lowering the price for SF, even though most people are firing on it.

    I strongly considered firing on St. Louis, but Weaver has been such a trainwreck recently, I'm going to stay away.

    But definitely not taking the Giants.

  2. #15902
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Looks like I called that Cardinals game spot on.

    11-2 right now, Cards favor.

    If only I had bet it...

  3. #15903
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Starting in 10 min:

    Texas (Colon) at Detroit (Zimmerman) - Under 9 -110

  4. #15904
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    6/22:
    Philly (Eflin) at Washington (Roark) - Under 8.5 -115 - LOST -1
    at Yankees (Sabathia) vs. Tampa Bay (Stanek) - Under 7.5 +100 - WON +1
    Baltimore (Cobb) at Atlanta (Newcomb) - Under 8.5 -114 - LOST -1
    Day total: 1-2, -1.0 units

    6/30:
    White Sox (Rodon) +113 at Texas (Colon) - LOST -1
    Day total: 0-1, -1.0 units

    7/1:
    San Francisco (Holland) at Arizona (Godley) - Under 8 +105 - LOST -1
    Day total: 0-1, -1.0 units

    7/2:
    Atlanta (Anibal Sanchez) at Yankees (Loaisiga) - Under 9.5 -120 - WON +0.833
    Day total: 1-0, +0.833 units

    7/3:
    Angels (Heany) at Seattle (LeBlanc) - under 8.5 +100 - WON +1
    Day total: 1-0, +1.0 units

    7/6:
    Texas (Colon) at Detroit (Zimmerman) - Under 9 -110 - WON +0.909
    Day total: 1-0, +0.909 units

    Total 6/22-7/6: 4-4, -0.258 units

    Grand total: 73-62-2, +14.059 units

    Overs: 3-4
    Spread (-1.5): 2-1
    Unders: 44-28-2
    Moneyline: 24-29 (around even in units)

  5. #15905
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Much like my NBA season, my strength in MLB has been unders, so that's where I will focus the rest of the way.

    Hitting 61.1% of unders so far in MLB.

  6. #15906
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Much like my NBA season, my strength in MLB has been unders, so that's where I will focus the rest of the way.

    Hitting 61.1% of unders so far in MLB.
    The $$ is always on unders, except in Big 12 football

  7. #15907
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Starting 7:15 PT

    Cubs (Quintana) at SF (Holland) - under 8 -115

  8. #15908
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Starting 7:15 PT

    Cubs (Quintana) at SF (Holland) - under 8 -115
    You ever feel remorse about the opportunity cost while you were at the WSOP?

    Successful sports bettor with a WSOP leak.

  9. #15909
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Starting 7:15 PT

    Cubs (Quintana) at SF (Holland) - under 8 -115
    You ever feel remorse about the opportunity cost while you were at the WSOP?

    Successful sports bettor with a WSOP leak.
    Sadly I acutally did this of this as I was driving back today, as this was the only one of my three 2018 WSOP trips which was a complete fail (I even lost at cash).

    4 wins in a row with the unders, though.

  10. #15910
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    You ever feel remorse about the opportunity cost while you were at the WSOP?

    Successful sports bettor with a WSOP leak.
    Sadly I acutally did this of this as I was driving back today, as this was the only one of my three 2018 WSOP trips which was a complete fail (I even lost at cash).

    4 wins in a row with the unders, though.
    Do you keep going to the WSOP because you are chasing the high you got from your 1st bracelet? You will fight with a casino manager over 50 cents but then dump 10k on a tournament that is primarily all luck. Seems like the cheap Jew has a soft spot for the WSOP.

  11. #15911
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    Been using my bovada account daily to bet world cup and other nonsense the last 3 weeks after a lull in action.. Tried logging in earlier, after I already made my bets for the afternoon amd when I try to log in I get shut out and to talk to financial dept.

    Long story short someone tried to do a bitcoin withdrawal from my account and they stopped it. So I got that going for me

  12. #15912
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Bovada one pair or worse to win WSOP is a good bet at -120

  13. #15913
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    This one isn't quite as strong as my last 4 unders (all of which I really liked), but I still feel good enough to bet it:

    Milwaukee (Miley) at Pittsburgh (Taillon) - Under 8 -115

    Starting very soon

  14. #15914
    Diamond PLOL's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    This one isn't quite as strong as my last 4 unders (all of which I really liked), but I still feel good enough to bet it:

    Milwaukee (Miley) at Pittsburgh (Taillon) - Under 8 -115

    Starting very soon
    Alright I'm gonna take this and brewers +110

  15. #15915
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by PLOL View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    This one isn't quite as strong as my last 4 unders (all of which I really liked), but I still feel good enough to bet it:

    Milwaukee (Miley) at Pittsburgh (Taillon) - Under 8 -115

    Starting very soon
    Alright I'm gonna take this and brewers +110
    No way you can win both at this point.

    I thought I had my 5th consecutive under win probably locked up, being 2-1 in the bottom 6th. Then the Pirates hung a 3 on the board.

    Currently bottom of the 7th, so I gotta fade 2 runs being scored (and especially 3) in the final 2.5, or lose this one. Fortunately it's the Pirates leading (well, for me, not you), so there won't be a bottom of the 9th if my bet is still winning.

  16. #15916
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Another run across.

    Doogie Houser MD screwed me. allowing 4 runs in 2 innings.

    Why didn't they hook him?

    Now I have to walk a tightrope in the 8th and 9th.

  17. #15917
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Boy I got fucked with this one.

    Let me count the ways:

    - 2-1 game after 5.5 innings

    - Brewers leave in a terrible reliever in for 2 innings to give up 4 runs despite a close game.

    - With the game 6-1 in the top of the 9th with 1 out and nobody on, a shot went off the pitcher's glove. Then an error. Then a seeing-eye single which was a hair away from being a double play ball to end the game, making it 6-2. Then a walk.

    Now at best I'll tie this one, and the bases are loaded with 1 out. If another scores, I lose.

    I mean what a fucking joke. So many factors had to come together to beat me on this one. Leaving a bad reliever in way too long? An off-the-glove comebacker, followed by an error, followed by a ball barely getting by the 2nd baseman? GTFO


  18. #15918
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    This inning is fucking weird.

    Bases loaded, 1 out.

    Obvious third strike and somehow it's ruled ball 2. The announcers are shocked.

    Then a hit down the line which is close but ruled fair.

    I say out loud, "I lose. Such a joke."

    Run scores, it's over.

    Then the umpire CHANGES HIS CALL after being shown that the ball made an indentation in the dirt to the left of the foul line.

    They're challenging it but the replay shows it's clearly foul. Also this isn't supposed to be reviewable but it was reviewed anyway.




    Then the guy singles anyway and I still lose.



    This was one of the worst beats I've taken in awhile.

  19. #15919
    Diamond PLOL's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    This was one of the worst beats I've taken in awhile.
    Prob because it's the first time I've ghosted your bet in a while

     
    Comments
      
      Tellafriend: I know that feeling all too well

  20. #15920
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Took a day off after that Brewers screw job.

    Here's the only one I see so far that I like today:

    Cincinnati (L. Castillo) at St. Louis (Flaherty) - Under 9 -119

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