Michigan could go 9-4 and on paper be a better team than last year but that's not my point. They may beat the dregs of the Big Ten with this roster but they don't have enough to take Ohio State this year.
Michigan could go 9-4 and on paper be a better team than last year but that's not my point. They may beat the dregs of the Big Ten with this roster but they don't have enough to take Ohio State this year.
Sweeeeeeeeeeeeeeeep!Originally Posted by Daly
10-1 since May 13th, after scoring this win:
at Cincinnati (L. Castillo) +118 vs. Cubs (Hendricks) - WON +1.180
... and none of those 11 were big favorites, while some were big/moderate dogs. So this is a nice run.
GRAND TOTAL: 53-42-2, +13.769 units
Overs: 2-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 31-21-2
Sides: 18-17 (a good deal ahead in units)
As is often the case on Sundays, I'm having a hard time finding any games I like.
Considering one play for the Cle/Hou game, but that's not til 5pm, so I will look at that again later.
Okay, I do have one wager today.
Cleveland (Carrasco) at Houston (McCullers) - Under 7.5 -115
Starts 5pm PDT
If anyone cares I finally stoped by Druffs Show this week. We hit a lot of the impacts on the Supreme Court Sports Betting decision. Definitely was a blast.
Thanks for coming on. Good segment. Enjoyed having your feedback.
If only it were always this easy...
Cleveland (Carrasco) at Houston (McCullers) - Under 7.5 -115 - WON +0.870
GRAND TOTAL: 54-42-2, +14.639 units
Overs: 2-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 32-21-2
Sides: 18-17 (a good deal ahead in units)
Now 11-1 in MLB since May 12. I have never won 11 of 12 picks in any sport prior to this. None of these 11 were big favorites, btw.
Miami (E. Hernandez) +122 at Mets (Vargas)
Kansas City (I. Kennedy) at St. Louis (Mikolas) - Under 8.5 -110
Miami game starting at 4:10pm PDT. St. Louis at 5:15pm.
NOTES:
Jason Vargas has a 13.86 ERA and has looked horrible since returning from the DL. There is no evidence he will pitch capably today. Elieser Hernandez is by no means a great option (he had troubles with walks in the minors this year, and doesn't strike out many), but this is a bet against Vargas and a depleted Mets lineup (Cespedes, Lagares, Frazier all out).
A very high percentage of money bet on the KC/StL total is on the over. So if you want to fade the public, here's your chance.
Well, bad news... in the first 2 innings of work, Jason Vargas looks very good. Not the failpitcher he's been in all of his other starts this year. I guess the extended rest did him some good. Was a bit afraid the off time would cure his lingering problems off the DL, but whatever.
On the plus side, Elieser Hernandez also looks decent so far.
Or perhaps both offenses are so awful that they're making the pitchers look good by comparison.
We shall see.
Thought NY/Mia was a toss up so that's why I bet it. Vargas was very good and Miami bats were asleep so that was that. 2-0 final.
Cards under about to cover.
This will be a slightly losing day, which means it will be the first time I lose units since May 11.
Guess I can't win 11 of every 12 consistently.
at Cincinnati (Harvey) +106 vs. Pittsburgh (Taillon)
Detroit (M. Boyd) at Minnesota (Lynn) - Under 9 -120
*** NOTES ***
Minnesota game is a bit weird, line-wise. Lance Lynn has been HORRIBLE this season, including recently, and yet you can get +153 against him. Even weirder? The public is piling on Detroit (which is unusual, for the public to pound the underdog), and the line keeps getting better -- known as reverse line movement. This looks very much like a Trapper John MD situation, and I'd stay away from the Detroit moneyline here, as tempting as it might be to get +153 against one of the worst starting pitchers in 2018 baseball. But I do like the under here.
Cincy game may get rained out. But no harm in firing a bet on it anyway.
Nope Im seeing 8 45 start time
Yeah looking at the weather now, it seems like the super heavy rain we are seeing right now will pass.Nope Im seeing 8 45 start time
So looks like it will play
Just poured here now this. We cant lose tonight.. Hopefully it clears up in cinncy.Yeah looking at the weather now, it seems like the super heavy rain we are seeing right now will pass.
So looks like it will play
Let them play!!
at Cincinnati (Harvey) +106 vs. Pittsburgh (Taillon)
Detroit (M. Boyd) at Minnesota (Lynn) - Under 9 -120
Right back into the W column with an easy 2-0 day. Not much of a sweat on either of them.
Record keeping:
5/21:
Miami (E. Hernandez) +122 at Mets (Vargas) - LOST -1
Kansas City (I. Kennedy) at St. Louis (Mikolas) - Under 8.5 -110 - WON +0.909
5/21 total: 1-1, -0.091 units
5/22:
at Cincinnati (Harvey) +106 vs. Pittsburgh (Taillon) - WON +1.060
Detroit (M. Boyd) at Minnesota (Lynn) - Under 9 -120 - WON +0.833
5/22 total: 2-0, +1.893 units
Last two days: 3-1, +1.802 units
GRAND TOTAL: 57-43-2, +16.441 units
Overs: 2-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 34-21-2
Moneyline: 19-18 (a good deal ahead in units due to mostly underdogs)
I'm 14-2, +12.72 units since May 12
I give the Rockets much respect winning tonight after getting murdered in game 3 and the third quarter tonight. You almost forget CP3 is on this team because James Harden has to have the ball all of the time to dribble 20 seconds off the clock and hoist up a contested three.
Harden is a solid player who deserves the MVP award but his basketball IQ always leaves me shaking my head.
Kerr is a terrible coach. He made a multitude of terrible decisions, and then did nothing to stop his team from degrading into hero ball. A majority of the time they would hit enough of those bad shots down the stretch to win, but still... I really think if they lose this series, which even with Houston retaking home court is unlikely, they need to move on from him and find someone the players will listen to. Pop would be waltzing to 5+ straight championships at this point. The Warriors are so good, and have been, that people don’t realize that they are dominating playing sloppy, undisciplined basketball.
39-4 under Walton and 12-0 under Mike Brown in the playoffs.
Considered firing Detroit under again but decided to pass. Not clear enough for my liking.
I'll be back in the 3pm PDT hour to possible post afternoon/evening picks.
There are currently 5 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 5 guests)
Reply With Quote
