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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #15601
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post

    +350 doesn’t come easy. Couldn’t fade the 1.7 second shot to tie

    Let’s get it in OT!
    Unreal.

    Hope we don’t get Druff’ed in OT
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      Salty_Aus: *thumbs up*
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  2. #15602
    Gold Salty_Aus's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Unreal.

    Hope we don’t get Druff’ed in OT
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    Celtics have been real good to me all year. Today's result and the last 2 games has really made my year.

    Fantastic game today!

  3. #15603
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I was hoping for a pitcher to get bombed in the White Sox game -- just not mine. 8-1 Twins right now. Whoops.

    Miami under looking good so far, despite a 2 run top of the 1st. (Yesterday had 4 runs in the 1st and easily covered.)

    These two teams together are an under bettor's dream, provided the pitchers are reasonable and the line isn't too low.

    Boston/Texas... well, 1 run after 2 innings, but the bases were left loaded. We'll see.

    Would be nice to hang another 4-1 on the books.

  4. #15604
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Nope, Boston/Texas became a scoring-fest in the middle innings, and it went from looking good to being a 5-5 game, making me lose.

    Writing off the White Sox losing 8-3 in the late innings.

    3-2 day, though the +140 should put me a little bit over 1 unit for the day.

  5. #15605
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    This LeBron James kid is going to be a good one some day

  6. #15606
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    Druff can finally shut up about that woulda coulda shoulda Craptors bet .... woulda just got LeGOAT'd in a major way lol

  7. #15607
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Raptors peaked too early.

    The city of Toronto should bribe Lebron to move to a Western Conf team.

  8. #15608
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    TOTAL ON 5/2: 34-29-2, +7.188 units

    5/3:
    *GAME 2* Toronto (Biagini) at Cleveland (Plutko) - Under 10 -105 - LOST -1
    TOTAL: 0-1, -1 units

    5/4:
    Miami (W. Chen) at Cincinnati (Romano) - Under 9 -115 - WON +0.870
    San Francisco (Stratton) at Atlanta (Foltynewicz) - Under 9 -105 - LOST -1
    at Arizona (Medlen) +178 vs Houston (G. Cole) - LOST -1
    TOTAL: 1-2, -1.130 units

    5/5:
    Detroit (J. Zimmerman) +140 at Kansas City (Hammel) - WON +1.40
    Detroit/KC - Under 9.5 -120 - WON +0.833
    at White Sox (H. Santiago) -1.5 +215 vs. Minnesota (Lynn) - LOST -1
    Miami (Caleb Smith) at Cincinnati (Mahle) - Under 8.5 -105 - WON +0.909
    Boston (E. Rodriguez) at Texas (Hamels) - Under 9 +101 - LOST -1
    TOTAL: 3-2, +1.142 units

    TOTAL 5/3-5/5: 4-5, -0.988 units

    GRAND TOTAL: 38-34-2, +6.200 units

    Overs: 1-3
    Spread (-1.5): 2-1
    Unders: 23-17-2
    Sides: 12-13

  9. #15609
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I've talked before about that stats service I use, and how they sell picks I don't buy.

    I am able to see how their picks did the following day, and they keep a running record. To their credit, they are honest about their record and don't manipulate things if they aren't doing well. The only semi-shady thing they do is always choose the best line from like 10 different books as their "official" line, which is kinda bullshit because the average bettor doesn't have that many options.

    Anyway, they're getting their ass handed to them so far in MLB. Something like 7.5 units down after about 100 picks.

    I'm not killing it in MLB, but I am 6.2 units up after 74 picks, and have been in the black for all but one day of the season.

    I wonder how other MLB handicappers are doing this year. Seems like an odd year in some ways.

  10. #15610
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    Is Toronto gonna reel off four in a row now?

    I don't really know if he would be happy with me outing this... but poster limitles is actually from Canada.

  11. #15611
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Last-minute bet on 10:10am game:

    Toronto (M. Estrada) at Tampa (Archer) - Under 8 -110

  12. #15612
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Last-minute bet on 10:10am game:

    Toronto (M. Estrada) at Tampa (Archer) - Under 8 -110
    There were 3 "Trapper John" games today.

    One was this one -- under 8 with two pitchers who had terrible records. Final score 2-1. Ding!

    The second was Pittsburgh +112 on the road at Milwaukee. Crappy Chad Kuhl was up against the surprisingly effective Chase Anderson. So you can get a slight dog on Kuhl on the road against a better Milwaukee team and pitcher? Huh? Indeed, the Pirates are up 9-0. Considered this one, but ended up skipping it.

    The last one was the under on Oakland/Baltimore. Featuring the bad Andrew Triggs versus the horrendous (9.64 ERA) Alex Cobb. It's 1-0 in the 3rd right now.

    Three games which would appear to be obvious choices to the casual bettor (two overs and a side bet on Pittsburgh), and two decisive losses plus one on pace to lose.

    Betting MLB baseball, everyone.

    Anyway, I'll take my 1-0 day and be done.

    Picked up +0.909 units today.

    GRAND TOTAL: 39-34-2, +7.109 units

    Overs: 1-3
    Spread (-1.5): 2-1
    Unders: 24-17-2
    Sides: 12-13

  13. #15613
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Odd line alert. Celtics up 3-0 and are -1000 to win the series. Cavs up 3-0 and are -5000

    Seems like a free $100 on Boston (my max loss per bet is $1000). No team has EVER lost up 3-0 in NBA history.

    :whynot

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    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  14. #15614
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    No games til 4pm PDT today.

    Looking at two unders:

    Cincinnati (again)
    San Diego

    I will post the lines if and when I actually bet them.

  15. #15615
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Okay here we go.

    Getting cooler on the SD under so that may not happen.

    But here's the one I'm definitely going with:

    Mets (Conlon) at Cincinnati (Bailey) - Under 9.5 -106

    Public money right now is very much on the over.

  16. #15616
    Diamond PLOL's Avatar
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    Will Cubs fail continue? Marlins +205 looks tempting

  17. #15617
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by PLOL View Post
    Will Cubs fail continue? Marlins +205 looks tempting
    It is tempting. I was close to picking that one. Jarlin Garcia has had a hell of a start to 2018 so far, too.

    I think Cubs are winning today, though. Talked myself out of it. Definitely not a bad bet if you want to go there, though.

  18. #15618
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I'm really interested to see if the 76ers will get swept as 4, 4, 8, and 7 point favorites

  19. #15619
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by PLOL View Post
    Will Cubs fail continue? Marlins +205 looks tempting
    It is tempting. I was close to picking that one. Jarlin Garcia has had a hell of a start to 2018 so far, too.

    I think Cubs are winning today, though. Talked myself out of it. Definitely not a bad bet if you want to go there, though.
    cubs played v late last night in stl.

  20. #15620
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Soooooooo my Reds under pick turned out to be pretty bad.

    It was done by the 5th inning.

    I did predict correctly that the Marlins would lose, so I'm glad I wasn't tempted by the +205 and Jarlin Garcia pitching. Just had the gut feeling that one was gonna get crushed. I know it's not amazing to predict a -2xx favorite is going to win, but I really wasn't feeling that one.

    Anyway, I'm not picking anything else tonight. No Padres under. I'll be back tomorrow.

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