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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #15421
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Buehler has had some control issues tonight.

    Fortunately he's playing the Marlins on a cool LA night, so the ball isn't going anywhere.

    Shoulda done the under on this one.
    It’s a thought. Buehler was never expected to go beyond 5 and now you have two bad bullpens. Gotta pass

    Buehler Dodgered disaster with bases loaded. This was hindsight talking to you

    Recipe for more heartache

  2. #15422
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Going to have to settle on 9-1 on the individual chalk plays.

    I left out LAD for reasons mentioned. Hard to back Miami in any spot but -250 for backingthe dodgers was/is batshit

  3. #15423
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    This, folks, is runbad.

    Oakland/Texas 3-3 going to the 9th. I have under 10.

    Odds are covering are super high at this point.

    Oakland gets a leadoff HR, and it's 4-3. Okay, not bad. 2 more outs and an infield single, and it's 4-3, man on 1st, 2 outs.

    Then a barrage of hits, and suddenly it's 9-3.

    Game over for me.

    PLZ STFU I had Texas in a 3 teamer to win 8k to close it. But I did say to myself if u had under in this game u r pissed as Oak scored 6 runs in the 9th.

  4. #15424
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    MLB [907] TOTAL o10½-105 (SDG PADRES vrs COL ROCKIES) [ERIC LAUER -L/KYLE FREELAND - L]
    Apr 24
    10:10 PM MLB [910] LA DODGERS -280 [Action]
    Apr 24
    10:15 PM MLB [911] WAS NATIONALS -120 [Action]

     
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      Charham: Like it. GL to us. Like NATS coming off a loss here.

  5. #15425
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    Shohei ohtani OVER 5.5 strikeouts -111

  6. #15426
    Gold Gookieheimowitz's Avatar
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    Took a few days off to regroup :

    Plays for 4-24-18

    Detroit Tigers +159 vs Pittsburgh Pirates


    Ny Mets +160 vs ST Louis Cardinals


    Atlanta -112 vs Cincy

    All 1 unit each

    NBA Totals

    Milwaukee vs Boston OVER 203 -110


    YTD MLB SIDES= 8-8 = -3.15 units

    MLB Totals over = 0-2 = -2.25 units


    Good Luck
    Gookie

  7. #15427
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gookieheimowitz View Post
    Took a few days off to regroup :

    Plays for 4-24-18

    Detroit Tigers +159 vs Pittsburgh Pirates


    Ny Mets +160 vs ST Louis Cardinals


    Atlanta -112 vs Cincy

    All 1 unit each

    NBA Totals

    Milwaukee vs Boston OVER 203 -110


    YTD MLB SIDES= 8-8 = -3.15 units

    MLB Totals over = 0-2 = -2.25 units


    Good Luck
    Gookie
    Id cancel that Det bet bro.. If this games played Pirates win easy tonight.

    Dont think it will be played though

  8. #15428
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gookieheimowitz View Post
    Ny Mets +160 vs ST Louis Cardinals
    Agree.

    My only play for today, in fact.

    Mets (Wheeler) +170 at St. Louis (Weaver)

    Sorry Willie


  9. #15429
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    If it weren't for the blister, this would be a good play. But he looked horrendous in his previous start, and even Ohtani admits the blister isn't gone, but is rather being "managed". Uh huh. Can't trust him at this point to pitch like he did before.


    No joke, yesterday I saw the Angels as one of the later games as a decent sized dog, and thought I liked them. Told myself I would get back to it later after making the rest of the picks, and then totally spaced out on it, and forgot I had noted that game in my head. Of course it won. Pretty sure I would have fired on it, even (gasp) opposing a then-unstoppable Daly chalk streak. (Full disclosure, up until that point I agreed with all 9 of Daly's other chalk plays, and in fact almost bet them.)

  10. #15430
    Gold Gookieheimowitz's Avatar
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    Gookie late plays


    San Fran Giants +104

    NBA
    San Antonio +11


    Good Luck Gookie

  11. #15431
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gookieheimowitz View Post
    Gookie late plays


    San Fran Giants +104

    NBA
    San Antonio +11


    Good Luck Gookie
    thanks for the mets, gookie...now lets see the giants bring it home...

  12. #15432
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post


    If it weren't for the blister, this would be a good play. But he looked horrendous in his previous start, and even Ohtani admits the blister isn't gone, but is rather being "managed". Uh huh. Can't trust him at this point to pitch like he did before.


    No joke, yesterday I saw the Angels as one of the later games as a decent sized dog, and thought I liked them. Told myself I would get back to it later after making the rest of the picks, and then totally spaced out on it, and forgot I had noted that game in my head. Of course it won. Pretty sure I would have fired on it, even (gasp) opposing a then-unstoppable Daly chalk streak. (Full disclosure, up until that point I agreed with all 9 of Daly's other chalk plays, and in fact almost bet them.)
    In a battle of A vs A — LA wins. Ohtani was fine. We are talking Astros so perhaps he did great. Fun game

    In the losers bracket this has been a hard fought series between Marlins & Dodgers. Two anemic offenses with not much hope. Lol -280 Dodgers

  13. #15433
    Gold Gookieheimowitz's Avatar
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    Gookie's Recap for 4-24-18


    Braves -112 Lost 9-7 in extra innings = -1 Unit

    Detroit Tigers +159 Rained out

    N.Y Mets +160 Win 6-5 = +1.60 Units

    S.F. Giants +104 Win 5-4 = +1.04 Units

    Make up a little ground on MLB Sides today

    NBA

    NBA Total Overs Mil vs Bos over 203 = Not even close . = -1.10 Unit

    NBA Playoff Sides

    San Antonio +11 Win = + 1 Unit


    YTD

    MLB SIDES = 10-9 = -1.63 Units

    NBA Totals Overs = 0-3 = -3.35 Units

    NBA Playoff Sides = 1-0 = +1.00 Units


    Hope somebody made some money out there

    Good Luck
    Gookie
    Last edited by Gookieheimowitz; 04-24-2018 at 10:16 PM. Reason: Math

  14. #15434
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Dodgers (-280) lose at home to the Marlins. Fun, but what if....

    Kershaw -380 v Marlins Weds

    What is the record?

    If Kershaw was younger and had a winning record and the Dodgers didn’t suck - what would it be vs the wretched Marlins?

    How many units would you be up if you autofaded Dodgers this year every game? It must be a uniquely surprising amount of money. Public as fuck.

    I should have these tools but I don’t.

  15. #15435
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    That Mets win was ugly.

    Aside from that Jay Bruce go-ahead HR, St. Louis pretty much handed it to New York.

    In the first, a badly misplayed fly ball went for a triple, and the Mets cut their deficit to 2-1.

    Mets then fell behind 4-1.

    However, Matheny mismanaged Luke Weaver, who clearly suddenly lost the ability to throw strikes. After walking two batters on 4 pitches each, and then throwing 4 bad pitches to Yoenis Cespedes (who stupidly swung at one), it was a 3-1 count. Then Weaver finally fired a strike -- right down the middle, and Cespedes hammered it for a 463-foot bomb. Matheny should have taken him out as soon as he walked that second batter. on 4 pitches (none of the 8 pitches were close). Amazingly, Weaver was left in there to flail after the Cespedes HR, walked yet another batter, and was finally being removed. However, no further runs scored.

    Then St. Louis got up 5-4, and New York caught them 5-5.

    Then St. Louis had 1st and 2nd nobody out in the bottom of the 9th, and I was getting ready to make another post bitching about always losing in the final inning. But a strikeout and double play, and suddenly the inning was over.

    The Bruce cracked that HR in the 10th, and the Cards went meekly in the bottom half of the frame. Game over. Ship +170.

    Part of me felt like a fraud for winning that one. But then I reminded myself that my bet was mostly against Weaver, who gave up 6 runs and 9 hits in his last outing, and I didn't feel he deserved such a strong favorite line against a competent Mets team. I was a bit worried about Wheeler (who was indeed not very good), but +170 was just too good to pass up. So this one fell my way, after looking like it was destined to lose three different times -- when the Mets trailed 4-1, when they trailed 5-4 going to the 8th, and when the Cards had runners on 1st and 2nd with nobody out in the bottom of the 9th.

    Record keeping:

    4/23:
    Oakland (Cahill) at Texas (Moore) - Under 10 +100 - LOST -1

    4/24:
    Mets (Wheeler) +170 at St. Louis (L. Weaver) - WON +1.700

    TOTAL BOTH DAYS: 1-1, +0.700

    SEASON TOTAL THRU 4/24: 23-18, +5.451

    Overs 0-2
    Unders 15-9-2
    Sides 8-7

  16. #15436
    Gold Gookieheimowitz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Dodgers (-280) lose at home to the Marlins. Fun, but what if....

    Kershaw -380 v Marlins Weds

    What is the record?

    If Kershaw was younger and had a winning record and the Dodgers didn’t suck - what would it be vs the wretched Marlins?

    How many units would you be up if you autofaded Dodgers this year every game? It must be a uniquely surprising amount of money. Public as fuck.

    I should have these tools but I don’t.

    I don't know what the record is but look at this
    STATIONS LINE MOVEMENTS


    04/24
    11:59pm
    LAD-450
    MIA+325
    LAD-170
    MIA+150
    7.0 +100
    7.0 -120



    LOL Dodgers -450 .....They must be getting HAMMERED like its free money

  17. #15437
    Gold Gookieheimowitz's Avatar
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    Gookies Plays for 4-25-18

    Today is CRACK THE ACES day:

    So today is a bunch of Aces pitching and I have 2 plays that I like .


    First Play is Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners . King Felix is on the hill for Seattle pitching against the Sox for his 20th Career time. Bad timing I suppose cause the King is not having a great year so far and he also is what like 50 years old? Anyways The White Sox Historically have OWNED him and I am going to grab The +140 number on the overnight as it has already started plummeting at certain books.

    Chicago White Sox +140


    Second Play : San Fran Giants vs Washington Nat's . Can I really beat Sherzer here? I think I can . Nat's have lost a bunch in a row while the Giants have put together 3 in a row. Nat's are finishing off a road trip and they just seem very uninterested so far this year . Ill jump on the +135 offered on the overnight as I have a sneaky suspicion this number is going to drop before game time .

    San Fran Giants +135

    ADDED GAME:*****DETROIT TIGERS +148 ***GAME (975 on the board) 2nd of the double header.

    I liked the Tigers in this spot last night but game was rained out. I still like this matchup for the Tigers .


    Lets Crack Some Aces

    Good Luck
    Gookie
    Last edited by Gookieheimowitz; 04-25-2018 at 09:56 AM. Reason: Added Tigers Game 9;56am Pacific Time

  18. #15438
    Gold Gookieheimowitz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Dodgers (-280) lose at home to the Marlins. Fun, but what if....

    Kershaw -380 v Marlins Weds

    What is the record?

    If Kershaw was younger and had a winning record and the Dodgers didn’t suck - what would it be vs the wretched Marlins?

    How many units would you be up if you autofaded Dodgers this year every game? It must be a uniquely surprising amount of money. Public as fuck.

    I should have these tools but I don’t.


    Answering your question SAN if you faded the Dodgers so far in every game this season you would be +6.10 Units .


    Good Luck
    Gookie

     
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      Sanlmar: Thx
    Last edited by Gookieheimowitz; 04-25-2018 at 07:29 AM. Reason: Math

  19. #15439
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    MLB [907] TOTAL o10½-105 (SDG PADRES vrs COL ROCKIES) [ERIC LAUER -L/KYLE FREELAND - L]
    Apr 24
    10:10 PM MLB [910] LA DODGERS -280 [Action]
    Apr 24
    10:15 PM MLB [911] WAS NATIONALS -120 [Action]

    Sweeeeeeeeep!

  20. #15440
    Cubic Zirconia
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    Seattle Mariners @ Chicago White Sox OVER 9.5 -115

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