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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #15081
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I love the Yankees.

    That’s said this is a -160 game vs actual -243. We are talking about an extremely public team and pitcher in a rich and passionate market.

    For some like LA this is hard to relate to. They boo’d Stanton in his home opener, yesterday. They boo’d him cause they f’in care. This is why NY was a quick scratch for Ohtani. LA is a much better fit for a tender noob.

    You become a mega star in NY or you fear for your safety. Same for Boston. Stanton handled it well and was funny. He’s strong enough for this market.

    We are talking legit madness. This is a Druff underdog value spot. Rays Snell is competitive here. He’s no bum.

    Astros is almost the same story without the love/hate. Just love. Fucking best ring I have ever seen if I may say so

  2. #15082
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Two MLB plays so far.

    One is on the Dodgers. I admit I won't be betting AGAINST the Dodgers this year because I'm such a big fan and don't want to root against them. But I will bet for them when I truly feel like they're going to win, and when the line appears to have value.

    Dodgers (Wood) -130 at Arizona (Corbin)


    The other is an over/under

    Cleveland (Kluber) at Angels (Skaggs) Under 7 +100

    May have more in a bit.

  3. #15083
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Monitoring but not firing yet:

    Boston under
    Giants moneyline

  4. #15084
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I’m with you Druff. Just be prepared to suffer the consequences.

    I love Dodgers Wood. I have grave concerns about the middle of the order Puig, Bellinger, Kemp. I like Kike more than Druff does. He always scares me when I’m opposite Dodgers. The Diamondbacks have the better offense.

    I think the Dodgers Love is fading and that’s ok today. Can’t wait for next Kershaw game. What will we see for a line? -130?

    The bet of the day would have been under 9 but that ship sailed.

    I’m in large. It’s some shot taking which one must do from time to time. It’ll leave a mark. If I die before I sleep I will lol “I bet the Dodgers”.

    They should make a bumper sticker for shitboxes that simply says “I bet the Dodgers” or “My bookie drives a Bentley”

    MOBILE - BASEBALL - MLB - 905 LOS ANGELES DODGERS -130 FOR GAME

  5. #15085
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I’m with you Druff. Just be prepared to suffer the consequences.

    I love Dodgers Wood. I have grave concerns about the middle of the order Puig, Bellinger, Kemp. I like Kike more than Druff does. He always scares me when I’m opposite Dodgers.

    I think the Dodgers Love is fading and that’s ok today. Can’t wait for next Kershaw game. What will we see for a line? -130?

    The bet of the day would have been under 9 but that ship sailed.

    I’m in large. It’s some shot taking which one must do from time to time. It’ll leave a mark.

    MOBILE - BASEBALL - MLB - 905 LOS ANGELES DODGERS -130 FOR GAME

    Wood somewhat ran out of steam in the 2nd half last year, but it looks like he's once again in top form in the early season, as he was last year.

    Corbin had one good year, and it was 2013. I don't expect him to be effective this year. I almost went Dodgers -1.5 but I took the safer route. The other problem is that Dodgers -1.5 is only +120, and honestly I only like taking -1.5 when it becomes a fairly big dog, or when it brings a huge favorite down to something closer to even money. Going from -130 to +120 doesn't excite me.

  6. #15086
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    Corbin had one good year, and it was 2013. I don't expect him to be effective this year. I almost went Dodgers -1.5 but I took the safer route. The other problem is that Dodgers -1.5 is only +120, and honestly I only like taking -1.5 when it becomes a fairly big dog, or when it brings a huge favorite down to something closer to even money. Going from -130 to +120 doesn't excite me.
    From a pitching standpoint we are solid.

    I have never played so many run lines in such a short period as this year.

    With Dodgers offense you CANNOT consider this seriously. Ludicrous

  7. #15087
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Be honest Druff, you’re kicking yourself about snoozing on Celtics +8 early (v Raptors)

  8. #15088
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Diamondback Corbin 0-8 v Dodgers. That was before - this is the new look cellar dwelling Dodgers.

    DBacks 3-0 top 3. Arghhh. I deserve this. This isn’t a come from behind offense. Save your live money.

    Corbin may set a MLB strikeout record today. He is completely unafraid of the Dodgers hitters. Just pounding the zone.

    I have my Kershaw Bellinger and Dodger total wins unders to keep me warm

    Preemptive “Turner isn’t the savior”. He was bound to regress and isn’t gonna walk on the field and kill later.


    Daly & OSA’s Yankees are killing.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 04-04-2018 at 01:42 PM.

  9. #15089
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Diamondback Corbin 0-8 v Dodgers. That was before - this is the new look cellar dwelling Dodgers.

    DBacks 3-0 top 3. Arghhh. I deserve this. This isn’t a come from behind offense. Save your live money.

    Corbin may set a MLB strikeout record today. He is completely unafraid of the Dodgers hitters. Just pounding the zone.

    I have my Kershaw Bellinger and Dodger total wins unders to keep me warm

    Preemptive “Turner isn’t the savior”. He was bound to regress and isn’t gonna walk on the field and kill later.


    Daly & OSA’s Yankees are killing.
    Saying something like "Daly's Yankees" will start to earn you Red Rep seeing as how I'm wearing a 7 5/8ths with a red B on the front of it most days.

    Like you we both bleed green when it counts though....

  10. #15090
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I have a "lock" for the masters. Waiting for one to get this bet down at 1 more site and I'll release here.

  11. #15091
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Dodger bats super asleep today.

    Wood wasn't terrible, but definitely wasn't good.

    But this one rests on the offense.

    1 hit through 8. Ugh.

    Keep in mind the Dodgers were fail last year to start the season (9-11) before promoting Bellinger, and suddenly everything clicked.

    At least the Angels/Indians under is on pace to win.

  12. #15092
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    It’s really hard to find fault currently with the Sawks. Except relief in the 7th & 8th. Small quibble. Kinda takes the fun out of it. Gonna be fun in the east.

    Oh, I’m bleeding green, alright. I have been restrained in my contempt for the fail Dodgers but for now this will do.


  13. #15093
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Damnit Ohtani... another bomb, now it's 2-2 after 5

  14. #15094
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Unhappy

    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Dodger bats super asleep today.

    Keep in mind the Dodgers were fail last year to start the season (9-11) before promoting Bellinger, and suddenly everything clicked.

    Another Bellinger ain’t walking through that door. Bellinger is the proverbial sophomore with no signs of adjusting like you have seen Ohtani do in a few quick games. Bellinger is a dope and lacks those skills.

    You had your shot at some cheap offense. You passed

    This is ridiculous hope-a-tron fanboy blather without one shred of current reality.

  15. #15095
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Dodger bats super asleep today.

    Keep in mind the Dodgers were fail last year to start the season (9-11) before promoting Bellinger, and suddenly everything clicked.

    Another Bellinger ain’t walking through that door. Bellinger is the proverbial sophomore with no signs of adjusting like you have seen Ohtani do in a few quick games. Bellinger is a dope and lacks those skills.

    You had your shot at some cheap offense. You passed

    This is ridiculous hope-a-tron fanboy blather without one shred of current reality.
    I wasn't saying that a rookie would be promoted who will energize the offense. There's no one of that description now.

    Walker Buehler may energize the starting pitching, but they don't really need that at the moment.

    Turner returning (and retaining previous form) may be a big boost.

    In 2013, the team was below .500 in June and won the NL West thanks to a combination of Puig's promotion and Hanley Ramirez returning from injury.

    Turner sucks when he's hurting (see the 2017 World Series), but has proven in 4 consecutive seasons that he wasn't a fluke.

  16. #15096
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Damnit Ohtani... another bomb, now it's 2-2 after 5
    You know what will be fun as shit?

    Watching LA bail on the Dodgers and follow a likeable story in the Angels.

    I kind of envy LA’s opportunity here

    Turner ain’t returning with midseason form. He is a guy who makes a living getting hit. It’s part of his approach. He is now gonna forfeit that advantage.

    You need to look elsewhere

  17. #15097
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Annnnnnnnnnnnnd game.

    First and second in the 9th (thanks to 2 walks), but nobody could hit.

    Kike struck out looking.

    This is a spot where you need a Mark Reynolds type on the bench (he's available, btw).

    Always felt that a feast-or-famine power hitter on the bench is important for late-and-close games where a single isn't really what you're going for. Dodgers don't really have that, nor do most teams.

    Passing on the Boston under in the NBA.

    In MLB, I'm very tempted to fire Giants -130, but honestly I hate laying -130 on the Giants at this point, even at home with Cueto pitching. But I think they're winning this one, so I might.

  18. #15098
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I can't get behind the Giants, Marlins, Tigers, Royals or Rays right now unless it's +250 or better.

  19. #15099
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I can't get behind the Giants, Marlins, Tigers, Royals or Rays right now unless it's +250 or better.
    Giants actually have the talent on offense right now, though, and Cueto looked good in his first start.

    They're just not hitting. Much like the Dodgers and Cubs.

    We're not talking the failoffense Giants of 2017, which became obvious pretty quickly.

    But I definitely understand. That's why I'm hesitating with this -130 against a reasonable team like Seattle.

    King Felix looked good in his first start, but he's not the pitcher he used to be.

    I just think the Giants are winning this one.

    Well, fuck it, I'm firing on it.

    Giants (Cueto) -130 vs. Seattle (F. Hernandez)

    But I don't blame you if you pass on this.

  20. #15100
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Damnit Ohtani... another bomb, now it's 2-2 after 5
    You know what will be fun as shit?

    Watching LA bail on the Dodgers and follow a likeable story in the Angels.

    I kind of envy LA’s opportunity here

    Turner ain’t returning with midseason form. He is a guy who makes a living getting hit. It’s part of his approach. He is now gonna forfeit that advantage.

    You need to look elsewhere
    Trout & Ohtani. Fun team to watch. Dodgers are boring.

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