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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #14921
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Cavs Lakers 9pm EST

    Lakers 6-2 since the break. I caught the 2

    Lakers are gonna land me in the Daly NBA mental institution

    It’s hard to choose which team disturbs me more.

    MOBILE - BASKETBALL - NBA - 817 CLEVELAND CAVALIERS -2 -117 FOR GAME
    Real question is are you going to dig deeper with live betting?
    I saw +2 Lakers when it was 72-72 (I think). The ESPN announcers were uniformly of the opinion the Cav’s were awful. My own eyes saw an offense that had no motion. LeBron did some Pete Maravich shit but Pistol Pete never won with the Hawks either.

    I did not pull the trigger. I chose instead to swear off any further involvement with both the Cavs & Lakers.

    Watching the Cavs & Lakers players hug it out and grope each other before the tip is enough to make me swear off the entire gay NBA. Isiah Thomas (the real one), Larry Bird, Magic and Jordan gotta he spinning.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 03-12-2018 at 12:36 AM.

  2. #14922
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    Arizona State -1.5
    Miami -2.5
    NC State +2
    Florida State +1
    Long Island +4
    Alabama +2
    Kentucky -6
    Houston -3.5

  3. #14923
    Diamond Mintjewlips's Avatar
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    SPURS MONEYLINE AND OVER!

    Or just pick the opposite lol.....
    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Drexel

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  4. #14924
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    OK I have been all over the tanking teams and figuring out how to make $. The risk is that teams playing them will rest their starters , so games end up being closer. But tonight we have pathetic Memphis which has lost 17 in a row against the mediocre/poor Bucks who are #8 in the Eastern conference. Bucks don't have much going, but they won't be resting anyone and have to win this game. still 7.5 points, doesn't Memphis have to stay competitive, and just lose it in the end. SO I am thinking ML live bet during the game if it gets close. ML is -360 now, so try and get it down live to -200ish and bet big.

    The other game I am eyeing is the OKC game. -12.5, ouch. ML is lol -1,300. So this is a bit tougher. Adams may be out, but on what planet does OKC lose at home. OKC still needs wins. If anything the play may be just put a ton of money on the ML live bet after its clear that OKC is playing hard, OBV Westbrook needs to be playing, etc. neither of these show a ton of value, but I feel like grinding some $ out of the tankers.

  5. #14925
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by rollinx420 View Post
    Bucks are playing just GOD AWFUL
    This team is full of dumb young idiots and r a go against and might end up out of the playoffs.

    I learned my lesson when the fcks blew a 21 pt lead in 8 mins Sunday. Fck the Greek freak and the rest of the monchichis they r a no bet for me from here on out.

    Since I posted this the Milwaukee Monchichis are 1-7 ATS

    Tonight they are laying 7.5 on the road vs Memphis.

    LOL the NBA!!

  6. #14926
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I'm seeing total hits lined at 213.5.

    Like that under more than a little bit.

     
    Comments
      
      badguy23: I totally agree with this pick

  7. #14927
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I'm seeing total hits lined at 213.5.

    Like that under more than a little bit.
    To bad I cant bet it!!

  8. #14928
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I'm seeing total hits lined at 213.5.

    Like that under more than a little bit.
    To bad I cant bet it!!
    It will roll out there over the next week or so. I'll keep an eye out for more outs.

    Also like over 49.5 HR
    Under 14.5 Tripples.

    I like under 60.5 steals too but Hamilton has me thinking twice.

  9. #14929
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    This was on their Twitter.

    The DDoS must be only affecting certain areas, which is quite possible.

    The site downforeveryoneorjustme.com is always good to use if you suspect a site is having issues. That site also claimed it was down, but now it's saying that it's up, and I still can't access it.
    It appears stupidity wagering is on hiatus as BetOnline is now down for me too.

    Until BOL is rock solid with uninterrupted live to hedge etc I will sit out. Even if I don’t intend to live bet watching the live lines relative to my bet is all part of the fun.

    I have complete faith in Brent Beckley and the safety of my bankroll.

    Brent, it was Druff not me who said those unkind things. You’re aces bud. Absolute was a big misunderstanding
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 03-12-2018 at 08:53 PM.

  10. #14930
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Charham View Post
    OK I have been all over the tanking teams and figuring out how to make $. The risk is that teams playing them will rest their starters , so games end up being closer. But tonight we have pathetic Memphis which has lost 17 in a row against the mediocre/poor Bucks who are #8 in the Eastern conference. Bucks don't have much going, but they won't be resting anyone and have to win this game. still 7.5 points, doesn't Memphis have to stay competitive, and just lose it in the end. SO I am thinking ML live bet during the game if it gets close. ML is -360 now, so try and get it down live to -200ish and bet big.

    The other game I am eyeing is the OKC game. -12.5, ouch. ML is lol -1,300. So this is a bit tougher. Adams may be out, but on what planet does OKC lose at home. OKC still needs wins. If anything the play may be just put a ton of money on the ML live bet after its clear that OKC is playing hard, OBV Westbrook needs to be playing, etc. neither of these show a ton of value, but I feel like grinding some $ out of the tankers.
    I'm thinking the strategy here is to fire on the favorites versus the tankers, with the exception of teams like OKC which tend to be inconsistent with their hustling.

    From casual observation (meaning I haven't actually looked into the stats), it seems that the tankers have done horrible ATS as of late.

    It's gotten quite tough to make "value" under pics because scoring seems to have gone up in the 2nd half of this season. Remember all of those unders I was picking and winning by 25+ points in the first half of the season? That's nearly impossible to come by nowadays.

    I would suggest going with the spread, though, and not the ML, as the ML is just too damn steep, and one upset will screw you.

  11. #14931
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    My Celtics East futures ticket now joins my Patriots SB ticket.

    Kyrie tendinitus knee. Marcus Smaht out indefinitely with hand injury.

    Did you ever fire on Raptors Druff? You called it pretty early.

  12. #14932
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    My Celtics East futures ticket now joins my Patriots SB ticket.

    Kyrie tendinitus knee. Marcus Smaht out indefinitely with hand injury.

    Did you ever fire on Raptors Druff? You called it pretty early.
    No, I didn't do it because everyone in this thread made fun of me when I suggested it.

    Seriously.

    Of course I DID fire on them last year when they were a fail (when again people said not to), so of course that's just my luck.

    But I should have just dismissed the critics and done it. I saw something special about that team early on, and to get +1600 was just a gift.

    I thought I would fire on it and then buy out somewhat when they faced the Cavs in the Eastern Conf Finals, but obviously now I would ride it the whole way had I fired on it.

    Probably won't find an NBA futures value like this again for a long time. Everyone was too blinded by the Cavs and Celtics to give the Raptors a chance.

    What impressed me about them was their consistency. They rarely had a bad game. Just brought solid basketball night after night. That means a lot in the East this year, where consistency has been extremely lacking.

  13. #14933
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    my eye sight is shit nowadays, but coulda sworn I just saw that cousins got 3/84 fully guaranteed from Vikings...

    I don't think ive ever seen an NFL contract fully guaranteed...brees got 2/50 from the saints and only got 27 guaranteed...

  14. #14934
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    Expect some killer NIT picks coming in. It's all about figuring out which power conference teams don't want to be there. It's completely different than betting the NCAA tournament. It's more closely related to handicapping preseason football. Also will probably have to take St. Boonadventure right before tip and under in radford/long island.

  15. #14935
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Charham View Post
    OK I have been all over the tanking teams and figuring out how to make $. The risk is that teams playing them will rest their starters , so games end up being closer. But tonight we have pathetic Memphis which has lost 17 in a row against the mediocre/poor Bucks who are #8 in the Eastern conference. Bucks don't have much going, but they won't be resting anyone and have to win this game. still 7.5 points, doesn't Memphis have to stay competitive, and just lose it in the end. SO I am thinking ML live bet during the game if it gets close. ML is -360 now, so try and get it down live to -200ish and bet big.

    The other game I am eyeing is the OKC game. -12.5, ouch. ML is lol -1,300. So this is a bit tougher. Adams may be out, but on what planet does OKC lose at home. OKC still needs wins. If anything the play may be just put a ton of money on the ML live bet after its clear that OKC is playing hard, OBV Westbrook needs to be playing, etc. neither of these show a ton of value, but I feel like grinding some $ out of the tankers.
    I'm thinking the strategy here is to fire on the favorites versus the tankers, with the exception of teams like OKC which tend to be inconsistent with their hustling.

    From casual observation (meaning I haven't actually looked into the stats), it seems that the tankers have done horrible ATS as of late.

    It's gotten quite tough to make "value" under pics because scoring seems to have gone up in the 2nd half of this season. Remember all of those unders I was picking and winning by 25+ points in the first half of the season? That's nearly impossible to come by nowadays.

    I would suggest going with the spread, though, and not the ML, as the ML is just too damn steep, and one upset will screw you.
    . I did ML last night, all live bets on the favorites when the game got closer and got a bit better pricing. But one ML sure thing goes against me, and you are right, screws it all up. Thunder, Raptors and Cavs all are prime candidates tonight. Lets see how the game develops, but a better spread when the game gets close on the favorite may be a play.

  16. #14936
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I really want Toronto -9 (or 8.5 in some places) but everyone's betting Toronto and yet the line keeps moving to make it more appealing for people to bet Toronto. So.... that looks suspicious. Plus, aside from the last game, Brooklyn actually hasn't looked terrible.

    Anyway...

    Knicks +1 (or moneyline)

    That's what I got for the early games.

    Kantner IS playing.

  17. #14937
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I can't get behind OKC either because:

    1) They tend to sleepwalk against bad opponents

    2) They're on the road after playing yesterday

    So I'm staying away from that one.

    And the Cavs... what a fucking mess they are. Can we really expect them to cover?

  18. #14938
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Might fire on Denver under later tonight, but let's wait a bit on it.

  19. #14939
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    Long Island/Radfrod under 137
    Northern Kentucky +7.5
    Baylor -13
    Boston College +4
    Notre Dame -19.5
    NC Asheville +15.5
    Middle Tennessee State -6.5
    Eastern Washington/Utah Valley over 147.5

    And St. Boon just havent bet it yet.

  20. #14940
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Ok. Look at how close OKC and Toronto games were until last quarter. I loaded up live betting and bam suddenly the tankers tank last quarter and the favorites close it out. If cavs suns are close and cavs aren’t sitting any stars I am loading up on cavs q3.

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