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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #14881
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    San Antonio **FIRST HALF** +6.5 -115 (+6 -105 ok)



    You might be seeing more of these.

    GS tends to sleep walk through the first half.
    Well, it certainly doesn't hurt when Curry. is injured 2 minutes into game and Klay can't hit the broadside of a barn.

  2. #14882
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    Spurs/Warriors game is pretty good. Wonder why Ginobli isn't playing. Would certainly help down the stretch to have more than 1 guy (Aldridge) who isn't scared to shoot in crunch time.

  3. #14883
    Diamond hongkonger's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by varys View Post
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    I do not understand any of this nor recognize any of the people. At all.
    HILLARY WON

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    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Spurs/Warriors game is pretty good. Wonder why Ginobli isn't playing. Would certainly help down the stretch to have more than 1 guy (Aldridge) who isn't scared to shoot in crunch time.
    SA with another L after holding a lead in the 4th. I realize that this is the nature of this swingy league and this ones against maybe the best roster in nba history but pop has to be sick. Not having a crunchtime stud that can score off the dribble and demand double teams is fucking their world up. LOLmarcus aldridge even with his 30ish/17 statline just aint gonna cut it.

    They need kawhi back like.. tomorrow.
    Quote Originally Posted by Tyde
    you're more consumed with accumulating wealth than achieving spiritual enlightenment

  5. #14885
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    Quote Originally Posted by hongkonger View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by varys View Post
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    I do not understand any of this nor recognize any of the people. At all.
    I was high, idk.

    Notoriousmma is conor. It made me *giggle* earlier but im siding with you now.
    Quote Originally Posted by Tyde
    you're more consumed with accumulating wealth than achieving spiritual enlightenment

  6. #14886
    Silver varys's Avatar
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    Wait HK are you the guy that listed 10 or so current players you thought were better than lebron and included emeka okafor?

    Honesty is the best policy

     
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      LegalizeMeth: Emeka was a better college player
    Quote Originally Posted by Tyde
    you're more consumed with accumulating wealth than achieving spiritual enlightenment

  7. #14887
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by varys View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Spurs/Warriors game is pretty good. Wonder why Ginobli isn't playing. Would certainly help down the stretch to have more than 1 guy (Aldridge) who isn't scared to shoot in crunch time.
    SA with another L after holding a lead in the 4th. I realize that this is the nature of this swingy league and this ones against maybe the best roster in nba history but pop has to be sick. Not having a crunchtime stud that can score off the dribble and demand double teams is fucking their world up. LOLmarcus aldridge even with his 30ish/17 statline just aint gonna cut it.

    They need kawhi back like.. tomorrow.
    Kawhi may never be the same player again. Nobody even expected his injury to shut him out for the season. It's just one of those things which is dragging, dragging, dragging... and it just feels like he's gonna eventually come back and be a shell of his former self, even after the rust wears off.

    But yes, the Spurs have become huge choke artists, and Pop has to be going crazy. You can see his exasperation when the cut to him during the games.

    That's also part of the reason I picked the 1H for this game, instead of the whole thing (though both covered).

    Between GS sleepwalking in the 1st half of games and SA's recent choking, this one had first half Spurs written all over it.

  8. #14888
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by varys View Post
    SA with another L after holding a lead in the 4th. I realize that this is the nature of this swingy league and this ones against maybe the best roster in nba history but pop has to be sick. Not having a crunchtime stud that can score off the dribble and demand double teams is fucking their world up. LOLmarcus aldridge even with his 30ish/17 statline just aint gonna cut it.

    They need kawhi back like.. tomorrow.
    Kawhi may never be the same player again. Nobody even expected his injury to shut him out for the season. It's just one of those things which is dragging, dragging, dragging... and it just feels like he's gonna eventually come back and be a shell of his former self, even after the rust wears off.

    But yes, the Spurs have become huge choke artists, and Pop has to be going crazy. You can see his exasperation when the cut to him during the games.

    That's also part of the reason I picked the 1H for this game, instead of the whole thing (though both covered).

    Between GS sleepwalking in the 1st half of games and SA's recent choking, this one had first half Spurs written all over it.
    Is there some case of a superstars career being completely derailed by a quad injury that youre comparing kawhis situation to? I havent read or heard anything that suggests youre correct here.

    The guy is in his mid 20s and we only have rumors to go off. This isnt d rose where 80% of his game is based on athleticism/explosiveness. Kawhi is a very heady player with ultra soft touch and a shot that improves every year.

    If this injury is anywhere near as damaging as a torn acl or achilles, which we havent heard to be the case, his D could take a hit for awhile i guess. That said this is probably the most gifted defender in the league, the only guy that can come close to neutralizing lebron or KD. I feel like even if he loses a step he could still defend at a pretty high level.

    Time will tell obv
    Quote Originally Posted by Tyde
    you're more consumed with accumulating wealth than achieving spiritual enlightenment

  9. #14889
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I'm not comparing it to other quad injuries.

    There's something weird and persistent about this one which has everyone, including Pop, baffled.

    I'm not saying Kawhi will come back useless, but I think this isn't going to be something where he heals, gets in shape, and we forget about it for the next decade.

    You ever had an injury which never completely gets better? I have. Nothing which holds me back from day-to-day life, but I'm also not attempting to be an NBA superstar, which pretty much requires running on all cylinders.

    If this is one of those things which nags Kawhi forever, he's not going to be the same player, even if he's serviceable for many years to come.

    Fortunately for the Spurs, they weren't getting out of the West this year even at full strength, so it's not quite the tragedy many in San Antonio feel it has been.

    But yes, I could see them missing the playoffs entirely.

  10. #14890
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Okay, I got lazy with posting my record.

    Don't know why.

    But here it is:

    Through 2/25, I was 160-130-6.

    Here's the rest:

    2/26: 2-3

    2/27: 2-1

    2/28: 1-2 (OT fucked)

    3/1: 1-1 (OT fucked)

    3/2: 1-0

    3/3: 1-4

    3/4: 0-3

    3/5: 2-0

    3/6: 0-2

    3/7: 1-0

    3/8: 1-0

    So I'm 12-16 since then. Would be 14-14 if not for those two OT fiascos.

    On the small bright side, I've posted 3 winning days in the past 4.

    I have moderately adjusted my strategy again (for late-season), which has resulted in fewer picks. Notice I've only made 6 picks total over the past 4 days.

    This is my first full season of NBA betting with my new strategy, so I'm adjusting as I go along.

    I will pretty much be repeating my early season strategy next year, but will start to make adjustments quicker when it comes to midseason and late-season, as I think that strategy is no longer viable because a lot changes regarding the way lines are set and the way teams play.

    Going forward I also will be throwing in more 1H picks (which I really hadn't been doing), as I think there can be some value there when done selectively.

    It's a learning process.

    172-146-6 is my total record. I'm still hitting a 54.1% clip overall.

    Next year I am going to shoot for 57%.

     
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      snake_in_the_ass: not bad. MLB starts soon, go underdogs!

  11. #14891
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Druff has been fully transparent without the need for light regulation. It’s been a good story for the thread.

    Rockets Raptors. Need a sweat here.

    My Celtics east future isn’t aging well.

    Pistons took Raptors to OT. That was a huge swing for me. Rough.

  12. #14892
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Had a good day in the other casino. Gonna light some money on fire with NBA

    I am usually better shopping price but I’ve been busy

    MOBILE - BASKETBALL - NBA - 818 ORLANDO MAGIC/SACRAMENTO KINGS OVER 52½ -110 FOR 1ST QUARTER L

    MOBILE - BASKETBALL - NBA - 816 GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS/PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS UNDER 218 -110 FOR GAME L

    MOBILE - BASKETBALL - NBA - 816 PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS -1 -107 FOR GAME W

    I like Jazz Grizzlies cause there are 4 Z’s in this matchup.
    MOBILE - BASKETBALL - NBA - 809 UTAH JAZZ -9½ -110 FOR GAME W

    MOBILE - BASKETBALL - NBA - 806 HOUSTON ROCKETS/TORONTO RAPTORS UNDER 221 -104 FOR GAME W

    MOBILE - BASKETBALL - NBA - 805 HOUSTON ROCKETS -2½ -113 FOR GAME L

    This is a 100% reverse pick in my mind but I want to prove I have an open mind to your input

    MOBILE - BASKETBALL - NBA - 813 LOS ANGELES LAKERS +7 -106 FOR GAME L
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 03-09-2018 at 10:47 PM.

  13. #14893
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    Raptors +3. Push all your chips in.

     
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      Sanlmar: In my heart I know you’re right. I have an East Coast Celtics bias - so there’s little I can do

  14. #14894
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    If I go 0-7 I will join the Skatz DFS crew.

    Never played DFS in my life.

    I got a bad feeling and lol wow scares me.

    3-5
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 03-09-2018 at 10:48 PM.

  15. #14895
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Last minute bet:

    Atlanta over 211 (211.5 ok)

  16. #14896
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Betonline has been a disaster this week.

    Slow, downtime, and this afternoon it warned me to cease with my malicious activity, as it claimed I was engaging in a malformed request!



    They've acknowledged on their Twitter that they're having issues, but what a disaster. I wonder if they are being DDoS'd.

    Kinda looks like it.

  17. #14897
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass View Post
    Raptors +3. Push all your chips in.
    Go ahead and trash talk. You’re entitled

    3/9/2018 8:20:53 PM
    DESCRIPTION:
    HOUSTON ROCKETS AT TORONTO RAPTORS POINT SPREAD - 1ST HALF ROCKETS +14.5 L

    I may need to have my wife change the password to my sportsbook tonight
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 03-09-2018 at 08:27 PM.

  18. #14898
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Atlanta got off to a bad first half, then had a chance (needed 32 points in final 7:28), then fell apart and lost by 12. To be honest, I was never really in the ballgame, though at that one point in 4Q it probably had about a 30% chance to win. It was a blowout game, so that was the problem regarding the 4th. Oh, and Atlanta absolutely couldn't shoot.

    Haven't run the numbers, but I'm noticing the tanking teams are not covering, which isn't surprising. This has been enough to push me off betting those tanking dogs, but I haven't gone against them very much either, which has been a mistake.

    Mad at myself for not going with the double pick of Washington and the under, as NO was missing Davis, and they're pretty much shit without him.

    Anyway...

    Last minute bet on Porland +0

    Curry out, Portland has 3 days rest, and GS played a tough one yesterday, and is on the road tonight.

  19. #14899
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Yup, it's a DDoS


  20. #14900
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Here come the Lakers again.

    Denver was stomping them, but now it's just a 3 point game at halftime.

    Lakers are 5.5 behind Denver, Utah, and the Clippers, who are tied for the 8th seed.

    Lakers have been hot lately but will need to leapfrog TWO teams, which is going to be tough with only 17 games remaining after this one.

    While beating Denver will cut their lead to 4.5, Denver has looked fairly good recently and probably won't give up 4.5 more games to the Lakers.

    San Antonio and Minnesota are possible targets, due to injuries, but both are 7.5 over the Lakers (7 if Lakers win tonight), and I just doubt there's enough time left to make up that many games on TWO teams.

    I guess if the Lakers win tonight and go something like 13-4 in the last 17, they have a shot, but even that is questionable.

    If there was a little more time, Lakers would likely be making the playoffs.

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