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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #14681
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I know you watched the Timberwolves last night. Butler knee.

    I remember hearing Wolves gave up the most points in the NBA in the 4th qtr WITH Butler.

    I remember hearing Wolves starting 5 average the most minutes.

    We are talking some pitiful defense. But they can still score.

    We looking at an over here 219? Rockets Wolves was 222 I think.

    Otherwise, I might just take Celtics moneyline -210 and consider it as I would the return on a AAA bond. Smart is back.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 02-24-2018 at 03:17 PM.

  2. #14682
    Diamond Mintjewlips's Avatar
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    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Drexel

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

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  3. #14683
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    What a screw job with Orlando.

    98 point first half and can't cover under.

    Hopefully Miami over doesn't get fucked same way.

  4. #14684
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Went with the AAA rated bond with guaranteed but low return

    Boston Celtics 88 vs New York Knicks 81 02/24/18 19:40 EST Boston Celtics -220

  5. #14685
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Awesome game so far gsw okc.

    Regretted not betting under since its playoff basketball

  6. #14686
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Also regret not firing the under.

    I've noticed that GSW tends to score less in these high profile games where everyone is otherwise expecting a ton of points to be scored.

    Oh well.

    Went 1-1 today. 158-129-4 is my record.

    Should've been 2-0 honestly. Don't know how that under didn't hit.

  7. #14687
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Woulda gone 2-0 if you faded Dodgers

    Lose to Giants & Royals in same day. That’s special

    Yankees are coming.

    New York Yankees N Yankees 4 vs Pittsburgh Pirates P Pirates 1 02/24/18 13:05 EST New York Yankees -130

    I know you recognize the sickness.

  8. #14688
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Woulda gone 2-0 if you faded Dodgers

    Lose to Giants & Royals in same day. That’s special

    Yankees are coming.

    New York Yankees N Yankees 4 vs Pittsburgh Pirates P Pirates 1 02/24/18 13:05 EST New York Yankees -130

    I know you recognize the sickness.
    It's a split squad. Spring training is meaningless as it is, but split squad spring training is especially meaningless.

    Dodgers are actually keeping Matt Kemp because no one wants him. I actually think he'll be the starting LF. And I'm actually not unhappy about that.

  9. #14689
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Woulda gone 2-0 if you faded Dodgers

    Lose to Giants & Royals in same day. That’s special

    Yankees are coming.

    New York Yankees N Yankees 4 vs Pittsburgh Pirates P Pirates 1 02/24/18 13:05 EST New York Yankees -130

    I know you recognize the sickness.
    It's a split squad. Spring training is meaningless as it is, but split squad spring training is especially meaningless.

    Dodgers are actually keeping Matt Kemp because no one wants him. I actually think he'll be the starting LF. And I'm actually not unhappy about that.
    You talking about practice?

    Dodgers vs Giants and Royals on same day - I was kidding. This is a pure PFA inside joke.

    I will tell you this though about exhibition baseball - split squad aside. There is no fucking way any sportsbook can set an accurate line. They are too busy. They cannot possibly follow how Boone wants to work Stanton, Judge etc etc.

    The violence of the line movement is like nothing else. This is pure thin market action. This is pure Twitter/news/interview driven stuff.

    Some kid pitcher gets a start - he’s 100% playing AAA or AA ... you’re scrambling for scouting reports. There are no models. Hell, there are no fucking stats. There are no matchup histories

    The handle is small - the juice gives the book the best of it in what looks to them like a flip. If they lose it’s meaningless money.

    But there is opportunity. It’s so pure

    There is nothing like it in wagering. Except that sweet sweet Urias money. You will never know
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 02-24-2018 at 10:09 PM.

  10. #14690
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    NBA early (10:10am PST game):

    Charlotte under 212 (211.5 ok)

    More later. Next 2 games start at 12:10pm PST.

  11. #14691
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    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Drexel

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  12. #14692
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Baltimore Orioles B Orioles vs Boston Red Sox B Red Sox 02/25/18 13:05 EST Boston Red Sox -130

    This is too sick even for you guys. Sawks gonna take a couple days off. Stuff the game with starters and Sawks Johnson prolly gonna be a 5th starter.

    Orioles just a bunch of kids

    Stealing

  13. #14693
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    NBA early (10:10am PST game):

    Charlotte under 212 (211.5 ok)

    More later. Next 2 games start at 12:10pm PST.
    Shoot missed it. Got lucky yesterday and missed the one loser.

  14. #14694
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Baltimore Orioles B Orioles vs Boston Red Sox B Red Sox 02/25/18 13:05 EST Boston Red Sox -130

    This is too sick even for you guys. Sawks gonna take a couple days off. Stuff the game with starters and Sawks Johnson prolly gonna be a 5th starter.

    Orioles just a bunch of kids

    Stealing
    Ok worth a try. Missed it. Too bad.

  15. #14695
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Charham View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    NBA early (10:10am PST game):

    Charlotte under 212 (211.5 ok)

    More later. Next 2 games start at 12:10pm PST.
    Shoot missed it. Got lucky yesterday and missed the one loser.
    Didn't matter. It tied.

    65-point 2nd quarter was a killer.

    Some books had it at 212.5 shortly after I posted. Sadly I had placed 1/2 bet at 211.5 seconds before posting, then it jumped to 212 and I placed the other 1/2. Then it moved to 212.5 in some places. So I actually lost 1/2 bet on this.


  16. #14696
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Here's a last minute pair of picks on the Spurs game:

    San Antonio +5
    San Antonio under 213

     
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      Charham: good calls all game, sry I missed this one as well

  17. #14697
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Daly,

    Someone at work who knows I talk some trash about sports showed me an online book run by a 24 year old kid we both know

    He called up the site on his phone and it looked smooth.

    Can you give me a brief overview?

    Is this just a skin? What does the guy running the skin kick back?

  18. #14698
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Daly,

    Someone at work who knows I talk some trash about sports showed me an online book run by a 24 year old kid we both know

    He called up the site on his phone and it looked smooth.

    Can you give me a brief overview?

    Is this just a skin? What does the guy running the skin kick back?
    My guess is that it's the same as most online books run by individuals.

    They rent space on a site run out of Costa Rica, but it's only for record-keeping. The money is all handled by the person running the operation, and obviously the site has no power over the bookmaker if he screws you.

  19. #14699
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Daly,

    Someone at work who knows I talk some trash about sports showed me an online book run by a 24 year old kid we both know

    He called up the site on his phone and it looked smooth.

    Can you give me a brief overview?

    Is this just a skin? What does the guy running the skin kick back?
    My guess is that it's the same as most online books run by individuals.

    They rent space on a site run out of Costa Rica, but it's only for record-keeping. The money is all handled by the person running the operation, and obviously the site has no power over the bookmaker if he screws you.
    Obviously the accounting and lines are provided by some entity. Would that entity be one of the off shore books we are familiar with?

    What is the fee structure host to skin? Bookmaking run right is 5% of handle so curious how rough the “license” fee is.

  20. #14700
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    My guess is that it's the same as most online books run by individuals.

    They rent space on a site run out of Costa Rica, but it's only for record-keeping. The money is all handled by the person running the operation, and obviously the site has no power over the bookmaker if he screws you.
    Obviously the accounting and lines are provided by some entity. Would that entity be one of the off shore books we are familiar with?

    What is the fee structure host to skin? Bookmaking run right is 5% of handle so curious how rough the “license” fee is.
    I don't know the cost.

    Usually they get both a website (with lines and all that), plus a mostly-useless customer service 800 number to give their clients.

    I think it's a flat fee. I don't believe they have to pay a percentage of each bet placed.

    When a bookie doesn't pay the site, he gets shut out and all accounts under him stop working.

    A few of those sites also assert some moderate standards over scammy bookies. That is, if they get too many reports of no-pays or other unethical behavior, they also shut the bookie out. But some also don't give a shit, as long as the bookie pays them. Often they only give a shit because affected clients start harassing the 800 number with frequent phone calls, and they don't like that.

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