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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #14441
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    So due to schedule it seems like we aren't going to have a radio show unless it's a last minute thing for tomorrow. Here are my thoughts and plays for the SB, God help me.

    Big picture I think we end up with another Patriots Super Bowl and I really think it's going to be a matter of a "close" 10 point win or a blowout. I have it in a range as wide as 34-10 or as close as 24-17. I think the best non prop bet on the board is Eagles Under 21.5 Team Total.

    I don't have any info on the anthem this year but my music friends tell me this could be a "under" year.

    Nothing on coin toss.

    I got lock on the halftime show. Filthy first song and price cover are locks.

    I don't have faith in either team having a lot of rushing yards. Under 200.5 total, under 110.5 eagles, under 92.5 NE were all plays for me.

    Under 5 sacks. Under 2.5 NE sacks.

    I have Philly as the less disciplined team and the numbers bear it out. First penalty, first challenge, first TO.

    I had under penalties 11.5 but I've backed off a bit with the refs that were selected.

    Blanket No's are always a value in the SB. D/ST TD and 2pt conv. Safety is a good one at -800.

    No Gatorade is a good bet as a proxy for NE, yellow for Eagles.

    Over on Dilly 12.5 was a layup (I think) as is Rodney Harrison taking NE at -300 (missing a zero). Under 4.5 bud commercials. Under 2.5 Peyton Manning comercials.


    Good luck everyone
    Bump

     
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      pagelpoker: god.. many thanks

  2. #14442
    Bronze pagelpoker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    So due to schedule it seems like we aren't going to have a radio show unless it's a last minute thing for tomorrow. Here are my thoughts and plays for the SB, God help me.

    Big picture I think we end up with another Patriots Super Bowl and I really think it's going to be a matter of a "close" 10 point win or a blowout. I have it in a range as wide as 34-10 or as close as 24-17. I think the best non prop bet on the board is Eagles Under 21.5 Team Total.

    I don't have any info on the anthem this year but my music friends tell me this could be a "under" year.

    Nothing on coin toss.

    I got lock on the halftime show. Filthy first song and price cover are locks.

    I don't have faith in either team having a lot of rushing yards. Under 200.5 total, under 110.5 eagles, under 92.5 NE were all plays for me.

    Under 5 sacks. Under 2.5 NE sacks.

    I have Philly as the less disciplined team and the numbers bear it out. First penalty, first challenge, first TO.

    I had under penalties 11.5 but I've backed off a bit with the refs that were selected.

    Blanket No's are always a value in the SB. D/ST TD and 2pt conv. Safety is a good one at -800.

    No Gatorade is a good bet as a proxy for NE, yellow for Eagles.

    Over on Dilly 12.5 was a layup (I think) as is Rodney Harrison taking NE at -300 (missing a zero). Under 4.5 bud commercials. Under 2.5 Peyton Manning comercials.


    Good luck everyone
    Bump
    Bovada has eagles under rushing 112.5 doubling on this
    PFA NFL Handicapping Champion

  3. #14443
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Can't confirm but friend of a friend says pink under 2:02.5 is a lock

     
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      pagelpoker:

  4. #14444
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    I got it at 1:53 on the anthem...

     
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      pagelpoker:

  5. #14445
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    I got it at 1:53 on the anthem...

    As do I - winner

     
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      pagelpoker:

  6. #14446
    Diamond hongkonger's Avatar
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    Philly under 21.5 not looking wonderful though
    HILLARY WON

  7. #14447
    Diamond hongkonger's Avatar
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    Why did NE go for it? They're perfectly capable of making a 53 yard FG.

    LOL passing to Brady.
    HILLARY WON

  8. #14448
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    Quote Originally Posted by hongkonger View Post
    Why did NE go for it? They're perfectly capable of making a 53 yard FG.

    LOL passing to Brady.

    I am convinced that not scoring much in the first third of the Super Bowl is a N.E. tactic, almost like a boxer who's purposely trying to tire/bait his opponent into overconfidence.

  9. #14449
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Somworst case scenario for vegas. Cool.

  10. #14450
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    BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM FILTHY MOTHER FUCKERS!!!!!

    DALY = GOD

  11. #14451
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    You can always count on the Super Bowl for some shitty music at the half.

  12. #14452
    Diamond hongkonger's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post
    You can always count on the Super Bowl for some shitty music at the half.
    They used to have Tom Petty, Rolling Stones, some good acts. Now it's all shit.
    HILLARY WON

  13. #14453
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    Prince would not be happy about that whole pile of crap

    Daly with the sick j timbo calls

  14. #14454
    Diamond hongkonger's Avatar
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    How much public money came in on the pats in the last few hours before the game? Is Vegas going to take it in the ass today?
    HILLARY WON

  15. #14455
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    fireworks are already going off...

    gonna assume there's gonna be a lotta puke in the streets tomorrow...

  16. #14456
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    Worst lost ever on a sporting event for me. Ugh, such utter nonsense. I dont know if Cooks would have even made a difference.

  17. #14457
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by OSA View Post
    Worst lost ever on a sporting event for me. Ugh, such utter nonsense. I dont know if Cooks would have even made a difference.

    I mean, he threw for over 430 yards to white guys and never punted, so I doubt it. Feel like someone will break Wilt’s 100 point game before anyone manages to pull that off again.

  18. #14458
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    I'll give it to Tom Brady, the guy literally had a crippled finger in his throwing arm, he's definitely the greatest quarterback ever...

     
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      hongkonger: Slurp
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  19. #14459
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by OSA View Post
    Worst lost ever on a sporting event for me. Ugh, such utter nonsense. I dont know if Cooks would have even made a difference.

    I mean, he threw for over 430 yards to white guys and never punted, so I doubt it. Feel like someone will break Wilt’s 100 point game before anyone manages to pull that off again.
    Belichek fucked up by benching Butler. Don't care what you say about discipline, SB is not the time for it.

  20. #14460
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    Quote Originally Posted by OSA View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post


    I mean, he threw for over 430 yards to white guys and never punted, so I doubt it. Feel like someone will break Wilt’s 100 point game before anyone manages to pull that off again.
    Belichek fucked up by benching Butler. Don't care what you say about discipline, SB is not the time for it.
    trying to figure that one out...

    looked at their PFF grades and it wasn't even close:
    butler: 79.2
    bademosi: 50.4
    rowe: 42.9

    I mean I get that those grades aren't an exact science, but I mean those grades aren't even that close...

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