*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Dan Druff]

Almost to the point where we can lock and ship the Minnesota under, which is nice.

Strongly considered Minn -11 but I just hate those -11 bets, as they are such a crapshoot, plus Butler wasn't 100% so I skipped that.

Boston +11 was also very tempting but also skipped it. I think it's going to cover, as GS can't get more than a 6 point lead on them. GL to Mint

[Mintjewlips]

Lol 1 out of 20 parlays



Lol basketball, I'll take it.

[Dan Druff]

First possible 4 teamer of the season..

Nice going, but I would stay away in the future from parlaying moderately big favorite moneylines. Pay is too low when you do hit, and it will happen too often when one of the legs fucks you.

If you want to do parlays, just pick 3-5 spreads you think are going to cover, and parlay those. You'll lose most of the time, and it's more -EV than just betting the spreads straight up, but if you want to parlay, that's the better way to do it.

[Dan Druff]

65 point 4th made this blowout under win a lot closer.

1-1 day. Took my 100th loss.

136-100-3 is my record

[Mintjewlips]

Banging the Clippers ML, Pelicans aren't that good without Cousins....GL all..



My lol parlay

[Daly]

Interesting new prop I found.

FIRST MISSED FIELD GOAL IN THE GAME WILL BE
Left
Right

I'm embarrassed to say I have nothing on this one. Anyone have any thoughts?

[Daly]

The total in the pro bowl has been a wild ride.

opened at 71 down to 61 and now it's all the way back up to 68

[Sanlmar]

The total in the pro bowl has been a wild ride.

opened at 71 down to 61 and now it's all the way back up to 68

Daly, if you saw this post you would offer counseling and suggest he go for a run to clear his head.

Dude’s got the sickness. It’s the Pro Bowl!

[Daly]

The total in the pro bowl has been a wild ride.

opened at 71 down to 61 and now it's all the way back up to 68

Daly, if you saw this post you would offer counseling and suggest he go for a run to clear his head.

Dude’s got the sickness. It’s the Pro Bowl!

Like yourself I'm a market guy. There is an untold story behind this somewhere.

[Sanlmar]

Yeah, I see what you’re doing. Solving riddles. Still sick

Just flipped on ESPN. 7 on 7 flag football.

I thought I was seeing tomorrow’s newspaper today

[GambleBotsChafedPenis]

Interesting new prop I found.

FIRST MISSED FIELD GOAL IN THE GAME WILL BE
Left
Right

I'm embarrassed to say I have nothing on this one. Anyone have any thoughts?

this is tougher because these guys are pros and not college kids...if you ever played soccer before you know that if you get jacked up you tend to get your foot around the ball and hook the shit outta everything...you saw that in the national title game with the kid from bama...I mean he was mishitting everything so badly that it gave duck hooks a bad name...don't expect gost to be jacked up or anything like that...dude has been kicking in big games since he got to NE...seems like when I watch him, his misses tend to be pushes to the right (I didn't do any research on that, just anecdotal)...Elliott has been great all year for the iggles, but he is a rookie this is the super bowl as a rookie so I would expect him to be a little more amped up and thus miss to the left...

so that's really unfortunate that my theory for misses would lead to complete opposite sides of that bet...

[Sanlmar]

Gostkowski sucks. I don’t try to spoil the experience by asking why. He is your boy on this prop though.

How did he muff the PAT last Super Bowl? I can never bear to look when he kicks.

I am almost more excited about “The Two Bills” (ESPN 30 for 30 - Thurs 9pm) than the Super Bowl.

Belichick & Parcells

Why didn’t they put it on instead of Pro Bowl?


Belichick had the nickname “Doom” as Giant DC. Never knew that.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bos...-two-bills/amp

[GambleBotsChafedPenis]

holy shit just turned on the pro bowl...this is legit two hand touch...why the fuck do they even bother with this shit anymore?

[Dan Druff]

FYI the numbers suggested NO/Clippers will be over 228, but I couldn't bring myself to do it.

I hate overs like that, much like I hate unders like 191, much like I hate favorite lines such as -13. Too much of a crapshoot.

[Daly]

And so it starts..... at 5D at +125

Pink anthem > shortest Drive

Real good value here. Betting Someone will have a turnover, a three and out all passing or someone takes a knee at the end of game here.

[Dan Druff]

Someone came to me recently and said, "Todd, no wonder you're shitting the bed over the last few days with the NBA. Your talent lies with NBA unders, not with sides. Look at the last 2 days. You're 2-0 with unders, and 1-4 with sides."

Point taken.

Here you go:

Lakers under 217
OKC under 214 -105

NOTE: I predict that OKC under will go up to 214.5 or 215 before game time. So you may want to wait on placing this one. Game starts 3:05pm PST.

[Dan Druff]

Yep... got an extra half point on the OKC under.

214.5 -105 now.

I think I'm going to do this more often. And as predicted, the Lakers one (which I bet earlier) didn't move.

[Charham]

Someone came to me recently and said, "Todd, no wonder you're shitting the bed over the last few days with the NBA. Your talent lies with NBA unders, not with sides. Look at the last 2 days. You're 2-0 with unders, and 1-4 with sides."

Point taken.

Here you go:

Lakers under 217
OKC under 214 -105

NOTE: I predict that OKC under will go up to 214.5 or 215 before game time. So you may want to wait on placing this one. Game starts 3:05pm PST.

Ok, on them. And good point on Sides. You had some amazing calls early on but they have been hitting major trends in their face that your model may not be accounting for. But like China said, short term problem in the face of a great season trend. If you have the records you might track sides vs OUs win % to test things.

[Mintjewlips]

CLIPPERS ML FOR THE WIN



Lol at Houston not covering, typical...

[Daly]

Timberlake hand-held mic to start HT show -150. (BOL)