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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #14021
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    So on these 235+ totals...Druff have you studied any of these game types...these last two that you posted the teams came out on fire and would assume blew away the HT line, but the scoring seemed to flatten a touch in the second half...possible to bet HT over and full game under on these? I know lol 2 game sample...

  2. #14022
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    So on these 235+ totals...Druff have you studied any of these game types...these last two that you posted the teams came out on fire and would assume blew away the HT line, but the scoring seemed to flatten a touch in the second half...possible to bet HT over and full game under on these? I know lol 2 game sample...
    No. I'm just doing these on feel, and honestly that feel mainly comes from the fact that I don't believe 235+ totals can cover the over reliably.

    But yeah, LOL 2 game sample space.

    True story with the Clippers... I totally forgot about it, then ran down to bet it in the final minutes. Wish I forgot. What a disaster that was.

    2-2 day thanks to Houston, and I move to 127-92-2.

  3. #14023
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Nice card this is.

  4. #14024
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Oh, and regarding the last-minute Dallas pick I posted and retracted (which I don't think anyone bet, fortunately, and I didn't either), I made a critical error which, if anything, meant I should have picked the other way.

    But it was so last minute that I didn't have time to do anything but erase the post and not bet it myself.

    It's losing by 15 so looks like that was a good decision. If I had more time, I actually would have gone with Portland, but either way, whatever... it's a no-pick/no-bet.

  5. #14025
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Going under 1.5 in the main.

    Need this one to avoid a truly bad night.

    Every now and again it's good to get a reminder what it's like to have a sportsbook account and just "fire away for action".

  6. #14026
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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      hongkonger: Airplane rep

  7. #14027
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    Goodnight i

    Name:  IMG_3709.JPG
Views: 337
Size:  32.7 KB

     
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      Tellafriend: lol - i followed most of it, but you can't win them all, onward to NFL
      
      Hockey Guy: lol, gotta keep your sense of humour with these things.

  8. #14028
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I almost never play props but I grabbed Gronk over 80 and Amendola over 40 before Brady warm up

    This is RAC thinking

  9. #14029
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I almost never play props but I grabbed Gronk over 80 and Amendola over 40 before Brady warm up

    This is RAC thinking
    GL today. You role over the season's Patriots win $ onto this one game?

  10. #14030
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    I like both those props. Both of those guys are injury prone though, so that is the concern.

  11. #14031
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    So if I showed you what I played for props I'd get the "#stalelines for sure.

    I like Brady over comps
    Bortles over comps and yards
    Just about every WR under longest pass
    Fournette and Lewis under Rush and rush&rec

    GRONK first TD is worth it at 5-1 or better.

  12. #14032
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Charham View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I almost never play props but I grabbed Gronk over 80 and Amendola over 40 before Brady warm up

    This is RAC thinking
    GL today. You role over the season's Patriots win $ onto this one game?
    I’m up about 10 units. I cashed out some.

    What started out as a Sun/Mon -9.5 one unit play has morphed into 5 units including the player props which is just a proxy on Pats winning anyway.

    My plan and my advice is to have that live game tab open. More importantly, get an early read on Brady and don’t dink around - you gotta be first cause everyone is gonna bet this hard. It will reflect true life fast.

    I have a cute little runner in Vegas with South Points app open so I can bet big if I have to hedge

    I have no lean on later game and am only considering in game there.

    I am resigned to the possibility that I may see all profits smoked by midnight.

    Degens know how one mistake (betting on Monday) can spin into denial and tilt tbh.

    I have thought this through to the conclusion.

    I have a strong rope and a rickety chair in the basement.

  13. #14033
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    More exotics

    Longest FG under 50.5 for both games
    Shortest FG over 26.5
    Jax first penalty
    Jax longest Kickoff return

  14. #14034
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    Never been more fascinated by a man’s hand since BGC.

    Brady looks like shit. He doesn’t know cameras are on him lol. Could be another troll job

     
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      Tellafriend: BGC's hand - classic

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  16. #14036
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    NBA

    Detroit over 209 (its -105 on Bovada right now)

    Might have one more on last game later.

     
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      Charham: on it. txs

  17. #14037
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Charham View Post
    GL today. You role over the season's Patriots win $ onto this one game?
    I’m up about 10 units. I cashed out some.

    What started out as a Sun/Mon -9.5 one unit play has morphed into 5 units including the player props which is just a proxy on Pats winning anyway.

    My plan and my advice is to have that live game tab open. More importantly, get an early read on Brady and don’t dink around - you gotta be first cause everyone is gonna bet this hard. It will reflect true life fast.

    I have a cute little runner in Vegas with South Points app open so I can bet big if I have to hedge

    I have no lean on later game and am only considering in game there.

    I am resigned to the possibility that I may see all profits smoked by midnight.

    Degens know how one mistake (betting on Monday) can spin into denial and tilt tbh.

    I have thought this through to the conclusion.

    I have a strong rope and a rickety chair in the basement.
    well good start, NE looking the better team.

  18. #14038
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    seems 100% reasonable in this city...whoever came up with this idea should get a raise and a promotion...

     
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      Charham: great idea
      
      KidPresentable: Greasy, just like Philly fans.

  19. #14039
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    You can tell NE is desperate, because they are throwing seam routes to Gronk where he is exposed to getting lit up. And Church just went blatantly helmet to helmet and may have concussed him out of the game. Stay tuned kiddos.

  20. #14040
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    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    You can tell NE is desperate, because they are throwing seam routes to Gronk where he is exposed to getting lit up. And Church just went blatantly helmet to helmet and may have concussed him out of the game. Stay tuned kiddos.
    there is no fucking way that gronk misses the second half unless TV cameras physically catch him walking like he's drunk...the regular season has shown that the concussion protocol is bullshit...

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