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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #13601
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    So it is ordained, so it is done.

  2. #13602
    Diamond Hockey Guy's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    First time got on computer in a few days.

    Got raped in NFL.

    Had Oklahoma +3. Looked like an epic bedsit when they gave up 3 unanswered TDs, but now gonna come down to the wire.

    Have Over 47 in Clemson game.
    TID
    (•_•) ..
    ∫\ \___( •_•)
    _∫∫ _∫∫ɯ \ \

    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy
    I'd say good luck in the freeroll but I'm pretty sure you'll go on a bender to self-sabotage yourself & miss it completely or use it as the excuse of why you didn't cash.

  3. #13603
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Minnesota game has shitload of scoring at the end of 1H and now might lose that too.

    If I lose 7 in a row after rarely losing 3 in a row over my first 160+ picks, that's gonna super tilting.

    1-2 about the best I can do at this point.

  4. #13604
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Minnesota game has shitload of scoring at the end of 1H and now might lose that too.

    If I lose 7 in a row after rarely losing 3 in a row over my first 160+ picks, that's gonna super tilting.

    1-2 about the best I can do at this point.
    Sorry to hear. I lose 7 bets in a row at least once a week. Sometimes multiple times a week. I would like to say it hurts less with time, but it doesn't.

  5. #13605
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    The Oklahoma play calling was just so atrocious coming down the stretch and OT. Whoever was calling the plays never even gave them a chance to win the game. He should take full responsibility for this loss.

  6. #13606
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Two shots at OT in that Orlando over and both 3-pointers missed.

    Of course fair chance I still lose in OT because I would have needed 23 points.

    Need a slow 4Q with Minn or I'm 0-7 in past 2 days.

  7. #13607
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Two shots at OT in that Orlando over and both 3-pointers missed.

    Of course fair chance I still lose in OT because I would have needed 23 points.

    Need a slow 4Q with Minn or I'm 0-7 in past 2 days.
    The other game (that had already gone over) wend to OT. That is when you know it is just not your day.

    In the Laker game, despite only being down 14 in beginning of 4th looks like Walton has thrown in the towel. I watch a lot of Laker games and don't recognize these guys, that is how deep down the bench he has gone. Such luminaries as Zubac, Blue and Caruso getting long 4th Q run in a manageable game.

  8. #13608
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    The blowout nature of that game saved me and I stopped the bleeding.

    1-2 day

    99-67-2 record

  9. #13609
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    The blowout nature of that game saved me and I stopped the bleeding.

    1-2 day

    99-67-2 record
    Pride cometh before the fall. You proclaimed here and on radio that statistically your run was beyond mathematical explanation. You must know something.

    Weeeeellllllllllll.......
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  10. #13610
    Diamond shortbuspoker's Avatar
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    Name:  Screenshot_20180101-221915.png
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  11. #13611
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    I didn’t have a dog in the fight but I hate when refs blow calls in Big Spots

    The first pic is when OU had 3rd down and short with about 330 left in the 4th up by 7. Obvious tackle by the face mask on Ga which should have been 15 yards and a 1st down which would have forced Ga to use their TOs and another 1st down the game is over

    Name:  472A0CFC-9FB5-4497-B72A-88712CCAC63F.jpeg
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    Want to know how GA was able to score so easily in OT to end the game? holding by Frohm on the edge. Should have been a 10 yard penalty from the 22 (where the hold actually started) pushing Ga back and if they gain no more yardage makes the FG more difficult at the very least....obviously other outcomes could have happened but at least it plays out

    Name:  C8940315-087A-4E22-92C8-66E313B2F592.jpeg
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      Tellafriend: Real talk

  12. #13612
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    The blowout nature of that game saved me and I stopped the bleeding.

    1-2 day

    99-67-2 record
    Pride cometh before the fall. You proclaimed here and on radio that statistically your run was beyond mathematical explanation. You must know something.

    Weeeeellllllllllll.......
    I said on radio that there was a 99.55% chance it was not just due to luck.

    If I do go into a slump from which I can't escape, I will determine that 2nd half NBA betting is too tough and shut it down.

    I'm not going to panic over a single 1-6 streak.

  13. #13613
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    Quote Originally Posted by lvpkr1009 View Post
    I didn’t have a dog in the fight but I hate when refs blow calls in Big Spots

    The first pic is when OU had 3rd down and short with about 330 left in the 4th up by 7. Obvious tackle by the face mask on Ga which should have been 15 yards and a 1st down which would have forced Ga to use their TOs and another 1st down the game is over

    Name:  472A0CFC-9FB5-4497-B72A-88712CCAC63F.jpeg
Views: 332
Size:  995.5 KB

    Want to know how GA was able to score so easily in OT to end the game? holding by Frohm on the edge. Should have been a 10 yard penalty from the 22 (where the hold actually started) pushing Ga back and if they gain no more yardage makes the FG more difficult at the very least....obviously other outcomes could have happened but at least it plays out

    Name:  C8940315-087A-4E22-92C8-66E313B2F592.jpeg
Views: 329
Size:  813.7 KB
    Meh. Its football. There is probably 50 plays like that a game that aren't obvious that the refs don't see. I was watching those plays live and don't remember anything obvious. Oklahoma got super conservative play calling in the 4th Q when they took back the lead and OT. They went multiple drives and never even threw the ball downfield once except for a free play.

    They played a prevent offense and it prevented them from winning.

  14. #13614
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post

    Pride cometh before the fall. You proclaimed here and on radio that statistically your run was beyond mathematical explanation. You must know something.

    Weeeeellllllllllll.......
    I said on radio that there was a 99.55% chance it was not just due to luck.

    If I do go into a slump from which I can't escape, I will determine that 2nd half NBA betting is too tough and shut it down.

    I'm not going to panic over a single 1-6 streak.
    The odds against losing 6 straight coin flips is 98.44%. So was this just bad luck or are you that bad?

    See what I'm getting at? You can't say 99.5% this is skill based yet the 98.44 chance was just run bad

     
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      handicapme: No. Go take a statistics class. You aren't comparing the same thing.
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  15. #13615
    Gold handicapme's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    I said on radio that there was a 99.55% chance it was not just due to luck.

    If I do go into a slump from which I can't escape, I will determine that 2nd half NBA betting is too tough and shut it down.

    I'm not going to panic over a single 1-6 streak.
    The odds against losing 6 straight coin flips is 98.44%. So was this just bad luck or are you that bad?

    See what I'm getting at? You can't say 99.5% this is skill based yet the 98.44 chance was just run bad
    I know you like to troll but even you can't be as stupid to not consider sample size. 1-6 is 98.44% but the probability and sample size need to be considered here. Him saying it is 99.5% skill is over 170games at 59% which is above average and diminishes variance which can lead to a 98.4% run, same way you can have 20 blacks in roulette. You're just being a d-bag for the sake of being one. Get fucked.
    "I GOT NO TOE"

    #FreeFluffler #FreeThisGuyIsCreepy #lockupGarrett

  16. #13616
    Diamond Sloppy Joe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    I said on radio that there was a 99.55% chance it was not just due to luck.

    If I do go into a slump from which I can't escape, I will determine that 2nd half NBA betting is too tough and shut it down.

    I'm not going to panic over a single 1-6 streak.
    The odds against losing 6 straight coin flips is 98.44%. So was this just bad luck or are you that bad?

    See what I'm getting at? You can't say 99.5% this is skill based yet the 98.44 chance was just run bad
    Read your 'tired, old, rehashed..' thread and see how it could apply in this thread.

    Cavs -8.5 tonight.

    Blazers on a road back-to-back after winning in OT against the Bulls last night. They looked pretty tired last night, too.

    Lillard returning after missing last 5 due to hamstring injury.

     
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      Brittney Griner's Clit: Great stuff
    PokerFraudAlert...will never censor your claims, even if they're against one of our sponsors. In addition to providing you an open forum report fraud within the poker community, we will also analyze your claims with a clear head an unbiased point of view. And, of course, the accused will always have the floor to defend themselves.-Dan Druff

    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    If a genocide is happening, it's Hamas against the people of Gaza.

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    I'm pretty good at finding graves

  17. #13617
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    In the spirit of this forum my new years resolution is for no one else to start a post with "I know you like to troll but." These woahhvicky dis videos have finally made me see the light. Either you think he's trolling or you don't. Having it both ways must stop.

    I'm sorry if this makes me look like I support Jesearles' unfounded attacks on owner because I obviously don't but Jesus Christ either you think a guy is trolling or you don't. I personally think he's being serious here but that is neither here nor there. The days of posts where people tell others they are trolling succeeded by sentence after sentence of telling the guy what a retard he is for his opinion must end pronto.

  18. #13618
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    So just to recap, I have a $200 ML straight up bet with Tellafriend on a team that is somewhere around a -400 favorite. I could just bet the underdog now and lock in ~$50 profit. However, not gonna do it. Maybe it if was $2k, but for $200 just gonna let it ride. Still, huge thanks to Tellafriend for giving me all the equity. Much love.

  19. #13619
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Sacramento under 205 (204.5 -110 ok)

    That's it for today.

     
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      Charham: On it.

  20. #13620
    Bronze KidPresentable's Avatar
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    Was traveling all weekend, so let's start off 2018 with a couple more NBA props.


    E. Kanter under 13.5 points -130
    E. Kanter under 10 rebounds -115

    Both on Bovada

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