*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[ErickAA]

All we need is the last minute pick 6 for Miami to score 21 points in the last 3 minutes of the game for the backdoor cover.

I am thinking it is about 75% chance to happen.

[Daly]

If Nick Fitzgerald can't get over 222.5 rushing and passing vs Ark today it's because he broke a leg in the first half. If you have $$ at americas bookie - hit it hard.

Way closer then I would have thought.... but It wasn't really that closez

[Dan Druff]

NBA:

No totals today!

A tale of backing bad teams:

Atlanta +6.5
Dallas +6.5

You can get +7 -115 on both of these right now on Bovada if you have a "square" (normal) betting account.

[Dan Druff]

Anyone watching Philly absolutely melt down against Golden State?

Philly broke out to a 70-47 start.

It is now 101-90 Golden State in the 4th -- a 54-20 run. Wow.

I was actually considering Philly +9 but backed away from it. Can you imagine how tilting it would be to lose a plus 9 which was ahead by 23? It's not over yet, but geez...

Funny enough, I considered throwing some $ on GS when they were down over 20, but I ended up not doing it.

[Dan Druff]

In the meantime, Atlanta, who had a nice double-digit lead of their own, and then held close for most of the 2nd half, has melted down at the end of the 4th and now trails by 8.

I hate when that happens. If I lose this, it will have covered literally like 45 of the 48 minutes.

[Dan Druff]

Horrible.

Fucking Hawks are so bad.

Dallas up by 10. Hopefully they don't shit the bed.

[Sanlmar]

Obviously you weren’t looking for any feedback when you made the pick.

Obviously Atlanta sucks.

3-12 Atlanta vs 14-2 Celtics +6.5

Other than the fact that Atlanta was a dog I cannot imagine the thought process of trying to defy the white hot Celtics and Brad Stevens.

Atlanta shot 65% in first quarter so you and they got extremely lucky. This isn’t Atlanta and no one adjusts better or plays better defense.

You pressed too hard on this but your feel otherwise is fun to follow.

As an aside I am stunned that the youngest team in the league with a coach that is maybe younger than one or two active players is able to play defense in such a mature fashion.

[Dan Druff]

Obviously you weren’t looking for any feedback when you made the pick.

Obviously Atlanta sucks.

3-12 Atlanta vs 14-2 Celtics +6.5

Other than the fact that Atlanta was a dog I cannot imagine the thought process of trying to defy the white hot Celtics and Brad Stevens.

Atlanta shot 65% in first quarter so you and they got extremely lucky. This isn’t Atlanta and no one adjusts better or plays better defense.

You pressed too hard on this but your feel otherwise is fun to follow.

As an aside I am stunned that the youngest team in the league with a coach that is maybe younger than one or two active players is able to play defense in such a mature fashion.

This pick led (at some point handily) for 45 of the 48 minutes.

This was one which should have won, and I don't regret it.

At least I'm probably going 1-1 as Dallas is up 16 in the 3rd.

[hongkonger]

Anyone watching Philly absolutely melt down against Golden State?

Philly broke out to a 70-47 start.

It is now 101-90 Golden State in the 4th -- a 54-20 run. Wow.

I was actually considering Philly +9 but backed away from it. Can you imagine how tilting it would be to lose a plus 9 which was ahead by 23? It's not over yet, but geez...

Funny enough, I considered throwing some $ on GS when they were down over 20, but I ended up not doing it.

Philly covered by 1.

[ErickAA]

Sheeped you on the Dallas pick Druff. Still lost my ass today, but at least got that one. I also had Over in the Rockets game and was over pace at halftime, but Memphis only scored 38 in the 2nd half and that was that.

[ErickAA]

NFL so far

Detroit -3 -110 (made this early in week)
Philly -3 -120 (made this early in week before news of Smith being out)

Cleveland +7.5 -110 (lol betting on Cleveland, talk about burning money)
Baltimore -2 (road favorite, burning more money)
Washington +8
Raiders +7.5 -110
Houston -2
Miami/TB O42

[GambleBotsChafedPenis]

forgot about posting this...NO line has already moved a point up to 8.5...

mike's been struggling the past few weeks posting 1-2 both weeks...

@NO (-7.5) v WSH
LAR (+2) @ MIN
NE (-6.5) v OAK - in mexico city

[GambleBotsChafedPenis]

SVP went 4-4 this week, so at least you still have your shit in tact if you followed...

@OREST (+7) v ARZST
@ARK (+12.5) v MISSST
@BAY (+9.5) v ISU
SMU (+12.5) @ MEM
UCLA (+16) @ USC
@DUKE (+6.5) v GT
@TUL (+9.5) v HOU
@TXTCH (+7) v TCU

[chinamaniac]

Obviously you weren’t looking for any feedback when you made the pick.

Obviously Atlanta sucks.

3-12 Atlanta vs 14-2 Celtics +6.5

Other than the fact that Atlanta was a dog I cannot imagine the thought process of trying to defy the white hot Celtics and Brad Stevens.

Atlanta shot 65% in first quarter so you and they got extremely lucky. This isn’t Atlanta and no one adjusts better or plays better defense.

You pressed too hard on this but your feel otherwise is fun to follow.

As an aside I am stunned that the youngest team in the league with a coach that is maybe younger than one or two active players is able to play defense in such a mature fashion.

This pick led (at some point handily) for 45 of the 48 minutes.

This was one which should have won, and I don't regret it.

At least I'm probably going 1-1 as Dallas is up 16 in the 3rd.

Atlanta played hard the whole game but they just went cold the last 5 mins or so

[ErickAA]

SVP went 4-4 this week, so at least you still have your shit in tact if you followed...

@OREST (+7) v ARZST
@ARK (+12.5) v MISSST
@BAY (+9.5) v ISU
SMU (+12.5) @ MEM
UCLA (+16) @ USC
@DUKE (+6.5) v GT
@TUL (+9.5) v HOU
@TXTCH (+7) v TCU

I followed all the losers, not all the winners. Same thing with Stanford Steve.

[Sanlmar]

This pick led (at some point handily) for 45 of the 48 minutes.

This was one which should have won, and I don't regret it.

At least I'm probably going 1-1 as Dallas is up 16 in the 3rd.

Atlanta played hard the whole game but they just went cold the last 5 mins or so

Locked up from 8 minutes to end. Not 3 or 5

[Sanlmar]

Pretty proud of these buys. I spent a lot of time on NFL this week and the work paid off. NFL variance is huge but I got it in good.

Wish I had a sweat at 1:00pm. I just don’t see anything wrong. I’ll look LIVE for opportunity.

ACCEPTED:
11/12/2017 11:01:18 PM
DESCRIPTION:
MOBILE - FOOTBALL - NFL - 471 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -5 -111 FOR GAME

Now -7.5 posted this strategy last Sunday

11/16/2017 2:00:43 AM
DESCRIPTION:
MOBILE - FOOTBALL - NFL - 473 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES -3½ -110 FOR GAME

Now -5.5 / -6

11/18/2017 1:33:39 PM
DESCRIPTION:
MOBILE - FOOTBALL - NFL - 475 ATLANTA FALCONS +2½ -105 FOR GAME

Now +1.5

[ErickAA]

Minn -1.5

[Sanlmar]

Fuck it. I deserve some fun

MOBILE - FOOTBALL - NFL - 459 LOS ANGELES RAMS +108 FOR GAME

Noticed the Verminator stayed away from this. Safe spaces


Good luck

[OSA]

Rams gonna win by 10