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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #12141
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Those who had Knicks +5 had a major scare, as they blew a yuuuuuuuuuuge lead and almost didn't cover, but thanks to two missed LBJ free throws with 5 seconds left, the Cavs only won by 3.

    Atlanta tried very hard to give the game away at several points, but they ended up right back in it, and are surely going to cover. This one stings because I actually typed in Atlanta +9 on here, then erased it and replaced it with Sac +11.

  2. #12142
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    So nice when these Monday and Thursday night games go over like clock work.

    They are my worm hole this year.

  3. #12143
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Looks like rollinx420 was probably right about Minn. They are killing Utah early.

    This had all the hallmarks of a trap line... deceptively low favorite line on the much better team, tons of pubilc money coming in on the favorite and the line actually getting slightly better for the favorite, as if Vegas wanted to encourage even more betting on them.

    Normally I would totally have faded the Wolves here, but the Jazz are just so crappy lately that I had no faith they would keep it close. So I just stayed away.

    Oh, and Atlanta just blew a double-digit lead and are now up by 1 with 15 minutes left in the game. If they lose by more than 9, I'll feel good.

    the pups are for real this year.... its been sooooooooo long since we have had a contender in basketball up here in Minny... a feeling i think youre going to get to know fairly well in LaLa land in the upcoming years

  4. #12144
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    This was a lightly bet game in Vegas.

    I kept staring at this imbalance with the online books toward Miami. The move from 10 to 8 too. I have zero idea what they saw or thought

    Books win

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    The action frightened me to bet an Olive Garden size not small well used car.

    Gawd, Miami and Jay Cutler suck

    I heard the shitty NFL might surpass the college handle next week.. maybe. Jerry Jones is right.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 11-13-2017 at 09:34 PM.

  5. #12145
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    So I was seeing Portland slowly pull away from Denver, and it looked like Denver just was going to collapse.

    I saw the live bet line go to 4.5 -110 on Bovada which looked great, I bet it, and of course the shady Bovada delay where they only give you the bet if it either stays the same or the line gets better, but if it gets worse they reject it. So it got rejected.

    Tried again a few minutes later with 4.5 -120, and again, same delay/rejection.

    Gave up.

    Now Denver down by 14.

    SFSTANDARD

    I should have been on Betonline. They aren't as bad with the delay scam.

  6. #12146
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by rollinx420 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Looks like rollinx420 was probably right about Minn. They are killing Utah early.

    This had all the hallmarks of a trap line... deceptively low favorite line on the much better team, tons of pubilc money coming in on the favorite and the line actually getting slightly better for the favorite, as if Vegas wanted to encourage even more betting on them.

    Normally I would totally have faded the Wolves here, but the Jazz are just so crappy lately that I had no faith they would keep it close. So I just stayed away.

    Oh, and Atlanta just blew a double-digit lead and are now up by 1 with 15 minutes left in the game. If they lose by more than 9, I'll feel good.

    the pups are for real this year.... its been sooooooooo long since we have had a contender in basketball up here in Minny... a feeling i think youre going to get to know fairly well in LaLa land in the upcoming years
    Yeah I think the team is looking really good.

    Lakers won't contend this year but at least they don't look like a failteam. Kinda look .500-ish, maybe a bit worse. But yes, looks like it will be awhile until they really contend, unless they make some big free agent signing in the coming years.

    If their Deng/Mosgov disaster recently is any indication, this front office isn't going to do anything right for awhile.

  7. #12147
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    Druff,

    I would be careful with all the Unders. You were running hot for a while with some weird low scoring 4th Qs and looks like that isn't happening right now.

    Also, I don't know if this is true, but it seems scoring has been way up for the most part the last week or so. I think teams have started to get used to their new pieces and setting rotations, and basically playing better.

    Even games featuring low scoring teams like Utah, Chicago and Sacramento seem to be easily going into the 200s lately.

  8. #12148
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    I bet Timberwolves U49 wins on the advice of Simmons/House. Not looking like it is going to be a winner.

    I also bet Utah over (I think 42). I think the Gobert (and lesser extent Exum in preseason) injury is going to be a big problem with this one.

  9. #12149
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    Went 1-1 on my posted plays.

    I actually bet 2nd half of the Cleveland game O108. It looked like it had no chance until Korver started going crazy, and then it went over easily. Too bad Knicks couldn't get that last rebound and have a chance for OT, so game could go over too.

  10. #12150
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Druff,

    I would be careful with all the Unders. You were running hot for a while with some weird low scoring 4th Qs and looks like that isn't happening right now.

    Also, I don't know if this is true, but it seems scoring has been way up for the most part the last week or so. I think teams have started to get used to their new pieces and setting rotations, and basically playing better.

    Even games featuring low scoring teams like Utah, Chicago and Sacramento seem to be easily going into the 200s lately.
    I'm watching it closely.

    I still liked today's GS pick because of Curry being out, and I still like it as the game is going (right now I'm a favorite to win, but not a huge favorite).

  11. #12151
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    So I was seeing Portland slowly pull away from Denver, and it looked like Denver just was going to collapse.

    I saw the live bet line go to 4.5 -110 on Bovada which looked great, I bet it, and of course the shady Bovada delay where they only give you the bet if it either stays the same or the line gets better, but if it gets worse they reject it. So it got rejected.

    Tried again a few minutes later with 4.5 -120, and again, same delay/rejection.

    Gave up.

    Now Denver down by 14.

    SFSTANDARD

    I should have been on Betonline. They aren't as bad with the delay scam.
    use sportsbook.ag

    might sound ridiculous after your boy got scammed playing limit poker but just bet in the sportsbook ... ive made hundreds of live bets and there is no delay ever ... and they pay out in bitcoin now too so there's that

  12. #12152
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    GS under easily came in, breaking my 4 game losing streak.

    Still pissed about the Portland live bet BS.

    30-15 overall, but I've cooled off a bit since my 13-2 start, going 17-13 after that.

  13. #12153
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by rollinx420 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    So I was seeing Portland slowly pull away from Denver, and it looked like Denver just was going to collapse.

    I saw the live bet line go to 4.5 -110 on Bovada which looked great, I bet it, and of course the shady Bovada delay where they only give you the bet if it either stays the same or the line gets better, but if it gets worse they reject it. So it got rejected.

    Tried again a few minutes later with 4.5 -120, and again, same delay/rejection.

    Gave up.

    Now Denver down by 14.

    SFSTANDARD

    I should have been on Betonline. They aren't as bad with the delay scam.
    use sportsbook.ag

    might sound ridiculous after your boy got scammed playing limit poker but just bet in the sportsbook ... ive made hundreds of live bets and there is no delay ever ... and they pay out in bitcoin now too so there's that
    They've also had payout issues, plus they screwed other people I've known.

    I'm staying away from them.

  14. #12154
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    Use all that as revenge and take their money by crushing them at NBA, trust me I know all about their payout issues, but that was back when you could only cashout by getting a check and the max was $2500 and it took like 2-3 months to come. It was ridiculous to say the least but now you can get bitcoin withdrawals with a max of 5k, not exactly optimal but good enough to want to still play there and win money in their sportsbook, they also have the best deposit bonuses of anywhere that i know of. No rollover, its basically just extra money that they give you to bet with.

  15. #12155
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    Tuesday:

    Dallas Mavericks +6.5

  16. #12156
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    Philly -3 -125 looks like the trap line of the week.

    Sean lee is hurt, Tyrone (left tackle) is hurt, dez is hurt, Williams (WR) is hurt.

    On paper this looks like a easy Philly beatdown of Dallas. Yet the books are keeping it at 3 with extra juice. Just begging everyone to take philly.

  17. #12157
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by rollinx420 View Post


    the pups are for real this year.... its been sooooooooo long since we have had a contender in basketball up here in Minny... a feeling i think youre going to get to know fairly well in LaLa land in the upcoming years
    Yeah I think the team is looking really good.

    Lakers won't contend this year but at least they don't look like a failteam. Kinda look .500-ish, maybe a bit worse. But yes, looks like it will be awhile until they really contend, unless they make some big free agent signing in the coming years.

    If their Deng/Mosgov disaster recently is any indication, this front office isn't going to do anything right for awhile.
    Pretty sure that trade was the last front office. Also nothing wrong with deng (although he is still overpayed, but a lot of players were overplayed that summer). They just want to develop the young guys and Decided he is a guy they are going to use in a trade down the line for salary matching.

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    NBA:
    Brooklyn Under 208.5

  19. #12159
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    Also Brooklyn +7 -115

  20. #12160
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    Also Dallas Under 200

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