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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #9181
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass View Post
    Phillies +156 W
    Phillies -1.5 +235 W
    Giants +201 W
    Giants -1.5 +385 L
    Snake like a boss.

    Cubs & Dodgers are over priced, over rated and they were punished.

    Sports (unlike life) are great that way.

    Dodgers have lost more one runs games than any other team in MLB. It should not have been this close either
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 05-01-2017 at 10:25 PM.

  2. #9182
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass View Post
    Phillies +156 W
    Phillies -1.5 +235 W
    Giants +201 W
    Giants -1.5 +385 L
    Snake like a boss.

    Cubs & Dodgers are over priced, over rated and they were punished.

    Sports (unlike life) are great that way.

    Dodgers have lost more one runs games than any other team in MLB. It should not have been this close either
    Cubs should be in last place. Half of their wins were by miracle comebacks. Lot of big dogs tomorrow, might have to take a chance on some more alternative lines.

  3. #9183
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    Not touching the huge dogs today, here is what I am playing:
    dbacks +121
    angels +129

     
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      Sanlmar: Bink

  4. #9184
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    First half over 100 GSW/Utah.

    W
    Last edited by simpdog; 05-03-2017 at 05:55 AM.

  5. #9185
    Platinum ftpjesus's Avatar
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    I'm not against what amounts to free money but in the off chance you lose this is the kind of bet that could make somebody jump off a parking garage in vegas.

    My guess is somebody on this forum is guilty of the bet and it's possibly C$ or Drexel as they have the life roll to make this insane bet.

    Somebody laid 50k for the Warriors to win against Utah at......-10000 yes that means the payoff is a measly $500. On the flip side the potential self flaggilation possible if Steph and company were to somehow all break their ankles and GS is left with a bunch of benchwarmers could be enough to have somebody off themselves. The whole thing is so -EV to me. $500 to win just has to be somebody's idea of a sick joke to lay this bet at such horrible odds.

  6. #9186
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass View Post
    Not touching the huge dogs today, here is what I am playing:
    dbacks +121 W
    angels +129 W
    Damn beautiful stuff

    Don't know if you can resuscitate this dead ass thread but enjoyed sweating your running of the dogs last few days.

    Took this a minute before first pitch as it went to 9 from 8.5
    Too late to post

    5/2/2017 7:09:21 PM
    Description:
    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 918 Baltimore Orioles/Boston Red Sox under 9 -115 for Game W

    Sale on mound to silence O's & a weak Sawks offense on the other side. Sawks bats may be waking up so that story might be over.

  7. #9187
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    Quote Originally Posted by ftpjesus View Post
    I'm not against what amounts to free money but in the off chance you lose this is the kind of bet that could make somebody jump off a parking garage in vegas.

    My guess is somebody on this forum is guilty of the bet and it's possibly C$ or Drexel as they have the life roll to make this insane bet.

    Somebody laid 50k for the Warriors to win against Utah at......-10000 yes that means the payoff is a measly $500. On the flip side the potential self flaggilation possible if Steph and company were to somehow all break their ankles and GS is left with a bunch of benchwarmers could be enough to have somebody off themselves. The whole thing is so -EV to me. $500 to win just has to be somebody's idea of a sick joke to lay this bet at such horrible odds.
    Those are bridge jumper type of bets. They never made any sense to me. You lose the bet, you are sick. You win the bet and you don't get excited because it is peanuts. What is the point? Rather put the $500 on the dog moneyline and see what happens.

  8. #9188
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by ftpjesus View Post
    I'm not against what amounts to free money but in the off chance you lose this is the kind of bet that could make somebody jump off a parking garage in vegas.

    My guess is somebody on this forum is guilty of the bet and it's possibly C$ or Drexel as they have the life roll to make this insane bet.

    Somebody laid 50k for the Warriors to win against Utah at......-10000 yes that means the payoff is a measly $500. On the flip side the potential self flaggilation possible if Steph and company were to somehow all break their ankles and GS is left with a bunch of benchwarmers could be enough to have somebody off themselves. The whole thing is so -EV to me. $500 to win just has to be somebody's idea of a sick joke to lay this bet at such horrible odds.
    Those are bridge jumper type of bets. They never made any sense to me. You lose the bet, you are sick. You win the bet and you don't get excited because it is peanuts. What is the point? Rather put the $500 on the dog moneyline and see what happens.
    If this bet seemed stuipd it's because you are not a fucking imbecile.

    1-100 odds against a team of professionals. Absolutely fucking crazy.

  9. #9189
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Stroman & Sabathia.

    Gotta ride the offense. Kind of an autobet. Just a thing.

    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 966 Toronto Blue Jays/New York Yankees over 8½ +105 for Game

  10. #9190
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Stroman & Sabathia.

    Gotta ride the offense. Kind of an autobet. Just a thing.

    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 966 Toronto Blue Jays/New York Yankees over 8½ +105 for Game
    Betting on overs with Toronto involved is a hard way to make a living.

  11. #9191
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Stroman & Sabathia.

    Gotta ride the offense. Kind of an autobet. Just a thing.

    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 966 Toronto Blue Jays/New York Yankees over 8½ +105 for Game
    Betting on overs with Toronto involved is a hard way to make a living.
    Judge and Yankees are showtime in the Bronx. If Toronto wants to chip in that's welcome too.

    Wind blowing in Northeast. Wind blowing out of Yankee stadium

    Gonna add another attractively priced over.
    Urais - nice ERA masking a poor whip
    Samardzija - puke
    Bellinger - replacing Gonzo so offense obv vastly improved.

    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 962 San Francisco Giants/Los Angeles Dodgers over 7½ +100 for Game

    In fairness too me, this is a fade of Urais not a Bellinger love affair.

  12. #9192
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Betting on overs with Toronto involved is a hard way to make a living.
    Judge and Yankees are showtime in the Bronx. If Toronto wants to chip in that's welcome too.

    Wind blowing in Northeast. Wind blowing out of Yankee stadium

    Gonna add another attractively priced over.
    Urais - nice ERA masking a poor whip
    Samardzija - puke
    Bellinger - replacing Gonzo so offense obv vastly improved.

    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 962 San Francisco Giants/Los Angeles Dodgers over 7½ +100 for Game

    In fairness too me, this is a fade of Urais not a Bellinger love affair.
    Don't like it, sorry.

    Bellinger is looking very good, but it's hard to base a bet upon one hitter in the lineup.

    Urias is young and gets better as the season goes along, from what we've seen of him. Reading too much into his poor WHIP at this early point is not wise.

    In general, betting overs on night games at Dodger Stadium isn't very smart, because the ball dies in the LA air, and the park is a pitchers' park even without that factor.

    I agree that Samardzija sucks, but that's not enough. Even if the Dodgers smack him and win 6-1, you still lose.

    Also, aside from games in Colorado or others pitchers' parks, I don't like betting on overs the night after the two teams just had a high scoring affair. I've noticed there tends to be a letdown after that, perhaps due to hitter overconfidence.

     
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      Sanlmar: Good point about LA nights.

  13. #9193
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    On a side note, Dodgers are making a mistake to bring Bellinger back to the minors this weekend.

    What are they thinking?

    Here is a team which needs all the offense it can get (because the starting pitching has been lousy, plus they can't hit left handers), and they're dropping their hottest hitter back down to the minors?

    Why?

    Unlike a pitcher, you don't need to keep a hitter down to a low number of innings played early in his career.

    Bellinger has already proven all he needs in the minors. Now he's crushing the ball in majors. Great! This is exactly what they wanted, and yet they are likely sending him back down to rot in OKC.

    Right now they have Adrian Gonzalez who has "tennis elbow" and can't hit for any power whatsoever. While Gonzalez hates going on the DL (and has done a great job in his career avoiding it), it's time. Put him on the DL when Joc Pederson comes back in a few days, let him recover, and let Bellinger play 1B. When Gonzalez is ready, then reevaluate -- such as perhaps benching Pederson if he continues to suck.

    Oh, and Chase Utley needs to retire. Was a big fan of his hustle and he was great with the Dodgers for the time they had him, but it's time to hang it up. Dude is mostly grey and is now playing like it.

  14. #9194
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Urais prolly ain't gonna give 7. There is that too.

    Certainly not betting on one guy, Bellinger. He makes others around him better

    Bellinger to minors is a stupid value play regarding his time going forward. Standard Dodgers thinking

    Huge fan of Turner.

    I may be wrong but I'm running like god lately.

  15. #9195
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    Arizona +131

  16. #9196
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    On a side note, Dodgers are making a mistake to bring Bellinger back to the minors this weekend.

    What are they thinking?

    Here is a team which needs all the offense it can get (because the starting pitching has been lousy, plus they can't hit left handers), and they're dropping their hottest hitter back down to the minors?

    Why?

    Unlike a pitcher, you don't need to keep a hitter down to a low number of innings played early in his career.

    Bellinger has already proven all he needs in the minors. Now he's crushing the ball in majors. Great! This is exactly what they wanted, and yet they are likely sending him back down to rot in OKC.

    Right now they have Adrian Gonzalez who has "tennis elbow" and can't hit for any power whatsoever. While Gonzalez hates going on the DL (and has done a great job in his career avoiding it), it's time. Put him on the DL when Joc Pederson comes back in a few days, let him recover, and let Bellinger play 1B. When Gonzalez is ready, then reevaluate -- such as perhaps benching Pederson if he continues to suck.

    Oh, and Chase Utley needs to retire. Was a big fan of his hustle and he was great with the Dodgers for the time they had him, but it's time to hang it up. Dude is mostly grey and is now playing like it.
    Kid will be back up for good by the end of the month or the start of June. I have to assume this is a time served decision similar to what the Cubs did to Kris Bryant.

  17. #9197
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Have a hunch. under 8.5 Houston.

  18. #9198
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Stroman & Sabathia.

    Gotta ride the offense. Kind of an autobet. Just a thing.

    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 966 Toronto Blue Jays/New York Yankees over 8½ +105 for Game
    Decent start.

  19. #9199
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Name:  IMG_0527.JPG
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Stroman & Sabathia.

    Gotta ride the offense. Kind of an autobet. Just a thing.

    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 966 Toronto Blue Jays/New York Yankees over 8½ +105 for Game
    Decent start.

     
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      Daly: Lolz! Well done sir.

  20. #9200
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Stroman & Sabathia.

    Gotta ride the offense. Kind of an autobet. Just a thing.

    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 966 Toronto Blue Jays/New York Yankees over 8½ +105 for Game

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