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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #8401
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    i have been doing a lot of ML live betting last few days, worked out very well, except lot of scares. I am not a college football guy, so I am not used to the fumbles and special team screw ups that seem frequent and scary. In any event I just made my first non live bet, a small bet on Clemson. They seem much better on paper to me. anyone agree? this is just a for fun bet.

  2. #8402
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Charham View Post
    i have been doing a lot of ML live betting last few days, worked out very well, except lot of scares. I am not a college football guy, so I am not used to the fumbles and special team screw ups that seem frequent and scary. In any event I just made my first non live bet, a small bet on Clemson. They seem much better on paper to me. anyone agree? this is just a for fun bet.

    Both teams have pros all over the field. Key to game is Clemson is really susceptible to the pass, yet Ohio State has struggled to pass. If JT is accurate like he tends to be in warm weather, your bet is in trouble. If he is similar to what he's been the second half of season, you'll likely win. Obviously you have better all around QB. It's a coinflip game.

     
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      Charham: thanks, great write up. if anyone gets ahead by 2 scores I may pile on a ML

  3. #8403
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    I just heard the back door slam shut..




    Happy New Year everyone. Or is it happy Jew Year around here?

    Oh yea Pound Ohio State next game.

    Peace be with you and everyone be safe. LOL and I mean Everyone!!! Wink.

  4. #8404
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    I take NFL kickers for granted, until you see what happens at the college level when a guy can't punt or kick key field goals.

  5. #8405
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    Shitty day of betting. Sorry sanlmar lol. We need some daly locks for tmw!

  6. #8406
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Important week 17 reminder.....

    These are professionals playing for millions of dollars. They all have something to play for and so do the coaches and owners. They don't care about draft picks, generally speaking.

  7. #8407
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Important week 17 reminder.....

    These are professionals playing for millions of dollars. They all have something to play for and so do the coaches and owners. They don't care about draft picks, generally speaking.

    Yeah, so, what are the good picks today?? 😘
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  8. #8408
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Team o/u Quantity Type Line Book
    Greg Olsen CAR under 5.5 receptions
    Greg Olsen CAR under 64.5 receiving
    Jonathan Stewart CAR under 62.5 rushing
    Jameis Winston TBY under 36.5 pa attempts
    Mike Evans TBY under 6 receptions
    Mike Evans TBY under 91.5 receiving
    Ted Ginn CAR over 35.5 receiving
    Martellus Bennett NEP under 3.5 receptions
    Moore Mia over 18.5 completions

     
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      BeerAndPoker:
      
      jsearles22: God rep

  9. #8409
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I just blanket hit every patriots player under.....

    I think they are fair priced and I think they may not play the whole day.

  10. #8410
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I just blanket hit every patriots player under.....

    I think they are fair priced and I think they may not play the whole day.
    Pats 33-14 and they go for 2

    lol Belichick

  11. #8411
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Team o/u Quantity Type Line Book
    Greg Olsen CAR under 5.5 receptions
    Greg Olsen CAR under 64.5 receiving
    Jonathan Stewart CAR under 62.5 rushing
    Jameis Winston TBY under 36.5 pa attempts
    Mike Evans TBY under 6 receptions
    Mike Evans TBY under 91.5 receiving
    Ted Ginn CAR over 35.5 receiving
    Martellus Bennett NEP under 3.5 receptions
    Moore Mia over 18.5 completions
    Maybe it's me but I'd figure a 8-1 post would be worth a green rep or three.

    :

     
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      Dan Druff: I missed the reveal of these by 20 min :(
      
      hongkonger: Missed them, FML
      
      Mintjewlips: You da man
      
      Charham: grrr i missed these as well, i need the ant eater in my life

  12. #8412
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Charham View Post
    i have been doing a lot of ML live betting last few days, worked out very well, except lot of scares. I am not a college football guy, so I am not used to the fumbles and special team screw ups that seem frequent and scary. In any event I just made my first non live bet, a small bet on Clemson. They seem much better on paper to me. anyone agree? this is just a for fun bet.

    Both teams have pros all over the field. Key to game is Clemson is really susceptible to the pass, yet Ohio State has struggled to pass. If JT is accurate like he tends to be in warm weather, your bet is in trouble. If he is similar to what he's been the second half of season, you'll likely win. Obviously you have better all around QB. It's a coinflip game.

    Of course, when I say coinflip, I mean absolute fucking beat down. Was totally shocked at that game considering I watched both teams squeak by shit teams all year. Clearly Clemson had a whole other gear. Glad you picked the right side.

     
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      Charham: thanks, was a relaxing game to watch needlesstosay

  13. #8413
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post


    Both teams have pros all over the field. Key to game is Clemson is really susceptible to the pass, yet Ohio State has struggled to pass. If JT is accurate like he tends to be in warm weather, your bet is in trouble. If he is similar to what he's been the second half of season, you'll likely win. Obviously you have better all around QB. It's a coinflip game.

    Of course, when I say coinflip, I mean absolute fucking beat down. Was totally shocked at that game considering I watched both teams squeak by shit teams all year. Clearly Clemson had a whole other gear. Glad you picked the right side.
    I was at dinner and then out for the night when that shit when down...glad I missed it all...not surprised they lost, just the fact they got fucking rolled like that...

  14. #8414
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    so in another thread somebody set a line on QBs with super bowls vs. QBs without...so we have it finalized...

    HAVES: brady, big ben, eli, Rodgers, russ
    HAVE NOTS: smith, tanneyhill/moore, mcgloin/cook, savage/osweiller, dak, matty ice, Stafford

    the 'have nots' obviously took a big hit with carr going down...with carr I think itd be close and even with only 5 teams id still probably lean the 'haves'...without carr I think the 'haves' are a nice little favorite...

  15. #8415
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    so in another thread somebody set a line on QBs with super bowls vs. QBs without...so we have it finalized...

    HAVES: brady, big ben, eli, Rodgers, russ
    HAVE NOTS: smith, tanneyhill/moore, mcgloin/cook, savage/osweiller, dak, matty ice, Stafford

    the 'have nots' obviously took a big hit with carr going down...with carr I think itd be close and even with only 5 teams id still probably lean the 'haves'...without carr I think the 'haves' are a nice little favorite...
    When you say nice little favorite do you mean like -130 or -250 or what? If this was a line, I'd be taking the have nots at anything above +150 I think
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  16. #8416
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by lewfather View Post
    Shitty day of betting. Sorry sanlmar lol. We need some daly locks for tmw!
    Sigh

    1/1/2017 7:07:47 PM
    Description:
    Mobile - Football - NFL - 309 Green Bay Packers -3½ -105 for Game

    You can always count on Detroit. Although I will admit there was a brief moment with the Hail Mary and all that I wondered.

    Frankly, facing Seattle is the better outcome.

    There have got to be times when the pain in Michigan must be unbearable.

    Edit
    Just saw Detroit +9 on 5Dimes. I have no bankroll there ATM. The others are slowly moving that direction too. This seems wrong to me

    Nothing else looks interesting so far
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 01-02-2017 at 10:49 AM.

  17. #8417
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    so in another thread somebody set a line on QBs with super bowls vs. QBs without...so we have it finalized...

    HAVES: brady, big ben, eli, Rodgers, russ
    HAVE NOTS: smith, tanneyhill/moore, mcgloin/cook, savage/osweiller, dak, matty ice, Stafford

    the 'have nots' obviously took a big hit with carr going down...with carr I think itd be close and even with only 5 teams id still probably lean the 'haves'...without carr I think the 'haves' are a nice little favorite...
    When you say nice little favorite do you mean like -130 or -250 or what? If this was a line, I'd be taking the have nots at anything above +150 I think
    maybe nice little favorite was strong...I mean I don't set lines so no clue what a really accurate line would be...I was thinking somewhere in the -150 to -200 range with -200 be the absolute highest I would think, but that seems a little strong given that the haves are down 7 to 5 in teams...im sure daly could come here and set a good line to a penny...

    with carr I would think the haves would be a slight favorite (maybe like -110/-120ish?) so maybe the line should be more like -130/-135 or so since I can't think carr could really be worth $40+ on a line...

  18. #8418
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I can't say for sure but it sure seems like somebody knows something about Auburn tonight.

  19. #8419
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I can't say for sure but it sure seems like somebody knows something about Auburn tonight.

    Odd given the money bet. I feel like Oklahoma -2 tonight is stealing. Auburn went 8-4 with losses to Georgia and Texas A&M. They also barely beat Vanderbilt and LSU at home.

    Oklahoma lost to Ohio State and Houston early in the season (both great teams). Since then they've blasted WV and OK State, both top 10 teams IMO

    I'm max bet here on OK -2 so I guess we shall see. I love laying less than 3 though
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  20. #8420
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I can't say for sure but it sure seems like somebody knows something about Auburn tonight.

    Odd given the money bet. I feel like Oklahoma -2 tonight is stealing. Auburn went 8-4 with losses to Georgia and Texas A&M. They also barely beat Vanderbilt and LSU at home.

    Oklahoma lost to Ohio State and Houston early in the season (both great teams). Since then they've blasted WV and OK State, both top 10 teams IMO

    I'm max bet here on OK -2 so I guess we shall see. I love laying less than 3 though
    If I told you there was a train headed your way would you walk into it or get the fuck out of the way?

    Auburn or Pass.

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