My book has over 3.5 field goals at +110.
I feel like I have to hit this hard. Somebody tell me what's what
My book has over 3.5 field goals at +110.
I feel like I have to hit this hard. Somebody tell me what's what
I did some quick research on this and and roughly what I came up with was out of 5 games in Denver this year 2 over and 3 under which is not a huge sample so I dove back to last year and going back the past 14 games in Denver 10 have gone over and 4 have gone under out of the past 14 games which is still not a huge sample but enough for me to pull the trigger.Originally Posted by Daly
Keep an eye on longest FG made at your books. Anything 45-46 is an over bet for me.
Take into account that this places altitude is higher I agree that this needs to be hammered LARGE
I found a 44.5
LFG
Gotta do the full degenerate disclosures
Mobile - NFL Player Props - Houston @ Oakland - Total Rushing yards by Brock Osweiler (HOU) - Over +8½ Rushing yards -110
Gassed defense and a guy who can't make reads. Not a good statistical play but this will be unconventional game
Clarified. Also the tremendous pollution is supposed to make things quite a bit worse than just the elevation alone.
Everything worked Monday night but the over 47.5 field goal.
Oakland & Pats had to kill the books. Imagine the parlays
Taking Pats -9 +110 v Jets. Pats just keep working so it's an autobet at this stage.
Ok Lewfather:
Michigan +6.5
Ohio
No clue which way this will move. The bellwether of stupidity (Bovada) won't touch it yet - so I'm lost
I took Ohio St -6.5 small just to est. a position
I can unwind if I must
Last edited by Sanlmar; 11-22-2016 at 12:12 AM.
ill admit to an ohio state bias before I start to type this, but like osu in this game...
wouldn't want anybody else in the nation coaching in a big game other than him...even saban...what he did a few years back with cardale against bama was unfucking real...thought they would lose by about 50, but he won the whole damn thing...games don't get much bigger than this, even the national championship ones...just cant see him losing this one...he's lost one game (the MSU one last year) that he really shouldn't have...ill give him a pass on the road at penn state this year...
I don't cap or anything like that, but if Michigan wins this one I think it will be one of the bigger upsets in this series especially if o'korn plays...if this was in Michigan they would have a huge advantage...this being in columbus that big advantage shifts to the bucks...have a feeling this might be like the '06 game, everything on the line we get one of the best games in the series...
Michigan money will flood in closer to kick off but will probably be offset by sharps laying down big bets on OSU, you're forsure on the right side of this one.
I'd love to see Michigan pull off a miracle but I like money just a little bit more.
The only road game Michigan looked good in was against Rutgers and just to paint a picasso for you Michigan State beat the living fuck out of Rutgers too. 49-0.
Wilton Speight is day to day, but I wouldn't even bother reading into that. Michigan is known for bluffing this kind of shit especially during "The Game" week. Even if he plays Michigan will get smoked and that's best case scenario.
Harbaugh to Packers chatter. College has more coaching money and is in better shape than NFL
Makes Belichick money already
Says more about the discontent on both teams
I hate the cowboys, but cowboys to win the superbowl at +550 looks sexy.
Im going to fire a bullet now before the line goes down.
The rest of their season looks shitty and very beatable, i can't imagine the +550 line going up unless a unforeseen event happens, like Prescott going down.
"Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Drexel
"ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine
"Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis
"DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER
6.5 is a lot against Michigan's defense. I might try the middle if it moves to 7.5 or higher. Ohio State has really struggled to stretch the field. Michigan is extremely stout. Last year Michigan had a number of injuries on their DL, and Ohio State was obviousky talent-laden with upperclassmen who are killing it in the NFL. Michigan is the way more veteran team, while Ohio State is super young. Basically, if they don't win this year, I don't see Harbaugh having a shot until year 5. The game, imo, is a coinflip. The only way Ohio State wins comfortably is if they score a couple defensive touchdowns if whomever QB's for Michigan throws up some garbage. Ohio State defense has been opportunistic. Ohio State has also been uncharacteristically poor on special teams. Their loss is attributable to poor special teams play. With Peppers returning punts in his last game as a Wolverine, that's also a concern.
I'd expect this to be Michigan's year finally if it was in Ann Arbor. I hope the Buckeyes blow them out, but I'm not overly confident. Watch the weather carefully. Ohio State with all these Florida and Texas kids are more like a warm weather team which is why they come flying out of the gate early in the season, and look great in the BIG Championship and bowls/playoffs played indoors and in warm weather, but stumble a bit late regular season at times. Barrett doesn't have an NFL arm, so wind is his nemesis. Right now it's forecasted to be mild wind, high 40s at kickoff. Hopefully that holds.
BCR you think they have a shot in hell if o'korn is the QB? I remember him from HOU because I bet on him in DFS...he was average at best...I don't think hes ready for a game like this...
I expect to win, but 17-13 seems more likely than 38-10. I fear we're going to be one-dimensional, and Weber isn't Hyde or Zeke yet. Those guys pounded the line and got 4 yards regardless, which makes us close to unstoppable with running QB. Weber is more young Emmit Smith. Great balance, great vision, but needs a hole, which there aren't a lot of against Michigan. The X factor is Samuel. We need to get him in space. Both offenses are suspect at times, but I like ours better. They are going to stack the box. If we manage to get edge, we'll win easier than I expect, but that's no easy task with Peppers roving. They still lack any true playmakers. That's their issue. Both defenses are excellent, but I like their's a bit better. I'm expecting to sweat this one out, but I hope not.
Michigan will try to run it a lot and OSU may do the same on Michigan. Both teams have had holes at times this year stopping the run so I'd look at the under.
As for Speight like lew mentioned Harbaugh loves to bluff. In both seasons at Michigan the first game he don't announce the QB to anyone until they get out there first offensive set on the year and he will try to stick mostly with the same QB starting each game unless an injury occurs. They had Speight go out there as if he was going to play last week doing simple shit that wouldn't hurt him but the reality is he was never going in because of his collar bone injury. Speight did take some reps in practice today but that don't mean much and he certainly won't be 100% if he is able to go.
OSU will find a few good spots to air it out at home more then Michigan will. I hope I'm wrong but I think OSU covers 6.5 and I might bet it because the way the past few weeks have gone that will mean a Michigan win.
100%...Ill feel a lot better with o'korn back at QB...peppers is scary as fuck, but hoping urban drills the special teams like nobody's business this week...agree on the offense...im just glad I had shit to do last weekend and left the game before half...saw how it ended...I might not have a TV if I watched the whole thing...just think JT >>>> o'korn and that makes the difference here...
I expect to win, but 17-13 seems more likely than 38-10. I fear we're going to be one-dimensional, and Weber isn't Hyde or Zeke yet. Those guys pounded the line and got 4 yards regardless, which makes us close to unstoppable with running QB. Weber is more young Emmit Smith. Great balance, great vision, but needs a hole, which there aren't a lot of against Michigan. The X factor is Samuel. We need to get him in space. Both offenses are suspect at times, but I like ours better. They are going to stack the box. If we manage to get edge, we'll win easier than I expect, but that's no easy task with Peppers roving. They still lack any true playmakers. That's their issue. Both defenses are excellent, but I like their's a bit better. I'm expecting to sweat this one out, but I hope not.
anybody that likes SUPER long shots, throw something down on the Golden Gophers in hoops.... 300 to 1 right now, im predicting 30/1 by midseason
BGC, still betting hoop?
I've been live betting NBA like Stickyrice1. I am a retard on a serious heater. Just finished Lakers v +5 OKC at close
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER at LOS ANGELES LAKERS (BASKET PROPS) Point Spread THUNDER +5.0
Chicago +4.5 & under 229 ~ pregame line 1.5 & 207.5 Gimme gimme
CHICAGO BULLS at DENVER NUGGETS Point Spread BULLS +4.5
Little NHL
ST. LOUIS BLUES at BOSTON BRUINS Total P1 Under 1.5
ST. LOUIS BLUES at BOSTON BRUINS Total Match Under 6.5
ST. LOUIS BLUES at BOSTON BRUINS BRUINS Goals Match 2
I could cut and paste 5 more. Can't lose. It's become a nightly thing
More than anything I trust the math on the opening lines and see how different (variance) the game is playing. That's a start anyway
Last edited by Sanlmar; 11-22-2016 at 11:20 PM.
Lakers -17 tonight at GSW. Second of back to back for the Lakers, revenge game for GSW, and no D'angelo Russell.
Excited for the game, but what's the bet?
See if Lakers can keep it tight or take early lead. Bet a big discount on the Warriors live.
Shop a prop on Curry points and fade him if you can find it. Half kidding.
ThanksSee if Lakers can keep it tight or take early lead. Bet a big discount on the Warriors live.
Shop a prop on Curry points and fade him if you can find it. Half kidding.
Not every day you see a 250 total. I saw it flash. 1st qtr don't look right.
Totally blind here but may pop the 250 under if offered again
Saw 251.5 but missed.
219 was line at the tip.
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS at CLEVELAND CAVALIERS Total OVER 250.5
Edit:
lol alcohol. What a tard. Gotta think about this.
A statistically unsustainable 3 point reign of terror and I misclicked. Throw down a few more early in 3rd and I can get out of this.
Score looks like an All Star game.
Kind of a hedge kind of rest your starters
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS at CLEVELAND CAVALIERS Point Spread CAVS -20.5
Last edited by Sanlmar; 11-23-2016 at 06:57 PM.
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