Another morning, more good polls for Trump as he surges in damn near every swing state known to man. LA times has him with a nice comfy 5 point lead overall.
http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-pres...oll-dashboard/
The blacks seem to like him more and more every day too, as he is sitting around 20% or better support now. Some have him as high as 24% in Florida.
http://nypost.com/2016/09/18/black-v...p-in-new-poll/
Donald Trump is gaining support among African-American voters — whose enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton is eroding, a tracking poll released Saturday revealed.
Trump saw a 16.5 percentage-point increase in backing from African-American voters in a Los Angeles Times/University of Southern California tracking poll, up from 3.1 percent on Sept. 10 to 19.6 percent through Friday.
Meanwhile, the same poll showed Clinton’s support among that group plummeting from 90.4 percent on Sept. 10 to 71.4 percent.
Clinton’s nearly 20-point crash began Sunday, said Dan Schnur of USC. Sunday was the day Clinton was recorded collapsing while entering a Secret Service van at a 9/11 event.
The survey, which spanned through Friday, included the days in which Trump reignited the divisive “birther” issue — which critics contend is a thinly veiled attempt to undermine the legitimacy of the country’s first black president.
Late Wednesday, Trump had refused to acknowledge that President Obama was born in the United States, demurring on the topic in a Washington Post interview published the next day.
But at a bizarre press conference at Trump International, his new *hotel in Washington, DC, on Friday, the tycoon conceded, “President Barack Obama was born in the United States, period.”
For the week, the poll found a 6-point rise for Trump. The Republican is now at 47.2 percent of the vote to Clinton’s 41.2 percent.
“It’s the largest shift we’ve seen in a one-week period since we began polling in July,” Schnur said.
Donald Trump bought Ben Carson cheap.
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Seriously though, Hillary is shitting the bed hard right now.
Nothing like this happened in the previous two elections. When people were optimistic about Romney in 2012, it was because he held close, not because Obama did anything major to throw away his lead.
The Hillary health scares have done far more than I ever could have imagined... not so much because people think she's dying, but because it put an exclamation mark on her dishonesty and lack of transparency.
Not that Trump is transparent (he isn't at all), but Hillary has been gaming the system and lying to everyone for 25+ years, and I think the public has finally had enough of it.
Maybe this is just a temporary sentiment and she'll have her lead back in 2 weeks. Maybe she will score at the debates and it will all be okay. But if I were Trump, I would be careful not to say or do anything stupid, and hope Hillary beats herself. It might actually happen.
I have kind of mixed feelings about what I want to see happen in this election.
I think Trump will damage the Republican Party if he wins, and he will likely lose in 2020. I also don't like Trump at all, and don't feel he deserves the Oval Office after all the things he's done (plus the fact that he's very unprepared for the job).
I really hate Hillary and don't want to see her lifetime of shady behavior rewarded with being the first female President of the US. In 200 years from now, our descendants will probably revere her as a groundbreaking destroyer of the gender barrier, and all of the narrative of how she got there will be long gone, save a few history buffs. That bothers me. At the same time, I think it's better long term for Republicans if she wins, and they will probably take the White House in 2020 if she does.
It's also possible that a Hillary loss will damage the Democratic Party, as all of the Bernie bots will go into "see I told you so" mode, and a civil war within the party might begin.
Either way, the next 4 years are going to be filled with scandal and embarrassment for the US.
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https://twitter.com/twt/status/777991931116740608
PEPE IS SO HOT RIGHT NOW
"The founding fathers did not like the idea of the tyranny of the majority ruling the country"
Dan Druff
“I don't know what weapons World War III will be fought with, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.”
Albert Einstein
"Yesterday is history, tomorrow is a mystery, but today if a gift
and that is why it's called the present"
Eleanor Roosevelt
As long as Trump is getting destroyed in PA(which he is) this election is over.Keep dreaming ladies.
I strongly suspect that nothing short of dropping dead is going to have an actual negative impact on Hillary's presidential run.
There are a lot of country simple people in the United States, but not enough to vote Trump in, regardless of what the popularity contests are registering.
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
I highly doubt this. The health scares are only credible among the rightwing and its echo chamber. Swing voters aren't going to be scares into voting for Trump because he seems healthier than Hillary. The bigger factor by far was the "basket of deplorables" comment, because it speaks to the character more than anything else that she has said of late, and it looked pretty ugly even if true.
thesidedish: Not true, if he doesn't win PA he can just win MI or VA.
Ohhhh all he has has to do is win true blue Michigan and Va? He is only a 3~1 dog in both states according to your boy Nate Silver
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dont be mad dish, you would have just blown the $7k getting superusered on the river.
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
Very solid post.
The Democratic Party needs to be imploded like an old building and rebuilt. If Hillary loses to someone as beatable as Trump that will definitely happen. People will blame Bernie and his die hards, but Bernie has been doing exactly what he was asked to do- campaigning for Clinton and trying to explain to his supporters that Supreme Court nominations have decades of impact. There's also the fact that Bernie Sanders was not a great general election candidate, either. He was way too old (as are Hillary and Trump) but more importantly he *looks* like a doddering old man. His proposals were way too grandiose, lacked details, and had virtually no chance of becoming a reality in the foreseeable future. I acknowledged all of those things and voted for him anyway because Hillary, as we have seen, is an even worse general election candidate. They have to cultivate some people in their 40s and 50s that will actually inspire people to want to vote for them. Elizabeth Warren is probably leading that field now, but she has some problems too.
One big problem is that contrary to 8000 conspiracy theory posts, the Democratic primaries are not run by the DNC. They are run by each of the 50 state parties, thus the massively different and confusing delegate distribution systems. So people will have to pressure their state parties, which I plan on doing to get rid of the utterly insane caucus system.
If Hillary wins, the DNC should be blown up anyway but there will be less urgency. We'll also see what the House and Senate results are.
"Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky
"America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs
He isn't winning MI, VA, or PA.
However, as I have noted a few times this week, he can win without any of those states.
If he takes CO, NV, NC, OH, FL, GA, IA, and AZ, he will likely win. Before you say this is a longshot, keep in mind that he is ahead or virtually tied in all of these states in the latest polls.
What will be higher in November, Trump electoral votes or Sonatine's cholesterol levels?
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