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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #7121
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    Took the braves +600 during live wagering and logged into my account to see the bet cancelled. Apparently the folks running the shop thought the game was cancelled due to the rain delay. They are re-grading the game right now. That Nationals bullpen is horrific.

  2. #7122
    Plutonium big dick's Avatar
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    Tell us more snake

  3. #7123
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Some reports coming out that Paxton Lynch is going to be the starting QB week 1. Anything +3000 or better for OROY is great value.

    One Zeke injury to a knee and you got a great ticket on your hand.
    ok got it at 75:1...lets do this..


  4. #7124
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Some reports coming out that Paxton Lynch is going to be the starting QB week 1. Anything +3000 or better for OROY is great value.

    One Zeke injury to a knee and you got a great ticket on your hand.
    ok got it at 75:1...lets do this..

    Holy shit.... That's fucking stealing. Bet that line for whatever the max payout is. No fucking guarantees in life but at 75-1 that's a hell of a bet.

    Where you get this?

  5. #7125
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post

    ok got it at 75:1...lets do this..

    Holy shit.... That's fucking stealing. Bet that line for whatever the max payout is. No fucking guarantees in life but at 75-1 that's a hell of a bet.

    Where you get this?
    anybody else wants to know, PM me...definitely will share, but just don't want it out in the open to kill action...as I'm writing this post, all the site's NFL lines are down so don't know what this prop will look like when reposted...

  6. #7126
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Time for a 4 team parlay to juice the bankroll or tilt me into renewed focus. I've been playing a little tight lately.
    Ticket is +693

    Love Oriole's kid Bundy. Nats offense is trick or treat and I'll match O's offensive output if things get rough. The ticket hinges on Bundy and I may bet O's on the side as a hedge against variance on remaining matches


    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 968 Baltimore Orioles +103 for Game

    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 959 Boston Red Sox -150 for Game

    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 957 Chicago Cubs -228 for Game

    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 961 Cleveland Indians -159 for Game

     
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      Reno: Like it. Going with you except hedged with O8.5

  7. #7127
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Nice to know someone else will sweat this too

    I usually try to map out a plan for the night. I will add that I have been pretty restrained with the live betting so this is not a brag post about in game betting. I have done okay though and success or luck this year has made this a more frequent part of my game.

    My thoughts tonight begin with Oriole's Buck Schowalter and his bullpen use. It is acknowledged that he will walk away from a game that appears lost and not waste his pen. Concentrating his resources for when the game is winnable. The notion that you don't win them all and it's one long session like poker.

    This appears such obvious common sense but dolts are abundant. Schowalter's admission that he'll eat a game is so rare in professional sports.

    I couldn't quickly find evidence of his approach except this:

    http://www.camdenchat.com/2016/5/23/...lpen-showalter

    Now the trick (not hard) is to spot that early and perhaps bet "rest of game" outcome or something else that looks favorable. There are clues offered in the above piece that will tip Showalter's hand.

    Live betting is simple extrapolation. There are good spots based on incomplete information but bad pricing has to be sifted.

    So if I am not preoccupied with something else I will make my own bullpen save if things go south.

    I have been a fan of taking the Cubs at better odds than pre game if they get in an early hole first or second inning. Was the run on an error or fluky home run? I say, "thank you". I have posted one or two of these. It's been good.

    I am Joey Knish. It is the hole in my game. I am well aware when I am angry and loosen up my returns are better. Nothing like a chalky parlay to put your head in the right place.

    The astute reader will recognize I need help.

  8. #7128
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Reno just pointed out Strasburg was just put on DL.

    I took the same card at +561. Feel the tilt. That was such a choice spot.


    These feebs really do work outta little grass huts on the beach. I am so sick of having to audit and chase them.

    I KNEW they would tie up my money for the night. I didn't need it but I KNEW.
    So I check my pending wagers and the Strasburg parlay is gone

    I then check transactions and I see a debit but no credit for cancelled bet. Cancel and close the bet clean assholes. Another email? Really?
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-22-2016 at 01:34 PM.

  9. #7129
    Bronze Reno's Avatar
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    Scoreboard on the LA Cin game looks like a football game.

  10. #7130
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    Houston bats have been hot.

    Astros Ov 3½ -120

  11. #7131
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    LA vs Cin 18-9.

    Rams vs Bengals? Nope Dodgers vs Reds.

  12. #7132
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Back to earth yesterday. Oh well. Colorado today. GL boys. I am going to Wrigley again tonight but not for cubbies. Pearl Jam! Hope it's a good show.

     
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      GambleBotsChafedPenis: Pearl Jam Rep

  13. #7133
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Anyone else have a book tell you to go to hell
    For $800 and the $4000 in bets that have moved .50 in your favor are no good anymore?

  14. #7134
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    To hell with it. I'm going to hot dog around the bases.

    O's 4 Nats 2. Bottom 4


    Accepted: 08/22/2016 7:43:08 PM
    Description:
    WASHINGTON NATIONALS at BALTIMORE ORIOLES [BATTER PROPS] Run Line ORIOLES -1.5
    Type Risk To Win
    DGS $100.00 $170.00

    Sawks doin their thing ... lookin good

    Edit
    4-3 O's
    Suffered a flesh wound. Gonna take some punches but we're Rollin baby.


    Book that parlay!
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-22-2016 at 10:40 PM.

  15. #7135
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Reno just pointed out Strasburg was just put on DL.

    I took the same card at +561. Feel the tilt. That was such a choice spot.


    These feebs really do work outta little grass huts on the beach. I am so sick of having to audit and chase them.

    I KNEW they would tie up my money for the night. I didn't need it but I KNEW.
    So I check my pending wagers and the Strasburg parlay is gone

    I then check transactions and I see a debit but no credit for cancelled bet. Cancel and close the bet clean assholes. Another email? Really?
    Lol, no email needed.

    These idiots paid me on the Strasburg scratch too. That is why it was never credited back.. it was still an active bet.

    Daly, little grass huts. For real.

    +693 & +561 (legit)

  16. #7136
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Anyone else have a book tell you to go to hell
    For $800 and the $4000 in bets that have moved .50 in your favor are no good anymore?
    So wait, they voided your bets just because the line moved in your favor?

    Shaaaaaaady

  17. #7137
    Plutonium big dick's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Charham View Post
    Back to earth yesterday. Oh well. Colorado today. GL boys. I am going to Wrigley again tonight but not for cubbies. Pearl Jam! Hope it's a good show.
    How was it? The weather turned out to be perfect. I was wishing I was going... pissed I didn't get tix

  18. #7138
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Anyone else have a book tell you to go to hell
    For $800 and the $4000 in bets that have moved .50 in your favor are no good anymore?
    So wait, they voided your bets just because the line moved in your favor?

    Shaaaaaaady
    Supposedly they are closing the book down but I'm also just hearing they are cutting select people off beforefootball season.

    I'm collecting from him today so this should be an interesting story.

  19. #7139
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I wanted to jump on the Sawks over early. The novelty of 7.5 Can't pass that up.

    It's Buccholz and a horrible bullpen for Sawks. Buccholz has done ok lately but at the core he is soft. Gotta trust that. Sawks only allowed 2 runs in the 9th last night so maybe they are improving, lol.

    Archer gets lit up every single time by Sawks. The Rays are done this year and trotting out the kids from the farm system.

    This bet is just doing the right thing. Not huge love.

    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 914 Boston Red Sox/Tampa Bay Rays over 7½ -110 for Game

    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 913 Boston Red Sox +111 for Game


    Looking at Orioles/Nats. O's Trumbo has hit 7 home runs in his last 7 AB's. Nice offense.

    Looking at Cubs (Arrietta)/Padres Impossible to find a price except adj run line.
    Straight RL -1.5 -135
    Adj RL -2.5 +115

    Arrietta ain't what he was and Cubs offense is a little trick or treat. I just need encouragement.

    Paging SuicideKing. Giants (Bumgarner)/Todgers (Maeda)
    I got no feel anymore. Dodgers bullpen. Finally but no Kershaw. So cruel.
    I wanna see real tears.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 08-23-2016 at 08:33 AM.

  20. #7140
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    listening to russillo and kanell and they presented an interesting fact:

    the last 9 years 3 preseason top 10 teams have ended the season with 4 losses...

    food for thought when thinking about college over/unders...

    bama
    Clemson
    Oklahoma
    FSU
    LSU
    ohio state
    Michigan
    Stanford
    Tennessee
    notre dame

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