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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #6881
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Fuck..... And another one bites the dust...

    "Yeah what the hell can I do about it man you beat him up bad for 3 months straight and he wanted to cut you last month"

  2. #6882
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    LF Ryan Braun to Cubs or Red Sox? Just takes money. Sawks could use a LF. Cubs need a bat.

    Love the storyline (ESPN) that Theo Epstein's generous rental fee for Chapman was intended to be disruptive of the market. The claim was offered that he has done this before. Epstein doesn't just win he punishes.


    Sticking with chalk.
    After what I saw last night I am gonna skip the over but GL

    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 977 Boston Red Sox -163 for Game

    Estrada looks pretty good - nice whip. What do you see simp?
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 07-29-2016 at 03:56 PM.

  3. #6883
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    LF Ryan Braun to Cubs or Red Sox? Just takes money. Sawks could use a LF. Cubs need a bat.

    Love the storyline (ESPN) that Theo Epstein's generous rental fee for Chapman was intended to be disruptive of the market. The claim was offered that he has done this before. Epstein doesn't just win he punishes.


    Sticking with chalk.
    After what I saw last night I am gonna skip the over but GL

    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 977 Boston Red Sox -163 for Game

    Estrada looks pretty good - nice whip. What do you see simp?
    Balt pitcher same. Good pitcher but lol 2-7 record due to run support.

    Under is 17-4 in BAL last 21 overall.

    Under is 8-3 in TOR last 11 on astroturf.


    That being said I'll likely be riding the over tomorrow and/or Sunday.

  4. #6884
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    LF Ryan Braun to Cubs or Red Sox? Just takes money. Sawks could use a LF. Cubs need a bat.

    Love the storyline (ESPN) that Theo Epstein's generous rental fee for Chapman was intended to be disruptive of the market. The claim was offered that he has done this before. Epstein doesn't just win he punishes.


    Sticking with chalk.
    After what I saw last night I am gonna skip the over but GL

    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 977 Boston Red Sox -163 for Game

    Estrada looks pretty good - nice whip. What do you see simp?
    Balt pitcher same. Good pitcher but lol 2-7 record due to run support.

    Under is 17-4 in BAL last 21 overall.

    Under is 8-3 in TOR last 11 on astroturf.


    That being said I'll likely be riding the over tomorrow and/or Sunday.
    Shit negro, I misread. I'm in.


    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 966 Baltimore Orioles/Toronto Blue Jays under 9 -125 for Game

  5. #6885
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post

    Balt pitcher same. Good pitcher but lol 2-7 record due to run support.

    Under is 17-4 in BAL last 21 overall.

    Under is 8-3 in TOR last 11 on astroturf.


    That being said I'll likely be riding the over tomorrow and/or Sunday.
    Shit negro, I misread. I'm in.


    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 966 Baltimore Orioles/Toronto Blue Jays under 9 -125 for Game
    JESUS 3-2 first inning?!?!

  6. #6886
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Shit negro, I misread. I'm in.


    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 966 Baltimore Orioles/Toronto Blue Jays under 9 -125 for Game
    JESUS 3-2 first inning?!?!
    Live bet

    BALTIMORE ORIOLES at TORONTO BLUE JAYS [BATTER PROPS] Total Under 12.5 -130

    We are not wrong, just a misunderstanding

    Please edit in that money on fire picture for me. Thx
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 07-29-2016 at 05:18 PM.

  7. #6887
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post

    JESUS 3-2 first inning?!?!
    Live bet

    BALTIMORE ORIOLES at TORONTO BLUE JAYS [BATTER PROPS] Total Under 12.5 -130

    We are not wrong, just a misunderstanding

    Please edit in that money on fire picture for me. Thx
    Might want to bet under 22.5 since I'm apparently bad luck.

    Estrada's back must be still messed up...and the Orioles pitcher no idea wtf his problem was.

  8. #6888
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Might want to bet under 22.5 since I'm apparently bad luck.

    Estrada's back must be still messed up...and the Orioles pitcher no idea wtf his problem was.
    Aside from the petty detail about Estrada being a cripple ....

    Insight into the sickness I normally don't advertise.
    BALTIMORE ORIOLES at TORONTO BLUE JAYS [BATTER PROPS] Total Under 14.5

  9. #6889
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Might want to bet under 22.5 since I'm apparently bad luck.

    Estrada's back must be still messed up...and the Orioles pitcher no idea wtf his problem was.
    Aside from the petty detail about Estrada being a cripple ....

    Insight into the sickness I normally don't advertise.
    BALTIMORE ORIOLES at TORONTO BLUE JAYS [BATTER PROPS] Total Under 14.5

    Live bet

    BALTIMORE ORIOLES at TORONTO BLUE JAYS [BATTER PROPS] Total Under 12.5 -130

    We are not wrong, just a misunderstanding

    Please edit in that money on fire picture for me. Thx


  10. #6890
    Cubic Zirconia
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    Anyone have any solid picks for today?

  11. #6891
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by G0lfer View Post
    Anyone have any solid picks for today?
    I am in a slump with ideas. I think most of the stuff is right lately. Been going with chalk. Sawks vs Lincecum was like investing in a 10 year Treasury. Weak return but no risk.

    That shoulda been an over. Druff was right. I thought Lincecum's career might have ended last night. Cheeky bastard.

    Lotta long fly balls died in that California marine night air. Saw it 2 nights in a row.

    Frankly, I think my game lately is to absorb the lines on a real heavy favorite and if there are any anomalies that result in underdog runs - homer, fielding errors, death - take advantage of the improved odds and scale in.

    Martingale had great hands & woulda made a good shortstop so keep doubling down on your Totals bets
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 07-30-2016 at 11:04 AM.

  12. #6892
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Sanlmar was right, actually. Between Porcello looking fairly good lately and the home-run-killing CA air, last night's Sawks bet fell short despite Lincecum continuing his awfulness.

    (LA is in the middle of a heat wave, so I was more willing to overlook the park factor.)

    I'm mad at myself for blowing two wins the last 2 days. First, I didn't bet Cards +210 on Thurs even after posting here how I liked it. Second, I outright missed seeing the super obvious Cards/Marlins Over 7.5 yesterday with freakin' Urena pitching. I just missed seeing it. Total was 17.

  13. #6893
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    From 7/28:

    Hi Todd,

    We're writing this message to inform you our Book Managers, after careful deliberation and investigation, have decided to adjust your wagering limits which may vary from market to market. We assure you we didn't make this decision in haste.

    Should this this decision mean we do not meet your needs as a Sportsbook, please contact our Customer Service Department and we'll be happy to process a withdrawal for your current balance.

    Our Customer Service Team is available by e-mail 24/7 to help if you need anything else.

    Regards,

    Bovada Customer Service
    sports@bovada.lv

     
    Comments
      
      Charham: Wow. Restricted for a one month heater. Too bad.
      
      Daly: its one thing to hit them on props for a month. Another to hit 90% of sides at the same time.
      
      Reno: Welcome to Club Daly. I got the same message yesterday.
      
      smiflorida: welcome to the club..

  14. #6894
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Lost 2 of past 3 after posting my grand 24-6 streak results, so beware. Maybe I've lost it. Or not.

    Here are my picks today:

    Phillies (Hellickson) +120 at Braves (Teheran)
    Same game UNDER 7.5 -120

  15. #6895
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    From 7/28:

    Hi Todd,

    We're writing this message to inform you our Book Managers, after careful deliberation and investigation, have decided to adjust your wagering limits which may vary from market to market. We assure you we didn't make this decision in haste.

    Should this this decision mean we do not meet your needs as a Sportsbook, please contact our Customer Service Department and we'll be happy to process a withdrawal for your current balance.

    Our Customer Service Team is available by e-mail 24/7 to help if you need anything else.

    Regards,

    Bovada Customer Service
    sports@bovada.lv
    The same Bovada form letter at the time as Daly. Kinda deflating knowing that you alone weren't singled out, eh?

    Very interesting that they perform a periodic or scheduled purge (restriction) of winning players.

    Gives new meaning to fixed limit.

    I would no sooner play Bovada than use PayPal. My dislike dates back to Bodog and your post just reminds me of a tenor of business I can do without. Calvin Ayre is god - just not my god.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 07-30-2016 at 12:13 PM.

  16. #6896
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    A degen prop question.

    I have mucked around with a prop that involves guessing the number of pitches the next batter will see. Sick, I know.

    With base runners on (say 1st & 3rd) and a good & selective hitter coming up I might choose 4-5. The pitcher may just walk him if he doesn't get ahead first pitch. The pitcher just might fish around the edges of the zone in fear.

    It's a stupid bet. Don't do it often. Just something fun.

    A wager was graded a loss that I question. Batter saw 3 pitches and on the 4th got a hit. Does that not constitute 4 pitches thrown?

    Sadly, I have spotted some errors in the settlement of previous wagers - all corrected. Wondering if this is more of the same shit.

    Pain in the ass to even remember the batter, inning, etc. I don't check my balance every 5 minutes.

  17. #6897
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Cubs 1 Mariners 0
    Top of 8th

    Chapman called. 3 pitches and its 2-1 Then 3-1

    Coulda had Mariners 5:1 before first pitch by Chapman

  18. #6898
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    A degen prop question.

    I have mucked around with a prop that involves guessing the number of pitches the next batter will see. Sick, I know.

    With base runners on (say 1st & 3rd) and a good & selective hitter coming up I might choose 4-5. The pitcher may just walk him if he doesn't get ahead first pitch. The pitcher just might fish around the edges of the zone in fear.

    It's a stupid bet. Don't do it often. Just something fun.

    A wager was graded a loss that I question. Batter saw 3 pitches and on the 4th got a hit. Does that not constitute 4 pitches thrown?

    Sadly, I have spotted some errors in the settlement of previous wagers - all corrected. Wondering if this is more of the same shit.

    Pain in the ass to even remember the batter, inning, etc. I don't check my balance every 5 minutes.
    Each game has a pitch by pitch log. If you are sure it was 4 pitches I'd e-mail the book customer service as a first step and ask them to look at it.

  19. #6899
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    A degen prop question.

    I have mucked around with a prop that involves guessing the number of pitches the next batter will see. Sick, I know.

    With base runners on (say 1st & 3rd) and a good & selective hitter coming up I might choose 4-5. The pitcher may just walk him if he doesn't get ahead first pitch. The pitcher just might fish around the edges of the zone in fear.

    It's a stupid bet. Don't do it often. Just something fun.

    A wager was graded a loss that I question. Batter saw 3 pitches and on the 4th got a hit. Does that not constitute 4 pitches thrown?

    Sadly, I have spotted some errors in the settlement of previous wagers - all corrected. Wondering if this is more of the same shit.

    Pain in the ass to even remember the batter, inning, etc. I don't check my balance every 5 minutes.
    Each game has a pitch by pitch log. If you are sure it was 4 pitches I'd e-mail the book customer service as a first step and ask them to look at it.
    Little suspicious. Grading bets should be a math programming thing. I have had a rash of this lately. Always fixed without an email back from them.

    Skim a little from people and that's a living.

  20. #6900
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I think you may be overestimateing how these sites operate. Most graded tickets on these sites for props have a simple Win or loss typed in for the grade and not the score. That tells me some islander is sitting in a beach side hut in costa Rica and pushing one button or the other on all these prop/live bets.

    The big sides and totals I'm sure are data feed driven.

     
    Comments
      
      smiflorida: beach side hut rep..
      
      Sanlmar: Interesting take. I'll accept that

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