*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Sanlmar]

Overnight total on the Sawks is 10. I admit to already punching the ticket but If I would have thought about it for more than .7 seconds id have waited till tomorrow. No way it touches 10.5 I don't think and there is a shot you can buy at 9.5 -120 at some point.

Love the work ethic.

If you just autobet this you are denying yourself the joy of looking at some dreadful numbers.

Sportsbook.ag

1. BET#: 496793107
STRAIGHT WAGER 06/16/16 00:07 EDT
Bet $ 250.00 to win $ 200.00 Result: Pending
Baltimore Orioles T Wilson vs Boston Red Sox E Rodriguez 06/16/16 19:10 EDT Over 9.5 (-125)

I'll gladly pay that juice for 1/2 point here.

I wrote about Hanley Ramirez being lost at plate earlier today.

Prior to the game he said this:

"Get ready,” Ramirez said. “Get your ticket. First class, whatever coach, it’s about to get hot.”

It’s going to be dangerous,” he said. “It’s going to be homers, triples, and more homers. It’s going to get ugly.”

Ramirez, of course, hits the bomb today. His at bats, it turned out, were the result of trying to protect his shoulders. Apparantly, he decided to go for broke.

It's safe to go swimming again.

[Sol]

Wow that over 7.5 Texas bet hit almost instantly. I took a small 150 shot to win 600 when Rangers were down 5-3 just now with a guy on first. This reminds me of my swing trading days.

[Charham]

Wow that over 7.5 Texas bet hit almost instantly. I took a small 150 shot to win 600 when Rangers were down 5-3 just now with a guy on first. This reminds me of my swing trading days.

I got it at 8, didn't matter.

What a shit show cincy and braves game was. I will be looking to fade both teams all year whenever possible.

[Dan Druff]

Easily took down the Angels/Minnesota over, but lost Seattle/TB.

I had a choice between betting 8.5 +105 or 8 -120 on Angels/Minn, and I chose the 8.5. I was confident enough with the crappiness of the pitching.

[Dan Druff]

Bets for 6/16:

Detroit (Verlander) at Kansas City (Duffy) - Under 7.5 +100
Phillies (Nola) +121 vs. Toronto (Happ)
Pittsburgh (Nicasio) at NY Mets (Colon) - Over 7.5 -110

[Sol]

For those planning on putting on action tomorrow in game 6, a statistical perspective: http://www.economist.com/blogs/gamet...age-basketball

Also saw public positioning on game 6, about 55% GSW at +2, way down from ~70% last game. I think the Bayesian perspective (for those familiar with it) supports GSW closing it out tomorrow on the road since that's what they did last year. Still researching this game and historical game 6 NBA finals knowledge, anyone care to share some numbers that they have?

[Charham]

ok 6 and 3 yesterday, been a great two weeks and rolling. I loaded up on a few of my winners yesterday so unit $ even better. Missed the SF RL and Cincy game was a joke, oh well.

Onwards, all small bets:

to win ML: Toronto, Mets, NYY and Washington games

Over Cin/Atl

Old fat boy Colon is still rolling, he will get tired after all star break but I am riding him today. With advanced testing I wonder what his pee will show one day. Bit hesitant on Washington as they have travelled all night and may let down after beating my cubs.

[varys]

For those planning on putting on action tomorrow in game 6, a statistical perspective: http://www.economist.com/blogs/gamet...age-basketball

Also saw public positioning on game 6, about 55% GSW at +2, way down from ~70% last game. I think the Bayesian perspective (for those familiar with it) supports GSW closing it out tomorrow on the road since that's what they did last year. Still researching this game and historical game 6 NBA finals knowledge, anyone care to share some numbers that they have?

Why run the numbers if youre going to defer to previous game 6 results? Just bet vs the public and live with the results imo.

[Daly]

Money is rolling in just about 50/50 on the 2.5 and the 207.5.

That means "I'm out".

[Sanlmar]

Nationals. Wish I focused on this last night. Forfeited a lot to juice. Poor shopping.
Love the Sawks bet.
Didn't give a moment of thought to NBA.

1. BET#: 496809435
STRAIGHT WAGER 06/16/16 11:34 EDT
Bet $ 115.00 to win $ 100.00 Result: Pending
Washington Nationals T Roark vs San Diego Padres E Johnson 06/16/16 22:10 EDT Washington Nationals -1.5 (-115)

2. BET#: 496808262
STRAIGHT WAGER 06/16/16 11:11 EDT
Bet $ 125.00 to win $ 100.00 Result: Pending
Nationals (T Roark) @ Padres (E Johnson) - 1st 5 Innings Winner (3-way)
Nationals (T Roark) vs Padres (E Johnson) 06/16/16 22:10 EDT Nationals (T Roark) -125

3. BET#: 496807968
STRAIGHT WAGER 06/16/16 11:07 EDT
Bet $ 130.00 to win $ 100.00 Result: Pending
First Full 5 Innings Line and Total - Listed Pitchers
Washington Nationals (T Roark) vs San Diego Padres (E Johnson) 06/16/16 22:10 EDT Washington Nationals (T Roark) -0.5 (-130)

4. BET#: 496793107
STRAIGHT WAGER 06/16/16 00:07 EDT
Bet $ 250.00 to win $ 200.00 Result: Pending
Baltimore Orioles T Wilson vs Boston Red Sox E Rodriguez 06/16/16 19:10 EDT Over 9.5 (-125)

[Charham]

Nationals. Wish I focused on this last night. Forfeited a lot to juice. Poor shopping.
Love the Sawks bet.
Didn't give a moment of thought to NBA.

1. BET#: 496809435
STRAIGHT WAGER 06/16/16 11:34 EDT
Bet $ 115.00 to win $ 100.00 Result: Pending
Washington Nationals T Roark vs San Diego Padres E Johnson 06/16/16 22:10 EDT Washington Nationals -1.5 (-115)

2. BET#: 496808262
STRAIGHT WAGER 06/16/16 11:11 EDT
Bet $ 125.00 to win $ 100.00 Result: Pending
Nationals (T Roark) @ Padres (E Johnson) - 1st 5 Innings Winner (3-way)
Nationals (T Roark) vs Padres (E Johnson) 06/16/16 22:10 EDT Nationals (T Roark) -125

3. BET#: 496807968
STRAIGHT WAGER 06/16/16 11:07 EDT
Bet $ 130.00 to win $ 100.00 Result: Pending
First Full 5 Innings Line and Total - Listed Pitchers
Washington Nationals (T Roark) vs San Diego Padres (E Johnson) 06/16/16 22:10 EDT Washington Nationals (T Roark) -0.5 (-130)

4. BET#: 496793107
STRAIGHT WAGER 06/16/16 00:07 EDT
Bet $ 250.00 to win $ 200.00 Result: Pending
Baltimore Orioles T Wilson vs Boston Red Sox E Rodriguez 06/16/16 19:10 EDT Over 9.5 (-125)

I like all of these. I can't get 9.5 though, only 10 on BAL/BOS over so I will wait.

[Sanlmar]

I like all of these. I can't get 9.5 though, only 10 on BAL/BOS over so I will wait.

Overnight total on the Sawks is 10. I admit to already punching the ticket but If I would have thought about it for more than .7 seconds id have waited till tomorrow. No way it touches 10.5 I don't think and there is a shot you can buy at 9.5 -120 at some point.

Daly has been in the zone. But it looks like he will be wrong here. This thing IS gonna touch 10.5

I am preparing to be bet in game on Nats & Sawks. A stutter step by Sawks could be opportunity.

Enjoy your Cinc/ATL Shitshow part deux

[simpdog]

Overnight total on the Sawks is 10. I admit to already punching the ticket but If I would have thought about it for more than .7 seconds id have waited till tomorrow. No way it touches 10.5 I don't think and there is a shot you can buy at 9.5 -120 at some point.

Daly has been in the zone. But it looks like he will be wrong here. This thing IS gonna touch 10.5

I am preparing to be bet in game on Nats & Sawks. A stutter step by Sawks could be opportunity.

Enjoy your Cinc/ATL Shitshow part deux

Sometimes book leave out the early lines a little too long. Cincy up 1-0 with runners on 2nd/3rd. Cincy +105 and over 8 -110 still available.

[Sol]

Overnight total on the Sawks is 10. I admit to already punching the ticket but If I would have thought about it for more than .7 seconds id have waited till tomorrow. No way it touches 10.5 I don't think and there is a shot you can buy at 9.5 -120 at some point.

Daly has been in the zone. But it looks like he will be wrong here. This thing IS gonna touch 10.5

I am preparing to be bet in game on Nats & Sawks. A stutter step by Sawks could be opportunity.

Enjoy your Cinc/ATL Shitshow part deux

Just hit 10.5. I've been looking for a 9.5 on this all night and morning, might take a bit if it gets back to 10.0 without too much juice. Might take the NBA for like $50 or $100 sweat if I don't get to open any positions in baseball, just cuz I crave the action.

[Sanlmar]

Daly has been in the zone. But it looks like he will be wrong here. This thing IS gonna touch 10.5

I am preparing to be bet in game on Nats & Sawks. A stutter step by Sawks could be opportunity.

Enjoy your Cinc/ATL Shitshow part deux

Sometimes book leave out the early lines a little too long. Cincy up 1-0 with runners on 2nd/3rd. Cincy +105 and over 8 -110 still available.

These hitters could still be asleep after late night. Just sayin

[Daly]

It hit 10.5 all right.... Well good for those of us ho got it in early then.

Washington up to -180 now. I think that's about the right price.

[Sanlmar]

Pitch count climbing and some weak ass stuff.

Just some degen in game fun.


STRAIGHT WAGER 06/16/16 12:45 EDT
Bet $ 100.00 to win $ 77.00 Result: Pending
Reds vs Braves - Live Betting Game Line
Reds 1 vs Braves 0 06/16/16 12:10 EDT Over 7 (-130)

[Charham]

Pitch count climbing and some weak ass stuff.

Just some degen in game fun.


STRAIGHT WAGER 06/16/16 12:45 EDT
Bet $ 100.00 to win $ 77.00 Result: Pending
Reds vs Braves - Live Betting Game Line
Reds 1 vs Braves 0 06/16/16 12:10 EDT Over 7 (-130)

7 nice! Any inning this can open up 5 plus runs. How can anybody be left in the bullpen?

[Sanlmar]

Pitch count climbing and some weak ass stuff.

Just some degen in game fun.


STRAIGHT WAGER 06/16/16 12:45 EDT
Bet $ 100.00 to win $ 77.00 Result: Pending
Reds vs Braves - Live Betting Game Line
Reds 1 vs Braves 0 06/16/16 12:10 EDT Over 7 (-130)

7 nice! Any inning this can open up 5 plus runs. How can anybody be left in the bullpen?

Looking like Olive Garden for lunch with house wine today

[big dick]

cavs ml tonight?