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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #5641
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by big dick View Post
    Im shocked he is broke. I heard he would never leave a tip .People like that usually have money.
    Some gamble and blow money in other ways

  2. #5642
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by big dick View Post
    no tippin Pippen said the bulls would sweep golden state
    http://espn.go.com/nba/story/_/id/15...state-warriors
    Kerr said it was tough to compare the teams because of their differing eras.
    And yet, Kerr is chasing the Bulls every night. They are at the very least trying to compare records. You cannot do that and not expose yourself to the obvious question.

    Peyton Manning surpasses Johnny Unitas' streak for consecutive games with a touchdown pass. Are you kidding me? Receivers were fucking getting mugged back then. It's two hand touch now. Rules vastly favor offense now.

    Same offensive rules are now true for basketball.

    Warriors are 20th in the league for points allowed defense. Let's play under today's rules. Michael Jordan & company would score at will and their bigger team would slow down Warriors. 6'6" Michael promises not to hurt Curry physically.

    This is a great bar room debate. But in the end almost nobody thinks Warriors win a series against Bulls. I actually sat through Stephen A. Smith & Skip Bayless following Pippen comment.

    The only argument nimrod Stephen A. Smith tried to make was that the Warriors wouldn't get swept. They'd win one or two.. Bayless saw a sweep.

    Smith offered examples of Bulls giving up playoff games. What he failed to mention was Jordan was out playing blackjack with Antoine Walker for $10k a hand that morning.

    You gotta love this argument to sit through Stephen A. Smith. But here.

    Edit: sorry 11:48 start. I am not a sadist.


     
    Comments
      
      big dick: good post but I couldn't watch. His voice drives me insane
      
      varys: Big fan,cant agree
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 04-04-2016 at 11:40 PM.

  3. #5643
    PFA Radio Host Drexel's Avatar
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    Anyone else jump on this?


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  4. #5644
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    Drexel's post about soccer betting made me think of some team that was a 5000 to 1 longshot in win some league in Europe and they are looking like they are going to do it!

    reportedly bookmakers are going to lose $14 million if this comes through and are scrambling to try to make deals with the people holding these tickets by offering $4k for every $2 bet or something in that ball park....


    anyone else heard about this???

  5. #5645
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Given that at least one interleague game will take place almost every day for the next 6 months, I would like some numbers run.

    Specifically, I believe that NL teams are performing poorly in AL parks, due to the DH rule. I believe that not having a dedicated DH is a big disadvantage when playing in a DH park (as you usually have some weak bench player filling that spot), and NL pitchers are not used to pitching to 9 capable hitters with no "break" of the pitcher's spot.

    So I would like to know the following:

    Record for NL clubs in AL parks in past 10 years (reg season only).

    Record for NL clubs in AL parks in past 5 years (reg season only).

    Percentage of over bets that have won with NL teams in AL parks in past 5 years.

    The last may be hard to look up, but the other two shouldn't, right?

    With my NL-only fantasy teams, I have been sitting any pitcher going to an AL park that week, unless he's an elite pitcher. This strategy has worked out so far.

     
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      LegalizeMeth: not looking up, but guessing both are around .500

  6. #5646
    Bronze LegalizeMeth's Avatar
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    I stand corrected, looks like last 3 years NL teams are 62-88 on the road in interleague games.... that is def not a coincidence

    http://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/stats/interleague/

  7. #5647
    Silver varys's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Kerr said it was tough to compare the teams because of their differing eras.
    And yet, Kerr is chasing the Bulls every night. They are at the very least trying to compare records. You cannot do that and not expose yourself to the obvious question.

    Peyton Manning surpasses Johnny Unitas' streak for consecutive games with a touchdown pass. Are you kidding me? Receivers were fucking getting mugged back then. It's two hand touch now. Rules vastly favor offense now.

    Same offensive rules are now true for basketball.

    Warriors are 20th in the league for points allowed defense. Let's play under today's rules. Michael Jordan & company would score at will and their bigger team would slow down Warriors. 6'6" Michael promises not to hurt Curry physically.

    This is a great bar room debate. But in the end almost nobody thinks Warriors win a series against Bulls. I actually sat through Stephen A. Smith & Skip Bayless following Pippen comment.

    The only argument nimrod Stephen A. Smith tried to make was that the Warriors wouldn't get swept. They'd win one or two.. Bayless saw a sweep.

    Smith offered examples of Bulls giving up playoff games. What he failed to mention was Jordan was out playing blackjack with Antoine Walker for $10k a hand that morning.

    You gotta love this argument to sit through Stephen A. Smith. But here.

    Edit: sorry 11:48 start. I am not a sadist.

    Chicago would have the better starting lineup but any lineup without jordan or the pippen/kerr/lolkukoc trio would never score. Golden states bench probably could have won 40+ games this year.

  8. #5648
    Silver varys's Avatar
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    Also i think the 96ish bulls vs the current spurs is just as interesting

  9. #5649
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by LegalizeMeth View Post
    I stand corrected, looks like last 3 years NL teams are 62-88 on the road in interleague games.... that is def not a coincidence

    http://www.vegasinsider.com/mlb/stats/interleague/
    Can you find a site that goes back more than 3 years? 150 games still isn't all that much.

    It should also be noted that AL teams went 74-70 on the road to the NL in those 3 years, so it's not like there were just huge home/road splits on both sides.

    Is it possible that the AL teams were just better overall than NL teams? Yes. But that would also be a reason to find value in these interleague games.

    I've just noticed from casual observation as a baseball fan that most NL teams seem to lose badly when they go on the road against AL teams. So I'd love to see something like 10-year stats on this.

    Looking at last night, the Cubs crushed the Angels in Anaheim, but this was with Arrieta pitching. So as I said, I would also like to throw out the results of elite pitchers, because I think guys like Kershaw and Arrieta can dominate even if they're not used to the DH thing.

  10. #5650
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    No hole in one at the masters this weekend at -115 is a decent bet.

  11. #5651
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I think the Dbacks are going to crush the Rockies tonight. Right now Dbacks -1.5 is +165 on Bovada but you can probably get a little better elsewhere.

    Also I think Angels +119 moneyline is a good bet right now, because I think they will win tonight (though I wouldn't go -1.5 with them).

    In the NBA, I also like Portland -3.5 at Sac, as well as under 112 for the first half.

  12. #5652
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    No hole in one at the masters this weekend at -115 is a decent bet.

    http://golf.about.com/od/majorchampi...he-Masters.htm


    I agree it's a pretty good bet
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  13. #5653
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Whoops.

    I didn't bet on the NBA today, but I did place those two baseball bets.

    Dbacks got off to a 2-0 start against the Rockies and Chad Bettis, who is a mediocre pitcher at best. I thought Shelby Miller would cruise to victory and I would lol at the easy money.

    Instead he gave up 6 runs and the Rockies lead 6-2 in Arizona.



    Also the Angles already down 1-0 to the Cubs.

  14. #5654
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Cubs now up 4-0. Ugh.

    I think I'm done betting against them (after just one bet), until I ascertain how good that offense really is.

  15. #5655
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Looks like both NBA bets will probably win, though I stayed away because of Bovada line being crappy. Lame.

    Arizona now down 6-5. But I need to win by 2 on that one.

    Fucking Trevor Story.

  16. #5656
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well I've got my 2 run lead.

    Now I just need D-Backs to HOLD (or score some more this inning).

  17. #5657
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Paul Goldschmidt kills a left-hander again for a bases clearing double.

    11-6.


  18. #5658
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Golden State only up 3. Minny heating up a bit might give them a run for their money.

    That being said Curry has been shite all game, wouldn't surprise me if he made 3-4 3pters in a row.

  19. #5659
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Spurs Warriors Thurs.

    Fans, haters, math modeling and storylines. Popovich hip pocketing the secret formula for later.

    That line is gonna bounce up and down like a basketball.
    Can't wait.

    Just got a bit more interesting.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 04-05-2016 at 10:40 PM.

  20. #5660
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Warriors are so burnt out. They can't lose another game to get to 73 wins and they play the Spurs twice so good luck with that. They will probably tie the record is my guess at this point. The team battled through a bunch of injuries the past few months and had to sit Curry, Thompson, or Green in the first three losses as well for minor injuries such as a tweaked ankle,etc... This could be good though since it might bring the odds down in then to win it.

    If I was the OKC Thunder I would have been resting everyone for the past month since they had the #3 seed practically locked up with no where higher to go but I it's probably best they didn't do this too much since the Clippers have played great down the stretch.

    Shout out to the Detroit Tigers new closer Francisco Rodriguez for giving up a 3 run lead in the 9th to force the game to extra innings which the Tigers won but still why is it such a curse to close for this team?

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