President 2016

[Avon Barksdale]

Standing ovation for the Bernmeister at the Florida debate tonight... You can almost see where Hilldawgs like "oh fuck".

[MumblesBadly]

Brb, just gotta go crash the economy..

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/707763233327865856

John Gutfeund died today. The King of Wall Street and the guy who was first to bring his investment bank public. This was the beginning of the end.

Gutfeund was a star in "Liar's Poker"

The old private houses cared about their reputation. It was the owners name on the door kinda thing. They might pass on a piece of business if it hurt their image. Now with the public houses it's all about incentivized quarterly profit - anyway & anyhow.

Yeah, they fucked up. But we gave them all a bonus and a free reload.

Fortunately, they still give us valuable analyst calls at no extra charge. Fleecing the public. Take 'em down Bernie.

Totally on the money. For example, Goldman Sachs was once considered the gold standard regarding looking out for customers, but having been a publicly traded firm for over a decade, has lost that luster in a huge way.

http://mobile.nytimes.com/2012/03/14....html?referer=

[MumblesBadly]

It's a bit of old news for political mavens on here, but fitting to reflect on how that idiot Rubio sabotagued his own campaign.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...910_story.html

[FPS_Russia]

It's pretty incredible to see everyone team up on Trump.

[Daly]

[FPS_Russia]

Gay but surprisingly informative

[rum dick]

For my fellow political junkies/nerds:

"TO: INTERESTED PARTIES
FROM: OUR PRINCIPLES PAC
SUBJECT: THE REALITY OF DELEGATE MATH
DATE: MARCH 9, 2016

Following the results of last night’s elections it remains unlikely that Donald Trump can win the necessary 1,237 delegates to secure the nomination outright. His severe under performance this weekend complicated an already difficult task. If Trump loses any combination of the states that vote on Tuesday, March 15, his path becomes improbable – and should he lose Florida, Ohio and Illinois, it will be nearly impossible for Trump to emerge as the Republican nominee for President.

THE SIMPLE MATH

Starting with the simplest possible look, the most straightforward way to attain 1,237 delegates is to win at least 50% of the delegates at stake each election day. As of today, no candidate is near that 50% threshold.

As of today, 1056 delegates have been contested and Trump has won approximately 466 of them or 44%, well below the required 50% plus 1. That means that in order to secure the required number of delegates, Trump will now have to carry 54% of the remaining 1,416 delegates still at stake. That means he would have to outperform his current level of performance by 23%.

Once all the delegates from last night have been awarded, Trump will likely only win 48% of the delegates, again coming up short of the necessary 54% to reach 1,237.

It is important to note that nearly 60% of the delegates have yet to be contested. Even beyond next Tuesday, a number of huge voter rich states like Washington, Oregon, Colorado, New York, Pennsylvania, Indiana, and California will hold their elections. From these and the other remaining states, there are hundreds of viable and plausible outcomes that would not only prevent Trump from reaching 1,237, but would allow an alternative candidate to amass an absolute delegate lead over Trump in the 250–350 delegate range. There are also dozens of scenarios that would result in alternative candidates not just passing Trump, but also amassing the necessary 1,237 themselves to become the nominee.

THE FULL MATH

To take a fuller look at the very difficult task facing Donald Trump, let’s quickly walk through all the things that can go right for him, but still leave him short.

Assuming he loses FL and OH…

Trump can win ALL the delegates in Illinois, the Virgin Islands, Arizona, Delaware, Oregon and New Jersey…

AND win the large majority of delegates in Missouri, New York, Pennsylvania, Indiana and California…

AND win DC, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Connecticut, Maryland, West Virginia, Washington and New Mexico and STILL FALL SHORT of the 1,237 threshold.

Even if Trump were to win Florida…

Trump can win ALL the delegates in the Virgin Islands, Arizona, Delaware, Oregon and New Jersey…

AND win the large majority of delegates in Missouri, New York, Pennsylvania, Indiana and California…

AND win DC, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Connecticut, Maryland, West Virginia, Washington and New Mexico and STILL FALL SHORT of the 1,237 threshold.

Even if Trump were to win Florida and Ohio…

Trump can win ALL the delegates in the Virgin Islands, Delaware, Oregon and New Jersey…

AND win the large majority of delegates in Missouri, New York, Pennsylvania, Indiana and California…

AND win DC, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Connecticut, Maryland, West Virginia, Washington and New Mexico and STILL FALL SHORT of the 1,237 threshold.

CLOSED PRIMARIES

Further complicating Trump’s chances is the fact that there are a number of closed primaries coming up, where only Republicans are allowed to vote – such as Florida’s primary. To date there have only been three such contests: Oklahoma and Idaho (both of which Trump lost); and Louisiana (which he carried by a narrow 41%-38% margin). After March 15, there will be twelve more “closed” primaries – AZ, NY, CT, DE, MD, PA, NE, OR, WA, CA, NM, SD – representing 636 delegates or 44% of the delegates yet to be chosen.

CONCLUSION

All of these factors combine to make his path to nomination increasingly difficult and less and less likely each day that a majority of GOP primary voters show up to vote for someone other than Donald Trump."

[rum dick]

I coulda sworn that California's Republican primary was changed from closed to open a few years ago, but the people who wrote the memo say otherwise and they obviously know more about it than I do. Gonna be interesting to see how trump plays in a closed california primary. cruz could do pretty well here given the surprising amount of hardcore conservatives in california.

[GrenadaRoger]

I coulda sworn that California's Republican primary was changed from closed to open a few years ago, but the people who wrote the memo say otherwise and they obviously know more about it than I do. Gonna be interesting to see how trump plays in a closed california primary. cruz could do pretty well here given the surprising amount of hardcore conservatives in california.

yes, in 2008 California moved its primary from March to June...


http://www.nytimes.com/2004/08/30/us...june.html?_r=0

key points
California held a June primary for a half-century before the Legislature voted in 1993 to move the primary to March, largely in response to the so-called Super Tuesday primaries scheduled by Southern states in the 1980's, which were draining the California vote of its influence.

To make matters worse, the March elections in California have been a flop among voters: turnout this March was the lowest for any presidential primary in the state's history in percentage terms, making it difficult for candidates for offices on the same ballot to rouse interest in their races.

[thesidedish]

I feel like a perfect storm for a Trump sweep is coming next Tuesday. The establishment takedown bs of Trump did nothing, and is probably teetering on backfiring badly thanks to Mitt Romney so blatantly obviously doing the establishments bidding. Ive seen at least 6 separate instances irl and on the internet of ppl saying "that's it, now im voting trump" after Mitt. Trump should not have won 3 states by 10+ the other day if this train was going to be stopped.

Florida: Hes like 20 for 20 in leading every poll taken + dominating the south in general

Missouri: Open Primary/Illegal immigrant just went on a shooting rampage

Illinois: Open Primary/Ditka semi-endorsement

North Carolina: Open Primary/dominating the south

Ohio, the only one where he is not favored: Open Primary/brokered convention talk, as in everybody saying if Trump loses Ohio we are headed to convention. So why would the ppl of Ohio want to let the establishment who has got like a 10% approval rating cheat to win the nomination? I think they will say "FUCK THAT!"

[thesidedish]

BEN CARSON ON BOARD THE TRUMP TRAIN

[NaturalBornHustler]

LOL at anyone else but Trump getting the nomination. You can quote all the fucking delegate math you want but guess what....if the R's try to put up some sorry ass candidate (like who Cruz? Lil Rubio? nigga please) that has been getting their ass kicked all over the country as opposed to Trump....they might as well just shut it down.

[rum dick]

LOL the crazy old fart threw a mean sucker punch....you can see the vid of the punch and more importantly the interview with the old redneck fuck here: http://www.insideedition.com/headlin...ve-to-kill-him


"Man who punched Trump protester: 'Next time we see him, we might have to kill him'
By NICK GASS 03/10/16 04:21 PM EST Updated 03/10/16 06:41 PM EST
A man charged with assaulting a protester at a Donald Trump rally Wednesday night says the protester deserved it.

“Yes, he deserved it. The next time we see him, we might have to kill him," said John McGraw, 78, in an interview with "Inside Edition" on Wednesday night.
He added: "We don’t know who he is. He might be with a terrorist organization.”

Asked if he enjoyed the rally in Fayetteville, North Carolina, McGraw told the show, “You bet I liked it. Clocking the hell out of that big mouth."
As far as why he punched protester Rakeem Jones as police escorted him from the premises, as shown in a video posted to YouTube, McGraw said, “We don’t know who he is, but we know he’s not acting like an American."

“I was walking up the stairs. The railing was in front of me, as a matter of fact there was two other people in front of me, they walked past and I was really not paying attention to them so I’m walking and as soon as I turned, he hit me,” Jones told WRAL. "He hit me dead in my eye."

Speaking to MSNBC's Kate Snow, Jones said he would like the man to go to prison, "but reality is, he'll probably be bailed out, somebody probably will reward him."

McGraw was not arrested at the event but was charged Thursday with assault and battery and disorderly conduct, according to local reports. According to WRAL, McGraw appeared before a magistrate Thursday, who set his bail at $2,500 and scheduled a court appearance for April 6."

http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-g...20585?lo=ap_a1

[abrown83]

Has anyone noticed that all the Republican candidates outkicked their coverage when it comes to their wives?

[Lord of the Fraud]

LOL the crazy old fart threw a mean sucker punch....you can see the vid of the punch and more importantly the interview with the old redneck fuck here: http://www.insideedition.com/headlin...ve-to-kill-him


"Man who punched Trump protester: 'Next time we see him, we might have to kill him'
By NICK GASS 03/10/16 04:21 PM EST Updated 03/10/16 06:41 PM EST
A man charged with assaulting a protester at a Donald Trump rally Wednesday night says the protester deserved it.

“Yes, he deserved it. The next time we see him, we might have to kill him," said John McGraw, 78, in an interview with "Inside Edition" on Wednesday night.
He added: "We don’t know who he is. He might be with a terrorist organization.”

Asked if he enjoyed the rally in Fayetteville, North Carolina, McGraw told the show, “You bet I liked it. Clocking the hell out of that big mouth."
As far as why he punched protester Rakeem Jones as police escorted him from the premises, as shown in a video posted to YouTube, McGraw said, “We don’t know who he is, but we know he’s not acting like an American."

“I was walking up the stairs. The railing was in front of me, as a matter of fact there was two other people in front of me, they walked past and I was really not paying attention to them so I’m walking and as soon as I turned, he hit me,” Jones told WRAL. "He hit me dead in my eye."

Speaking to MSNBC's Kate Snow, Jones said he would like the man to go to prison, "but reality is, he'll probably be bailed out, somebody probably will reward him."

McGraw was not arrested at the event but was charged Thursday with assault and battery and disorderly conduct, according to local reports. According to WRAL, McGraw appeared before a magistrate Thursday, who set his bail at $2,500 and scheduled a court appearance for April 6."

http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-g...20585?lo=ap_a1

lol the dumb old mutt

He was protesting, means he could be a terrorist.

Besides, protesting is very un american.

Those in power and the media really have brainwashed the fuck out of Americans.

[backdoorb]

Trump seems tired tonight

[rum dick]

[MumblesBadly]

Another Rubio LOL.

[MumblesBadly]

LOL how Joe Scarborough -- a staunch conservative in his own right -- nails how the establishment GOP has fucked over the average citizen with "trickle down" economic policies!

[Muck Ficon]

Trump seems tired tonight

No, he was biting his tongue. He is now preaching unity among the GOP. He knows he likely has the nomination locked up. He also knows he has no chance of beating Hillary without the whole GOP behind him.