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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #4761
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    Quote Originally Posted by big dick View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by IAmProfessionalTalk View Post
    Value on all the dogs this weekend, though Seattle is about breakeven.
    Thanks. Any idea why the seahawks line is going down?
    +3 was a weak opener and the market corrected it. Not much more to it than that.

  2. #4762
    Plutonium big dick's Avatar
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    Great, thanks.

  3. #4763
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    Actually GB +7 is pretty close to breakeven as well.

    KC +4' and PIT +7 are just Christmas come early. Hopefully Ben gets ruled out and that runs up into double digits.

  4. #4764
    Diamond DRK Star's Avatar
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    Gronk didnt practice today due to a knee injury. needed shots
    Quote Originally Posted by Tyde View Post
    (I'm) a little preoccupied in Thailand right now

  5. #4765
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    A Brown out for Pitt.

    The Seattle line crashed overnight.

    I'm not a fan of teasers generally but I just put on a KC+11/Sea +7.5.

     
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      lewfather: I was looking at SBRlines right as the pitt line out of nowhere across 3 books moved a few points i was like ohhh shit

  6. #4766
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    I wouldn't play a teaser here unless you're somehow getting +100/+180/+300 on 2/3/4-teamers and can leave open spots. SEA is a no-brainer but ARI would be a better emergency filler leg than KC. There's not enough value from 5-11 and you turn a great bet of +5 -110 into a mediocre one at +11 -244

    Basic strategy teasers were always overrated and with the terrible prices common today they're all but dead.

    No disrespect, only constructive criticism from a guy on internet.

     
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      varys: Thanks

  7. #4767
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    STRAIGHT WAGER 01/15/16 20:47 EST
    Bet $ 600.00 to win $ 546.00 Result: Pending
    Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots 01/16/16 16:35 EST Kansas City Chiefs +5 (-110)

    Adding to my commitment.

    Chiefs +5

    Edit: lines are slipping to 4.5 so I didn't want to snooze
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 01-15-2016 at 07:12 PM.

  8. #4768
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    NFL probably will have Green Bay win outright.

  9. #4769
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Looking for prop approvals Daly.

    1. BET#: 487898039
    STRAIGHT WAGER 01/16/16 02:45 EST
    Bet $ 100.00 to win $ 91.00 Result: Pending
    Steven Jackson (Patriots) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play
    Rushing Yards vs Rushing Yards 01/16/16 16:35 EST Over 39.5 (-110)

    Brady under attack. Tackle Vollmar is back to replace the turnstile that filled in for him. The Chiefs defensive line is fearsome against anyone. No run - get a stretcher for Brady.

    2. BET#: 487898023
    STRAIGHT WAGER 01/16/16 02:44 EST
    Bet $ 100.00 to win $ 87.00 Result: Pending
    Julian Edelman (Patriots) Total Receiving Yards on First Reception - Must Play (No Reception - Under Wins)
    Yards on First Reception vs Yards on First Reception 01/16/16 16:35 EST Under 10.5 (-115)

    Love this.

     
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      big dick: lol turnstile

  10. #4770
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Looking for prop approvals Daly.

    1. BET#: 487898039
    STRAIGHT WAGER 01/16/16 02:45 EST
    Bet $ 100.00 to win $ 91.00 Result: Pending
    Steven Jackson (Patriots) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play
    Rushing Yards vs Rushing Yards 01/16/16 16:35 EST Over 39.5 (-110)

    Brady under attack. Tackle Vollmar is back to replace the turnstile that filled in for him. The Chiefs defensive line is fearsome against anyone. No run - get a stretcher for Brady.

    2. BET#: 487898023
    STRAIGHT WAGER 01/16/16 02:44 EST
    Bet $ 100.00 to win $ 87.00 Result: Pending
    Julian Edelman (Patriots) Total Receiving Yards on First Reception - Must Play (No Reception - Under Wins)
    Yards on First Reception vs Yards on First Reception 01/16/16 16:35 EST Under 10.5 (-115)

    Love this.
    1. I almost never endorse a RB over as a matter of policy. I wouldn't bet the under here though fwtiw.

    2. Whoa! Where you find this? I like it.

  11. #4771
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    STRAIGHT WAGER 01/15/16 20:47 EST
    Bet $ 600.00 to win $ 546.00 Result: Pending
    Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots 01/16/16 16:35 EST Kansas City Chiefs +5 (-110)

    Adding to my commitment.

    Chiefs +5

    Edit: lines are slipping to 4.5 so I didn't want to snooze
    I bleed patriots football. I was freezing my ass off back in the 80's when they were losing to the yuckiners to go 2-14.

    I fully endorse this - take the points today.

  12. #4772
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Looking for prop approvals Daly.

    1. BET#: 487898039
    STRAIGHT WAGER 01/16/16 02:45 EST
    Bet $ 100.00 to win $ 91.00 Result: Pending
    Steven Jackson (Patriots) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play
    Rushing Yards vs Rushing Yards 01/16/16 16:35 EST Over 39.5 (-110)

    Brady under attack. Tackle Vollmar is back to replace the turnstile that filled in for him. The Chiefs defensive line is fearsome against anyone. No run - get a stretcher for Brady.

    2. BET#: 487898023
    STRAIGHT WAGER 01/16/16 02:44 EST
    Bet $ 100.00 to win $ 87.00 Result: Pending
    Julian Edelman (Patriots) Total Receiving Yards on First Reception - Must Play (No Reception - Under Wins)
    Yards on First Reception vs Yards on First Reception 01/16/16 16:35 EST Under 10.5 (-115)

    Love this.
    1. I almost never endorse a RB over as a matter of policy. I wouldn't bet the under here though fwtiw.

    2. Whoa! Where you find this? I like it.
    sportsbook.ag

     
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      Daly: Just found it at a local, let's do it

  13. #4773
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Fat Eddie Lacy is a good bet to have less than 2.5 receptions today.

  14. #4774
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    Need some info here - what is KC tendency when they win the toss? They always take the ball?

    They have received enough this year I think they take the ball but need to confirm.

  15. #4775
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    No idea how you guys all are loading up on the Chiefs.

    You don't think BB has a plan for the pass rush? Both defenses are even and Patriots have a much better offense.

    Pats win 30-17.

  16. #4776
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    Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#:
    STRAIGHT BET Jan 16 CBB [571] TOTAL o179-105 (OAKLAND vrs DETROIT) 210.00 USD / 200.00

  17. #4777
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    Pats always defer
    KC seems like they are 50/50

    Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots - Which team will punt first?
    5135Kansas City Chiefs -110

  18. #4778
    PFA Emeritus Crowe Diddly's Avatar
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    I understand kinda why people like the KC line, but Alex Smith & Andy Reid coming into a lightly snowing January playoff match, in Gillette, against Brady and Belichick... I just can't see how you want to put money on that. You can almost feel Reid making bad clock decisions already.

  19. #4779
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    No idea how you guys all are loading up on the Chiefs.

    You don't think BB has a plan for the pass rush? Both defenses are even and Patriots have a much better offense.

    Pats win 30-17.
    You dont think Belichick had a plan for the pass rush last year in KC? How did that turn out? I was there, I seem to remember Garrapolo finishing the game as Brady sulked on the bench.
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  20. #4780
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    ive seen this act before. This KC team is the exact type of team that can pull off a win in New England. Solid D. A team that can run the ball. A QB that won't turn it over. This is the Rex Ryan Jets or the Flaco led Ravens. This says nothing to the fact that Julian hasn't been on the field in over a month, Gronk took a shot and was noticeably hobbled this week and Brady got rolled up two weeks ago and is behind a mash unit of an O-Line.

    I think the fact that the line opened at 5 and not 6 is very telling (meaning that is less than a FG at a neutral site). In fact the pressure has taken the number DOWN.

    KC outright really wouldn't surprise me.

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