
Originally Posted by
JMM
Manny has a good shot. Hard to accept the +170 when he was +270 when it opened.
This is a closer fight now than it was a few years ago. Mayweather's reflexes have really started to slow. I think Pacquiaos chances hinge on being able to shoot in, and shoot back out without being countered. Mayweather wins the fight on the outside, and Mayweather wins the fight on the inside. Manny's range in somewhere in between. He's a mid-range fighter with incredible speed and angles. Floyd won't be using the shoulder roll much. I also don't expect to see too many jabs to the body like he usually does. Manny can counter that punch with a right hook. I think the Manny can score a flash knockdown with that right hook if he sneaks it in just right.
The contrast in style makes this so interesting. Whoever imposes their style on the other, wins. Simple as that. I think Mayweather needs to come out a bit more aggressive and not let Pacquiao bank early rounds and have to play catch up. And absolutely NO resting on the ropes.
Pacquiao will take fire to give it, so staying out of harms way will be tough. He can't let Pacquiao keep shooting in and out, turning him. Touch him with superior reach from the outside, and tie him up on the inside and sneak in uppercuts and body shots. I think people will be surprised at how much stronger Mayweather is than Pacquiao.
I got tickets to the weigh-in and will be watching closed circuit. Those ticket prices....fuck that.